{"id":4367,"date":"2026-04-02T19:09:37","date_gmt":"2026-04-02T08:09:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=4367"},"modified":"2026-04-03T19:48:01","modified_gmt":"2026-04-03T08:48:01","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-weaker-dollar-drives-gold-to-five-day-rally-easing-geopolitical-expectations-weigh-on-oil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/zh_tw\/2026\/04\/02\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-weaker-dollar-drives-gold-to-five-day-rally-easing-geopolitical-expectations-weigh-on-oil\/","title":{"rendered":"Amillex\u6bcf\u65e5\u5e02\u5834\u8a55\u8ad6 | \u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u8edf\u63a8\u52d5\u9ec3\u91d1\u9023\u7e8c\u4e94\u5929\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u9810\u671f\u7de9\u89e3\u4ee4\u6cb9\u50f9\u627f\u58d3\u3002"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-8392d615b89b4a2ac8c18638e4a9d52e\" style=\"font-size:18px\">April 2, 2026 \u2014 Global commodity markets showed a notable recovery trend amid the interplay of multiple macroeconomic factors. Spot gold extended its recent strong rebound, recording gains for the fifth consecutive trading session and steadily trading near the $4,800\/oz level intraday. The primary driver behind this rally is the pullback of the U.S. Dollar Index from recent highs, which has created upward room for precious metals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-64232327fb5c4c76eaab6cc6bd64586d\" style=\"font-size:18px\">At the same time, although market sentiment has stabilized following earlier volatility, the repricing of inflation expectations and real interest rate trajectories has allowed gold to demonstrate strong resilience and sustained buying support after its first-quarter correction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-05619fec690317e1dffdd5342d89297e\" style=\"font-size:18px\">On the macro front, expectations of a marginal easing in geopolitical tensions have become a key factor in suppressing safe-haven premiums. As involved parties signal a potential end to military actions, previously heightened market anxiety has eased. This shift has directly triggered a correction in energy markets, with crude oil prices falling by more than 1% to around $98.85 per barrel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-d9ddc44ffe33307af96bed7501c56cc9\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Currently, the market is in a phase shaped by the dual forces of \u201ccooling tensions\u201d and \u201cpolicy dynamics.\u201d While short-term safe-haven demand has softened, continued weakness in upcoming macroeconomic data could enable gold to consolidate above $4,800 and potentially initiate a new structural uptrend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color has-medium-font-size wp-elements-c9c1b3b827ca6cfe957daffd92325b2f\"><strong>\u8cc7\u7522\u7e3e\u6548\u8207\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-cec4609f5df4e02d6be3afbf257fc236\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>1. \u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u5834<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-68288ff8ead281a9e7169393a284baa9\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u6307\u6578\u8868\u73fe<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-f4f3c6baf91b5e3720b32f0f939c631b\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e500\u6307\u6578\uff08SP500\uff09\uff1a<\/strong> Around 6,530 points (6.53K), up 2.91%. After recent volatility, the index shows strong rebound momentum, with market sentiment shifting from defensive to risk-on, and earnings growth expectations being repriced.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-45f689dee1113db0b2c7f9a3e6ad4100\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u9053\u74ca\u5de5\u696d\u5e73\u5747\u6307\u6578\uff08DJI\uff09\uff1a<\/strong> 46,565.74, up 224.23 points (+0.48%). Blue-chip value stocks remain resilient, holding above the 46,000 level and demonstrating adaptability to the current interest rate environment.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-266a15043bec8914f02825497deb97a6\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u7d0d\u65af\u9054\u514b100\u6307\u6578\uff08NQ1\uff09\uff1a<\/strong> 24,169.00, down 0.11%. Diverging from the broader rally, reflecting sector rotation as AI-driven premium capital flows into semiconductor hardware and application segments.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-e1e0ba72777c1db053ca940b33650023\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u80a1\u7968\u4eae\u9ede<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-e9568a494d437530d9ad98b4ae0199d6\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u82f1\u7279\u723e\uff08INTC\uff09\uff1a<\/strong> $48.03, surged 8.84%, leading the market as investors price in process technology breakthroughs and supply chain localization benefits.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-8715eff800d35f6202e44582a6fdcb46\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Google (GOOC) &amp; Tesla (TSLA):<\/strong> Up 3.42% and 2.56% respectively. Tech giants show mixed performance, but growth stocks are benefiting from valuation recovery as rate expectations stabilize.