{"id":3817,"date":"2026-02-04T15:37:33","date_gmt":"2026-02-04T04:37:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=3817"},"modified":"2026-02-04T15:37:35","modified_gmt":"2026-02-04T04:37:35","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-political-uncertainty-fuels-gold-rebound-above-4900","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/zh_tw\/2026\/02\/04\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-political-uncertainty-fuels-gold-rebound-above-4900\/","title":{"rendered":"Amillex\u6bcf\u65e5\u5e02\u5834\u8a55\u8ad6 | \u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u63a8\u52d5\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u53cd\u5f48\u81f34900\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u65b9\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-40b4c720191c028f9f7143974cf95997\" style=\"font-size:18px\">2026\u5e742\u67084\u65e5\uff0c\u5ddd\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u4e00\u9805\u91cd\u91cf\u7d1a\u63d0\u540d\u518d\u6b21\u5f15\u767c\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u5287\u70c8\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002\u96a8\u8457\u7acb\u5834\u66f4\u300c\u9df9\u6d3e\u300d\u7684\u51f1\u6587\u00b7\u6c83\u4ec0\u88ab\u63d0\u540d\u63a5\u66ff\u5373\u5c07\u96e2\u4efb\u7684\u5091\u7f85\u59c6\u00b7\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u672a\u4f86\u653f\u7b56\u8d70\u5411\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u53d7\u5230\u52d5\u6416\u3002&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-ba2e9a6c6c097c80ba6a2d508a059d54\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u5118\u7ba1\u7f8e\u570b 1 \u6708\u88fd\u9020\u696d PMI \u53cd\u5f48\u81f3 52.6\uff0c\u9054\u5230\u8fd1\u4e09\u5e74\u534a\u4ee5\u4f86\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u51f8\u986f\u4e86\u570b\u5167\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u97cc\u6027\u548c\u64f4\u5f35\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\u9031\u4e8c\u537b\u51fa\u4eba\u610f\u6599\u5730\u4e0b\u8dcc 0.12% \u81f3 97.42\uff0c\u7d50\u675f\u4e86\u6b64\u524d 1.5% \u7684\u6f32\u52e2\u3002&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-5e42f18905b9affdc52980fec9436b99\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u53d7\u6b64\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u73fe\u8ca8\u9ec3\u91d1\u9031\u4e8c\u5f37\u52e2\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u76e4\u4e2d\u4e00\u5ea6\u98c6\u5347\u8d85\u904e6,100\u5146\u76e7\u6bd4\uff0c\u5275\u4e0b\u81ea2008\u5e74\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u6a5f\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u5927\u55ae\u65e5\u6f32\u5e45\u3002\u4e9e\u6d32\u4ea4\u6613\u6642\u6bb5\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u7a69\u5065\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u8207\u6240\u8b02\u300c\u6c83\u4ec0\u885d\u64ca\u300d\u5f15\u767c\u7684\u7a7a\u982d\u56de\u88dc\u76f8\u7d50\u5408\uff0c\u91d1\u50f9\u4f01\u7a69\u65bc\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f84974\u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u3002&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-f170edda134711bc7ddb4faab9683a70\" style=\"font-size:20px\"><strong>\u8cc7\u7522\u5e02\u5834\u8868\u73fe\u8207\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u5206\u6790<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-0819a3863ca0df6beba3bcd366ba958e\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>1. \u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u5834<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-11a8b7ba65f6a75934a331b5b63d7d73\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u6307\u6578\u8868\u73fe<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-e944cca36dbe31d1d306d33f1ace9eae\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u9053\u74ca\u5de5\u696d\u5e73\u5747\u6307\u6578\uff08DJI\uff09\uff1a\u00a0<\/strong>\u5df2\u95dc\u9589\u00a0<strong>49,240.99<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0b\u00a0<strong>167.42 \u5206<\/strong>\u00a0\u6216\u8005\u00a0<strong>0.34%<\/strong>\u5e02\u5834\u5f98\u5f8a\u5728\u5fc3\u7406\u50f9\u4f4d\u9644\u8fd1\u00a0<strong>50,000\u5206<\/strong>\u00a0\u96a8\u8457\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u4e3b\u5e2d\u63d0\u540d\u7684\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u52a0\u5287\uff0c\u6b0a\u91cd\u80a1\u7684\u62cb\u552e\u58d3\u529b\u4e5f\u96a8\u4e4b\u52a0\u5287\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-066f569346e5d8ad9b1beca25e2c1164\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e500\u6307\u6578\uff08SP500\uff09\uff1a\u00a0<\/strong>\u5df2\u95dc\u9589\u00a0<strong>6,918.08<\/strong>\u7565\u4e0b\u964d\u00a0<strong>0.01%<\/strong>\u5118\u7ba1\u8a72\u6307\u6578\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u8f03\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u00a0<