Amillex Daily Market Review | Safe-Haven Demand Keeps Gold Firm at Elevated Levels, Markets Await Nonfarm Payrolls

March 5, 2026 — During early Asian trading, spot gold hovered around $5,170 per ounce, extending the upward momentum seen since Wednesday. Ongoing geopolitical tensions have intensified market concerns over potential supply disruptions, particularly as a key shipping route remains blocked for a fifth consecutive day, significantly boosting safe-haven inflows.

Although U.S. February ADP employment data came in stronger than expected, a substantial downward revision to January’s figures has left markets cautious about the underlying strength of the labor market. From a macro perspective, safe-haven premium has become the primary factor underpinning gold prices.

Attention now shifts to Friday’s U.S. February Nonfarm Payrolls report, which is expected to provide clearer guidance on the Federal Reserve’s next monetary policy steps. Fundamentally, while volatility at elevated levels remains pronounced, the combination of geopolitical uncertainty and supportive macro dynamics continues to favor bullish sentiment. Technically, gold retains the potential to challenge historical highs after periods of consolidation.

Asset Performance & Fundamental Analysis

1. 美國股票市場

指數表現

道瓊工業平均指數（DJI）： 48,739.41, up approximately 0.49% on the day. The index remains relatively stable, with defensive buying emerging in heavyweight components after previous volatility.
標準普爾500指數（SPX）： 6,890.56, up 0.25%. The market is currently consolidating near record highs.
納斯達克100指數（NQ）： 25,209.00, up 0.32%. The tech sector continues to show resilience, reflecting an ongoing repricing of growth assets under the current interest rate outlook.

焦點股票

特斯拉（TSLA）： $405.94, surging 3.44%. Supported by sector-specific policy expectations and a technical breakout, Tesla significantly outperformed the broader market, serving as a key source of alpha within the technology space.

2. 外匯市場

美元指數（DXY）： 98.772, flat on the day (0.00%). The dollar is trading in a tight range near 98.80, as markets await clearer signals from upcoming labor or inflation data to reassess the Fed’s terminal rate outlook.
美元/日圓： 156.801, down 0.16%. The yen staged a modest rebound as markets price in potential policy tightening risks from the Bank of Japan, while also hedging against broader macro uncertainty.
歐元兌美元： 1.16415, up 0.07%. The euro remains range-bound above the 1.16 level, lacking strong economic catalysts to trigger a decisive breakout against the dollar.

3. 貴金屬和大宗商品

貴金屬

現貨黃金（XAU/USD）： $5,170.44, up 0.57%. Gold continues to demonstrate strong technical support above the $5,100 level.
現貨白銀（XAG/USD）： $84.1347, up 0.71%. Silver’s gains are outpacing gold, reflecting a dual dynamic between its industrial demand profile and precious metals premium.

大宗商品

WTI Crude (XTI/USD): $75.82, down 0.42%. Oil prices faced resistance near $75, as supply increase expectations compete with slowing global manufacturing demand.

4. 加密資產與宏觀發展

比特幣（BTC/USD）： $72,851, up 0.22%. Following a notable technical pullback, Bitcoin has entered a consolidation phase. Markets are reassessing risk appetite for digital assets in a higher-rate environment.
以太坊（ETH/USD）： $2,128.8, up 0.04%. Price action has flattened, with intraday volatility narrowing as the Ethereum ecosystem currently lacks near-term macro catalysts.

5. 今日重點