Amillex Daily Market Commentary | Easing External Tensions Suppress Safe-Haven Demand, Gold and Oil Prices Experience Sharp Volatility

April 15, 2026 – Global financial markets showed mixed performance during the early Asian session on Wednesday. Although spot gold surged more than 2% on Tuesday due to a weaker US dollar, briefly reaching around $4,837.70 per ounce, market sentiment is shifting alongside the latest developments in regional tensions. Expectations that talks aimed at resolving localized conflicts may resume soon have weakened the previously strong safe-haven premium supporting gold prices. This has not only capped further upside in precious metals but also triggered profit-taking near key resistance levels, leading to a short-term reshuffling between bullish and bearish forces.

Meanwhile, the energy market has reacted strongly to these easing expectations. News of potential dialogue resumption has quickly reduced concerns over supply disruptions, causing crude oil prices to plunge more than 6% on Tuesday, currently trading near $91.43 per barrel and testing the key psychological support at $90 intraday. The sharp pullback in oil has eased global inflation expectations to some extent, weakening the inflation-hedging appeal of precious metals. Looking ahead, if talks achieve substantive progress, risk appetite may further recover and gold could retrace part of its previous gains; otherwise, renewed tensions may allow bulls to capitalize on USD weakness for another upward push.

資產績效與基本面分析

1. 美國股票市場

指數表現

道瓊指數（DJI）: 48,535.99, up 317.74 points (+0.66%). Market focus shifted toward traditional blue chips, with value stocks supporting resilience above 48,000.
標準普爾500指數（SP500）: 6,976.30, up 0.06%. The index remains range-bound below the 7,000 level, with cautious sentiment near key resistance.
納斯達克100指數（NQ1）: 26,018.75, up 0.08%. Tech growth stocks have entered a consolidation phase after strong gains, awaiting further macro catalysts.

股票亮點

Tesla (TSLA) / Amazon (AMZN) / Google (GOOG): All gained over 3%, with Tesla particularly strong (+3.34%), indicating continued risk appetite in core assets.
Intel (INTC) and Apple (AAPL): Weaker performance, down 2.10% and 0.14% respectively, reflecting defensive positioning ahead of earnings season.

2. 外匯市場

美元指數（DXY）: 98.113, up 0.01%. The dollar remains range-bound near 98 as markets price in the Fed’s latest guidance amid policy uncertainty.
美元/日元: 158.868, up 0.04%. Yen depreciation persists as yield differentials remain wide, keeping the pair below 159.
歐元兌美元: 1.17941, down 0.01%. Weak European recovery limits euro strength against a firm USD.

3. 貴金屬和大宗商品

貴金屬

現貨黃金（XAUUSD）: Around $4,831/oz, down $10.13 (-0.21%). Profit-taking emerges above $4,800 amid USD liquidity shifts.
現貨白銀 (XAGUSD): $79.48/oz, down 0.11%. Selling pressure remains near $80.

大宗商品

原油（XTIUSD）: $90.37/barrel, down 1.88%. Falling below $92 support reflects easing inflation pressure from energy.

4. 加密貨幣與宏觀經濟

比特幣（BTCUSD）: $74,585, up 0.54%, stabilizing near $75K.
以太坊 (ETHUSD): $2,337.66, up 0.61%. Mild rebound continues amid limited liquidity inflows.

5. 重要事件