strong>6,900<\/strong>\u00a0\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u7684\u7372\u5229\u56de\u5410\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u88ab\u6d41\u5165\u9632\u79a6\u578b\u677f\u584a\u7684\u8cc7\u91d1\u6240\u62b5\u92b7\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-6e0a7adf656d36eaab1dda73ddfaa332\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u7d0d\u65af\u9054\u514b100\u6307\u6578\uff08NQ1\uff09\uff1a\u00a0<\/strong>\u5df2\u95dc\u9589\u00a0<strong>25,432.00<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0b\u00a0<strong>0.08%<\/strong>\u5148\u524d\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u548c\u534a\u5c0e\u9ad4\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u6301\u80a1\u904e\u65bc\u64c1\u64e0\uff0c\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u53bb\u69d3\u687f\u5316\u6d6a\u6f6e\u4e2d\u9762\u81e8\u6280\u8853\u6027\u58d3\u529b\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-8d715533c6ec58385a9f16bb657d1e8f\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u80a1\u7968\u4eae\u9ede<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-3fa070c7176e3e9f2e1816557a5bc189\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u82f1\u7279\u723e\uff08INTC\uff09\uff1a\u00a0<\/strong>\u5df2\u95dc\u9589\u00a0<strong>49.25 \u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0a\u00a0<strong>0.90%<\/strong>\u5132\u5b58\u677f\u584a\u7684\u652f\u6490\u548c\u7d93\u6fdf\u5fa9\u7526\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u5229\u597d\uff0c\u5e6b\u52a9\u8a72\u80a1\u8dd1\u8d0f\u5927\u76e4\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-f7397c4fcc210b1bc8b1b9f1722c1d25\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>2. \u5916\u532f\u5e02\u5834<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-63f46150ea91eb2f8100d8294b1be342\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\uff08DXY\uff09\uff1a\u00a0<\/strong>\u5728\u00a0<strong>97.381<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0b\u00a0<strong>0.23%<\/strong>\u5728\u51f1\u6587\u6c83\u8a31\u88ab\u63d0\u540d\u70ba\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u4e3b\u5e2d\u5f8c\uff0c\u4eba\u5011\u5c0d\u4ed6\u53ef\u80fd\u63a1\u53d6\u7684\u300c\u7e2e\u6e1b\u8cc7\u7522\u8ca0\u50b5\u8868+\u964d\u606f\u300d\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u5834\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u5c0d\u7f8e\u5143\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u7684\u91cd\u65b0\u8a55\u4f30\uff0c\u7d66\u7f8e\u5143\u5e36\u4f86\u4e86\u77ed\u671f\u58d3\u529b\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-224e59f704008254954f27a9b70c49fd\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u6b50\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\uff1a\u00a0<\/strong>\u5728\u00a0<strong>1.1814<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0b\u00a0<strong>0.02%<\/strong>\u5118\u7ba1\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u4f46\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u75b2\u8edf\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u9810\u671f\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u6b50\u5143\u7684\u4e0a\u6f32\u7a7a\u9593\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-c4d5517dbab14c2315e9ad9db4e7bfa9\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u7f8e\u5143\/\u65e5\u5713\uff1a\u00a0<\/strong>\u5728\u00a0<strong>155.88<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0a\u00a0<strong>0.11%<\/strong>\u65e5\u672c\u9996\u76f8\u9ad8\u5e02\u65e9\u82d7\u7684\u8a00\u8ad6\u986f\u793a\u65e5\u5713\u8cb6\u503c\u6709\u5229\u65bc\u51fa\u53e3\uff0c\u9019\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u8fd1\u671f\u5347\u606f\u7684\u9810\u671f\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-ff6a8b443a8bd973ca90a6f1108af1cf\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>3. \u8cb4\u91d1\u5c6c\u548c\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-c39cbaecb9bf76e699535ea0988df6dd\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u8cb4\u91d1\u5c6c<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-417530e2642f6d99fbf28d3d3ab58936\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u73fe\u8ca8\u9ec3\u91d1\uff08XAUUSD\uff09\uff1a<\/strong>\u00a0\u5728\u00a0<strong>\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f84,979.33\u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\u53cd\u5f48\u00a0<strong>0.66%<\/strong>\u00a0\u65e5\u5167\u4ea4\u6613\u3002\u5728\u7d93\u6b77\u4e86\u8fd1\u671f\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u55ae\u65e5\u8dcc\u5e45\u5f8c\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u6b63\u5728\u7d93\u6b77\u8d85\u8ce3\u53cd\u5f48\u3002\u00a0<strong>5000\u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\u00a0\u5fc3\u7406\u5c64\u9762\u6b63\u6210\u70ba\u4e00\u7a2e\u95dc\u9375\u7684\u5b8f\u89c0\u5fc3\u7406\u9632\u885b\u6a5f\u5236\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9db1078b2241ed6cb70cf764c77877a4\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u73fe\u8ca8\u767d\u9280\uff08XAGUSD\uff09\uff1a<\/strong>\u00a0\u5728\u00a0<strong>\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f8 