Amillex Daily Market Commentary | Fed Holds Rates, Gold Slips Below the 5,000 Mark

Global financial markets saw sharp volatility on 19 March 2026 following the latest Federal Reserve decision. Spot gold came under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, falling nearly 4% during the session and briefly touching a monthly low of USD 4,809 before recovering slightly to trade around USD 4,831.

Although the Fed kept interest rates unchanged as expected, its policy statement came across more hawkish than markets had anticipated. Officials stressed that inflation remains stubborn and signalled there may only be room for one rate cut this year.

Meanwhile, the energy market moved in the opposite direction. US crude oil surged nearly 3% to USD 98.30 per barrel as geopolitical tensions sharply increased concerns over potential supply disruptions, quickly rebuilding the market’s risk premium.

Markets are now caught between tighter monetary policy and rising geopolitical uncertainty. With expectations for a June rate cut fading significantly, gold may remain under short-term pressure, with the USD 4,800 level now seen as a key support zone.

資産パフォーマンスとファンダメンタル概要

1. 米国株式市場

インデックスパフォーマンス

ダウ・ジョーンズ工業株平均 closed at 46,225.15, down 766.45 points or 1.63%. The pullback toward the 46,000 support zone reflects continued repricing in heavyweight stocks under a prolonged high-rate environment.
S&P 500 ended at 6,620.95, up 0.09%. Despite broader market weakness, the index showed resilience around the 6,600 area.
ナスダック100 finished at 24,616.00, down 0.14%, with technology stocks facing increased volatility under a hawkish Fed outlook.

注目の銘柄

Tesla, Inc. closed at USD 392.78, down 1.63%. Concerns over tighter liquidity and softer consumer demand pushed the stock lower, with price action testing resistance near the USD 400 psychological level.

2. 外国為替市場

米ドル指数 stood at 100.128. While the Fed maintained rates, much of the hawkish tone had already been priced in by the market.
ユーロ/米ドル traded at 1.14738, up 0.19%. The euro found technical buying support above 1.14 as dollar momentum eased, though weak European fundamentals continue to cap upside potential.
米ドル/円 traded at 159.791, down 0.01%. The yen remains highly volatile below the 160 level, with traders closely watching potential follow-up action from Bank of Japan.

3. 貴金属および商品

貴金属

Spot gold (XAU/USD) traded around USD 4,841.86 per ounce, up 0.49%. Safe-haven demand returned despite high interest rates, with inflation hedging and geopolitical premium continuing to dominate price action.
Spot silver (XAG/USD) traded at USD 76.40 per ounce, up 1.34%. Silver showed stronger intraday momentum than gold, breaking through several technical resistance levels.

商品

Crude oil (XTI/USD) traded at USD 99.03 per barrel, down 0.55%. Oil faced resistance near the USD 100 mark as markets balanced geopolitical supply risks against slowing global demand.

4. 暗号資産とマクロ経済動向

ビットコイン traded at USD 71,026, down 0.33%. Bitcoin remained range-bound above USD 70,000, with crypto increasingly showing characteristics of a digital safe-haven asset.
イーサリアム traded at USD 2,194.3, down 0.40%. Ethereum underperformed Bitcoin slightly, reflecting softer on-chain activity amid tighter liquidity expectations.

5. 今日注目すべき主要イベント