Amillex Daily Market Review | Gold Reclaims the $4,400 Level; Escalating Geopolitical Tensions Surge Oil Prices by Nearly 7%

On the morning of Tuesday, August 11, 2026, during early Asian trading, global commodity markets experienced a strong rebound. Spot gold surged past the $4,400/oz mark intraday. Gold prices found solid support driven by technical buying, continuous central bank purchases globally, and safe-haven demand ahead of key inflation data releases. Meanwhile, the energy market witnessed severe volatility. Following a nearly 7% surge on Monday, WTI crude oil continued to trade near high levels at $82.10/barrel early Tuesday. The ongoing geopolitical friction between the US and Iran has dimmed prospects for a agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, instantly igniting bullish sentiment over potential supply disruptions.

Looking ahead, market focus is strictly locked on the upcoming US core inflation data. If inflation cools down, expectations for Federal Reserve easing will further boost gold prices; conversely, resilient inflation may temporarily cap gold’s upside potential. For crude oil, the follow-up developments in diplomatic negotiations will serve as the core variable driving short-term price movements. If tensions in the Strait of Hormuz remain at a standstill, oil prices may embark on a new round of upward consolidation.

عملکرد دارایی و تحلیل بنیادی

۱. بازار سهام ایالات متحده

عملکرد شاخص
- میانگین صنعتی داو جونز (DJI): Reported at 53,981.41, down 60.99 points or 0.11% intraday. The index fluctuated narrowly below 54,000 as heavy-weight cyclical and traditional value sectors faced profit-taking at elevated levels, entering a short-term consolidation phase after previous rallies.
- شاخص S&P 500 (SP500): Reported at 7,761.37, slightly down 0.73 points or 0.01% intraday. The S&P 500 maintained a slight consolidation at high levels throughout the day as bulls and bears reached a stalemate. Capital rotated frequently between tech growth and defensive sectors, demonstrating resilient support above 7,750 points.
- شاخص نزدک ۱۰۰ (NQ1!): Reported at 29,748.75, up 11.75 points or 0.04%. The tech-heavy index showed strong resilience near 29,750 points. Despite pressure on semiconductor and hardware leaders, strong performances from mega-cap tech platforms supported overall valuations.
تمرکز سهام
- اپل (AAPL): Reported at $308.26, down 1.62% (-$5.07). Affected by short-term supply chain adjustments and hardware expectations, the stock pulled back from high levels to digest gains below $310.
- اینتل (INTC): Reported at $97.52, down significantly by 4.06% (-$4.13). Leading the decline in the semiconductor sector, worries over the competitive landscape and capital expenditure recovery cycles triggered concentrated short-term profit-taking.
- آمازون (AMZN): Reported at $278.09, up 1.32% (+$3.61). Positive expectations regarding capital returns in cloud services and e-commerce continue to attract long-term capital toward big tech platforms with strong cash flow moats.
- الفبا (GOOG): Reported at $357.52, up 0.91% (+$3.22). Driven by the accelerated commercialization of its AI ecosystem, it continued its upward rebound, providing steady market cap support for the Nasdaq.
- تسلا (TSLA): Reported at $330.88, up 0.70% (+$2.30). Supported at the key pivot level of $330, maintaining a choppy yet upward pattern boosted by favorable fundamentals in autonomous driving and energy storage demand.

۲. بازار ارز خارجی

شاخص دلار آمریکا (DXY): Reported at 99.768, slightly down 0.04% (-0.039) intraday. The US Dollar Index consolidated below the 100 mark. As the Fed’s monetary policy path enters a crucial rebalancing phase and rate cut expectations are fully priced in, the currency temporarily lacks directional breakthrough momentum.
دلار آمریکا/ین ژاپن: Reported at 159.196, down 0.07% (-0.112). Rebound momentum for the Yen remained constrained at higher levels, with the exchange rate oscillating around the key 159 threshold. The high US-Japan interest rate differential continues to encourage carry trade capital, capping Yen appreciation.
یورو/دلار آمریکا: Reported at 1.15471, slightly up 0.04% (+0.00048). The Euro maintained a weak consolidation pattern near 1.1550. The ECB’s monetary policy pace paired with lagging economic recovery in the Eurozone makes it difficult for the Euro to build an independent, strong breakthrough trend.

۳. فلزات گرانبها و کالاها

فلزات گرانبها
- طلای اسپات (XAUUSD): Reported at $4,411.585/oz, gaining $21.350 or 0.49% intraday. Gold continued to refresh its high trading range. Continuous pricing of geopolitical risk premiums and long-term concerns over global central bank balance sheet expansion drove safe-haven and de-dollarization capital inflows.
- نقره اسپات (XAGUSD): Reported at $66.135/oz, surging 0.60% (+$0.39715). Silver continued to outperform gold, breaking through $66. The resonance between safe-haven properties and industrial demand sustained strong upward elasticity.
کالاها
- نفت خام WTI (XTIUSD): Reported at $82.25/barrel, pulling back slightly by 0.22% (-$0.18). Oil prices fluctuated at high levels above $82. Intensifying tug-of-war between supply-side geopolitical risks and global macroeconomic demand expectations created technical profit-taking pressure at higher price points.

۴. دارایی‌های رمزنگاری‌شده و پویایی‌های کلان

بیت کوین (BTCUSD): Reported at $63,904, slightly down 0.01% (-$8). BTC traded sideways with low volume below $64,000. Divergence in market liquidity prompted funds to shift toward traditional hard assets like precious metals, exhibiting short-term range consolidation features.
اتریوم (ETHUSD): Reported at $1,871.45, flat at 0.00% (+$0.01). ETH remained subdued, establishing a bottom consolidation near the $1,870 pivot level. Capital fragmentation within the ecosystem constrained its rebound magnitude.

۵. رویدادهای کلیدی امروز