Amillex Daily Market Review | Gold Reclaims the $4,400 Level; Escalating Geopolitical Tensions Surge Oil Prices by Nearly 7%

On the morning of Tuesday, August 11, 2026, during early Asian trading, global commodity markets experienced a strong rebound. Spot gold surged past the $4,400/oz mark intraday. Gold prices found solid support driven by technical buying, continuous central bank purchases globally, and safe-haven demand ahead of key inflation data releases. Meanwhile, the energy market witnessed severe volatility. Following a nearly 7% surge on Monday, WTI crude oil continued to trade near high levels at $82.10/barrel early Tuesday. The ongoing geopolitical friction between the US and Iran has dimmed prospects for a agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, instantly igniting bullish sentiment over potential supply disruptions.

Looking ahead, market focus is strictly locked on the upcoming US core inflation data. If inflation cools down, expectations for Federal Reserve easing will further boost gold prices; conversely, resilient inflation may temporarily cap gold’s upside potential. For crude oil, the follow-up developments in diplomatic negotiations will serve as the core variable driving short-term price movements. If tensions in the Strait of Hormuz remain at a standstill, oil prices may embark on a new round of upward consolidation.

Asset Performance & Fundamental Analysis

1. US Stock Market

Index Performance
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI): Reported at 53,981.41, down 60.99 points or 0.11% intraday. The index fluctuated narrowly below 54,000 as heavy-weight cyclical and traditional value sectors faced profit-taking at elevated levels, entering a short-term consolidation phase after previous rallies.
- S&P 500 Index (SP500): Reported at 7,761.37, slightly down 0.73 points or 0.01% intraday. The S&P 500 maintained a slight consolidation at high levels throughout the day as bulls and bears reached a stalemate. Capital rotated frequently between tech growth and defensive sectors, demonstrating resilient support above 7,750 points.
- Nasdaq 100 Index (NQ1!): Reported at 29,748.75, up 11.75 points or 0.04%. The tech-heavy index showed strong resilience near 29,750 points. Despite pressure on semiconductor and hardware leaders, strong performances from mega-cap tech platforms supported overall valuations.
Stock Focus
- Apple (AAPL): Reported at $308.26, down 1.62% (-$5.07). Affected by short-term supply chain adjustments and hardware expectations, the stock pulled back from high levels to digest gains below $310.
- Intel (INTC): Reported at $97.52, down significantly by 4.06% (-$4.13). Leading the decline in the semiconductor sector, worries over the competitive landscape and capital expenditure recovery cycles triggered concentrated short-term profit-taking.
- Amazon (AMZN): Reported at $278.09, up 1.32% (+$3.61). Positive expectations regarding capital returns in cloud services and e-commerce continue to attract long-term capital toward big tech platforms with strong cash flow moats.
- Alphabet (GOOG): Reported at $357.52, up 0.91% (+$3.22). Driven by the accelerated commercialization of its AI ecosystem, it continued its upward rebound, providing steady market cap support for the Nasdaq.
- Tesla (TSLA): Reported at $330.88, up 0.70% (+$2.30). Supported at the key pivot level of $330, maintaining a choppy yet upward pattern boosted by favorable fundamentals in autonomous driving and energy storage demand.

2. Foreign Exchange Market

US Dollar Index (DXY): Reported at 99.768, slightly down 0.04% (-0.039) intraday. The US Dollar Index consolidated below the 100 mark. As the Fed’s monetary policy path enters a crucial rebalancing phase and rate cut expectations are fully priced in, the currency temporarily lacks directional breakthrough momentum.
USD/JPY: Reported at 159.196, down 0.07% (-0.112). Rebound momentum for the Yen remained constrained at higher levels, with the exchange rate oscillating around the key 159 threshold. The high US-Japan interest rate differential continues to encourage carry trade capital, capping Yen appreciation.
EUR/USD: Reported at 1.15471, slightly up 0.04% (+0.00048). The Euro maintained a weak consolidation pattern near 1.1550. The ECB’s monetary policy pace paired with lagging economic recovery in the Eurozone makes it difficult for the Euro to build an independent, strong breakthrough trend.

3. Precious Metals & Commodities

Metalli preziosi
- Spot Gold (XAUUSD): Reported at $4,411.585/oz, gaining $21.350 or 0.49% intraday. Gold continued to refresh its high trading range. Continuous pricing of geopolitical risk premiums and long-term concerns over global central bank balance sheet expansion drove safe-haven and de-dollarization capital inflows.
- Spot Silver (XAGUSD): Reported at $66.135/oz, surging 0.60% (+$0.39715). Silver continued to outperform gold, breaking through $66. The resonance between safe-haven properties and industrial demand sustained strong upward elasticity.
Commodities
- WTI Crude Oil (XTIUSD): Reported at $82.25/barrel, pulling back slightly by 0.22% (-$0.18). Oil prices fluctuated at high levels above $82. Intensifying tug-of-war between supply-side geopolitical risks and global macroeconomic demand expectations created technical profit-taking pressure at higher price points.

4. Crypto Assets & Macro Dynamics

Bitcoin (BTCUSD): Reported at $63,904, slightly down 0.01% (-$8). BTC traded sideways with low volume below $64,000. Divergence in market liquidity prompted funds to shift toward traditional hard assets like precious metals, exhibiting short-term range consolidation features.
Ethereum (ETHUSD): Reported at $1,871.45, flat at 0.00% (+$0.01). ETH remained subdued, establishing a bottom consolidation near the $1,870 pivot level. Capital fragmentation within the ecosystem constrained its rebound magnitude.

5. Key Events Today