您目前正在查看 Amillex Daily Market Review | Ongoing Geopolitical Rivalry, Gold and Oil Markets Hover at High Levels Awaiting Breakout

Amillex每日市場回顧 | 地緣政治競爭持續，黃金和石油市場在高位徘徊，等待突破

On April 7, 2026, spot gold hovered around $4,660 during the early Asian session, moving sideways. The increasing complexity of the international landscape has heightened market risk aversion. Although parties are attempting to seek lasting solutions through multilateral negotiations, the progress of related agreements still faces many uncertainties. This repeated fluctuation in the diplomatic process has temporarily dulled bullish momentum in gold near key levels. Investors are closely monitoring the latest policy signals from various countries, trying to find a balance between safe-haven demand and the risk of high-level corrections, with overall trading sentiment turning cautious.

In the crude oil market, U.S. crude (WTI) closed at $112.76 per barrel. Oil prices showed strong resilience on Monday, partly due to the market digesting earlier macroeconomic data, and partly supported by recent expectations of energy supply security. The energy market is currently in a liquidity-sensitive phase, with traders closely watching changes in global supply-demand balance and developments in major oil-producing regions. Overall, commodity fundamentals continue to be influenced by complex external factors. If supply-demand conditions remain tight, energy prices are expected to maintain a steady trend, but the market should remain cautious of short-term technical corrections driven by profit-taking at high levels.

Asset Classes Market Performance and Fundamental Analysis

1. 美國股票市場

指數表現

  • 道瓊工業平均指數（DJI）: Reported at 46,669.88. Up 165.21 points intraday, a gain of 0.36%. Value blue-chip stocks rebounded moderately under defensive buying, with the market showing strong support below the 47,000 level.
  • S&P 500 Index (SP500): Reported at 6.58K (approximately 6,580). Slightly up by 7.37 points intraday, a gain of 0.11%. Although geopolitical uncertainties suppressed risk appetite, strength in the energy sector offset part of the selling pressure, keeping the index fluctuating within a narrow high-level range.
  • Nasdaq 100 Index (NQ1!): Reported at 24,312.00. Down 46.50 points intraday, a decline of 0.19%. Growth tech stocks were pressured by expectations of rising U.S. Treasury yields, coupled with technical consolidation in core AI assets after previous highs, leading to underperformance relative to the broader market.

股票亮點

  • 特斯拉（TSLA）: Reported at 352.82, down 2.15% intraday. Affected by potential global supply chain disruptions and intensified industry competition pricing, the stock hovered near the $350 support level.
  • 蘋果（AAPL）: Reported at 258.86, up 1.15%. Against a backdrop of rising risk aversion, high cash-flow leaders attracted capital inflows.
  • Mega-cap tech stocks: Amazon (AMZN) and Google (GOOG) rose by 1.44% and 1.43% respectively, reflecting a market preference for fundamentally strong platform companies amid macro volatility.

2. 外匯市場

  • 美元指數（DXY）： Reported at 100.038, up 0.05%. The dollar returned above the 100 mark, mainly supported by safe-haven demand driven by escalating Middle East tensions, while the market is pricing in a “higher for longer” interest rate path by the Federal Reserve amid sticky inflation.
  • USD/JPY (USDJPY): Reported at 159.800, up 0.07%. The pair is approaching the key psychological level of 160. Despite recent intervention signals from the Bank of Japan, carry trades remain active as the interest rate differential between the U.S. and Japan is unlikely to narrow substantially.
  • EUR/USD (EURUSD): Reported at 1.15385, down 0.04%. Pressured by a stronger dollar and expectations of rising energy costs in Europe, the euro remains under pressure around 1.15, with volatility significantly narrowing.

3. 貴金屬和大宗商品

貴金屬

  • 現貨黃金（XAUUSD）: Reported at $4,656.76 per ounce. Up $6.12 intraday, a gain of 0.13%. After hitting a record high, gold remains in high-level consolidation. The “supply chain disruption” risk from geopolitical conflicts and medium- to long-term inflation hedging demand keep it trading at a premium even amid a stronger dollar.
  • 現貨白銀 (XAGUSD): Reported at $72.758 per ounce. Slightly down 0.02% intraday, showing relatively stable performance.

大宗商品

  • 原油（XTIUSD）: Reported at $113.43 per barrel. Up strongly by 0.53% intraday. The Middle East situation has evolved to a stage where “key supply nodes may be disrupted,” and the market is pricing in liquidity premiums for channels such as the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices holding above $110 further complicate global anti-inflation efforts.

4. 加密資產與宏觀動態

  • 比特幣（BTCUSD）: Reported at $68,859. Unchanged intraday with 0.00% fluctuation. After previous sharp volatility, BTC has entered a consolidation phase below the $70,000 level. As institutionalization deepens, its correlation with traditional risk assets has somewhat diverged in a risk-off environment.
  • 以太坊 (ETHUSD): Reported at $2,114.30, up 0.33% intraday. ETH shows some recovery momentum, but remains constrained by concerns over declining DeFi activity and the return of Ethereum network inflation.

5. 今日重點

  • U.S. Core Durable Goods Orders MoM
  • U.S. Durable Goods Orders MoM
  • Canada Ivey PMI