현재 보고 계신 내용은 다음과 같습니다. Amillex Daily Market Commentary | Periodic easing of market risk aversion; US stocks recover, silver hits new highs, and crypto assets await directional choice.

아밀렉스 일일 시장 논평 | 시장 위험 회피 심리의 주기적 완화; 미국 증시 회복세, 은 가격 사상 최고치 경신, 암호화폐 자산은 향후 방향성 모색 중.

December 22, 2025. Last Friday, major US stock indices closed higher, with tech stocks notably leading the Nasdaq and S&P 500, offsetting some weakness in consumer and small-cap stocks. Lower-than-expected US inflation data reignited market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, leading to a visible recovery in risk appetite. Precious metals remained resilient, with gold holding at high levels and silver surging strongly to reach record highs. Energy prices rebounded slightly but remained in a downward-oscillating trend overall. In the forex market, the US Dollar Index stayed within a stable range, EUR/USD faced downward pressure, and the Yen performed weakly despite the Bank of Japan’s interest rate hike. Overall, the market exhibited a volatile recovery trend influenced by the interplay of macro data and central bank policy signals. 

자산 유형별 시장 성과 및 기본적 분석 

1. 미국 주식 시장:  

지수 성과:  

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose only about 0.38%, weighed down by a significant drop in consumer discretionary stocks like Nike. 
  • The S&P 500 Index rose about 0.88%.  
  • The Nasdaq Index climbed strongly by about 1.31% due to the outstanding performance of the AI sector. 

주식 집중 분석:  

  • Micron Technology continued its strong performance, closing up about 7%, acting as a core driver for the tech sector’s corrective rally.  
  • Oracle closed up about 6.6%, pulling some AI and enterprise software stocks higher.  
  • Nvidia and Broadcom rose about 3.9% and 3.2% respectively, boosting the overall performance of the tech sector. 

주요 요인: Lower-than-expected US inflation reinforced expectations for the start of a rate-cutting cycle and improved risk appetite. Earnings in the tech sector and a shift in capital allocation back to growth names boosted overall market sentiment. 

2. 외환 시장: USD steady, Euro under pressure, Yen weakens on policy signals. 

  • The US Dollar Index remained in range-bound fluctuations; the Dollar was generally steady against major currencies;  
  • EUR/USD faced pressure due to the European Central Bank standing pat and expectations of a Dollar rebound, oscillating near the 1.17 level in the short term;  
  • USD/JPY rose as the Yen performed weakly; although the Bank of Japan raised its policy rate to 0.75% as expected, the post-meeting statement lacked clear guidance on future hikes (or was not hawkish enough);  

3. 귀금속 및 원자재: Mixed impact from falling inflation and rising risk appetite; overall volatile trend. 

귀금속:  

  • Spot gold (XAUUSD) traded above $4,300 per ounce, recording a slight gain on Friday. 
  • Spot silver (XAGUSD) continued its significant uptrend for the year, refreshing record highs and approaching $67.50 per ounce, with a year-to-date gain exceeding 130%.  

상품:  

  • WTI Crude Oil prices rose slightly on Friday but remained within their low-range oscillation for the year. 

4. 암호화 자산: 

  • Bitcoin (BTC) rebounded slightly to approximately $87,800;  
  • Ethereum (ETH) performed slightly stronger than BTC, rising to around $3,000, though it remains in a high-volatility range at lower levels. 

5. 오늘의 초점 

  • No impactful economic data to monitor today.