85.0932 \u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0b\u00a0<strong>0.27%<\/strong>\u5728\u7d93\u6b77\u4e86\u5287\u70c8\u6ce2\u52d5\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u5de5\u696d\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u907f\u96aa\u9700\u6c42\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u62c9\u92f8\u6230\u52a0\u5287\uff0c\u767d\u9280\u50f9\u683c\u6b63\u5728\u9ad8\u4f4d\u6280\u8853\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0a\u9032\u884c\u76e4\u6574\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9475610fc825ef459f8fc74a4c4a5372\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9c0808570739395283a07a5813e5227b\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>WTI\u539f\u6cb9\uff08XTIUSD\uff09\uff1a<\/strong>\u00a0\u5728\u00a0<strong>\u6bcf\u687663.88\u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0b\u00a0<strong>0.09%<\/strong>\u96a8\u8457\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u98a8\u96aa\u6ea2\u50f9\u8fc5\u901f\u6d88\u9000\uff0c\u6cb9\u50f9\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u4f4e\u65bc\u2026\u00a0<strong>64\u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\u00a0\u6c34\u5e73\u6b63\u5728\u5c0b\u627e\u8fd1\u671f\u5e95\u90e8\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-e95bfcffc4ef56e88ac33e6beb86e109\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>4. \u6578\u4f4d\u8cc7\u7522\u8207\u5b8f\u89c0\u52d5\u614b<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-f5cc1f046d293caf60bcf3aa0562e791\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u6bd4\u7279\u5e63\uff08BTCUSD\uff09\uff1a\u00a0<\/strong>\u5728\u00a0<strong>75,890 \u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\u53cd\u5f48\u00a0<strong>0.30%<\/strong>\u6253\u7834\u4ee5\u4e0b\u00a0<strong>80,000 \u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\u6295\u6a5f\u6027\u8cc7\u7522\u5c0d\u7f8e\u5143\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u72c0\u6cc1\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\u8868\u73fe\u51fa\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u654f\u611f\u6027\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-b4c8837ce090d23bfd13fca49d01df54\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u4ee5\u592a\u574a\uff08ETHUSD\uff09\uff1a\u00a0<\/strong>\u5728\u00a0<strong>2,243.6 \u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0a\u00a0<strong>0.58%<\/strong>\u5728\u6280\u8853\u6027\u8cb7\u76e4\u7684\u652f\u6490\u4e0b\uff0cETH\u50f9\u683c\u5df2\u7a69\u5b9a\u5728\u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u00a0<strong>2200\u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\u00a0\u652f\u6490\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4f46\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5ea6\u6307\u6a19\u8868\u660e\u5b83\u4ecd\u8655\u65bc\u5f31\u52e2\u8ddf\u96a8\u72c0\u614b\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-21019b0d8b61026b54145cce98b0069d\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>5. \u4eca\u65e5\u91cd\u9ede<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-1e6e1cb929cdb16ebd99c39c63b292e5\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u7d10\u897f\u862d:<\/strong>\u00a0\u5c31\u696d\u4eba\u6578\u8b8a\u52d5\uff08\u5b63\uff09\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-78db9acf2074024f091788806384bc69\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u7d10\u897f\u862d:<\/strong>\u00a0\u5931\u696d\u7387\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-d0ba8011b8a05e95be2e1d4d476bf776\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u6b50\u5143\u5340\uff1a<\/strong>\u00a0\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u5feb\u901f\u9810\u4f30\uff08\u5e74\u6bd4\uff09\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-be7ab60a04aba75e4c989fc9b983cef1\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u6b50\u5143\u5340\uff1a<\/strong>\u00a0CPI \u521d\u6b65\u4f30\u7b97\uff08\u5e74\u6bd4\uff09\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-dcff29aaf124df6266383302f505fd3c\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u7f8e\u570b\uff1a<\/strong>\u00a0ADP\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u8b8a\u5316\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color 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With the nomination of the more \u201chawkish-leaning\u201d Kevin Warsh to succeed the soon-to-depart Jerome Powell, market confidence in the future policy path of the Federal Reserve has been shaken.&nbsp; Despite the U.S. January 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