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-6b596d61f2f648b6ba6c46d0f949be49\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u860b\u679c\u516c\u53f8\uff08AAPL\uff09\uff1a<\/strong> $255.63, up 0.73%, trading steadily above the $250 range with moderate performance.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-21aaa71026e7b2ce11db8ebdbe7a7682\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>2. \u5916\u532f\u5e02\u5834<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9fd5412db6ff53c8f9bb1af8dd44bd2a\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\uff08DXY\uff09\uff1a<\/strong> 99.516, down 0.04%. Hovering below the key 100 level, with reduced bullish momentum as the Fed\u2019s policy signals become more balanced.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-377e9ca0e7139688c57df357e2273872\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u6b50\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\uff1a<\/strong> 1.15946, up 0.04%. The euro remains weak within a long-term consolidation range, with markets awaiting updated Q2 economic projections from the ECB.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9ac8a856222b353abfce6992ac4c2fa7\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u7f8e\u5143\/\u65e5\u5713\uff1a<\/strong> 158.658, down 0.08%. The yen finds support near 160, with carry trade unwinding and potential BOJ intervention limiting further depreciation.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-a72da6323ee86619a53088f30ac35603\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>3. \u8cb4\u91d1\u5c6c\u548c\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-1f3a56e3f676e3e736cf6ecb28a64b82\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u8cb4\u91d1\u5c6c<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-c169827e67f5c6c0e2db301817a542e3\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u73fe\u8ca8\u9ec3\u91d1\uff08XAUUSD\uff09\uff1a<\/strong> ~$4,786.98\/oz, up 0.61%. Gold remains elevated above $4,700 despite prior sharp gains, supported by safe-haven demand and structural central bank balance sheet dynamics.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-f0d71459aa54f785eecdaeddee569dd4\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u73fe\u8ca8\u767d\u9280\uff08XAGUSD\uff09\uff1a<\/strong> $75.712\/oz, up 0.90%. Silver outperforms gold again, reflecting additional support from improving industrial demand expectations.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-136e4d0f30e2981cad68fd8b510db29b\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-ff06bb162c7a1394451cef9161656bcf\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u539f\u6cb9\uff08XTIUSD\uff09\uff1a<\/strong> $97.93\/barrel, down 1.24%. Prices faced selling pressure near the $100 level, as concerns grow that elevated oil prices could trigger secondary inflation and dampen demand.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-a08b689bd130f9d1af6de755f1388d2b\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>4. \u52a0\u5bc6\u8cc7\u7522\u8207\u5b8f\u89c0\u52d5\u614b<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-b29318225fbdee94bf18cbe8aeb8dd53\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u6bd4\u7279\u5e63\uff08BTCUSD\uff09\uff1a<\/strong> $68,454, up 0.52%. Trading sideways below the $70,000 level, with markets watching ETF inflows and liquidity conditions.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-da08f604a6c779b811502f8081502418\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u4ee5\u592a\u574a\uff08ETHUSD\uff09\uff1a<\/strong> $2,150.93, up 0.50%. Moving in line with the broader market, lacking independent catalysts and remaining in a low-volatility consolidation phase.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-2382de167ab42d07283a13fde8a83392\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>5. \u4eca\u65e5\u91cd\u9ede<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-cdaef3e9dc3674cd65cfc224768d165b\" style=\"font-size:18px\">U.S. Initial Jobless Claims (week ending March 28)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>April 2, 2026 \u2014 Global commodity markets showed a notable recovery trend amid the interplay of multiple macroeconomic factors. Spot gold extended its recent strong rebound, recording gains for the fifth consecutive trading session and steadily trading near the $4,800\/oz level intraday. The primary driver behind this rally is the pullback of the U.S. Dollar [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":4363,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4367","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-english-news","entry","has-media"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4367","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4367"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4367\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4368,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4367\/revisions\/4368"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4363"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4367"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4367"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4367"}],"curies":[{"name":"\u53ef\u6fd5\u6027\u7c89\u5291","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}