{"id":3594,"date":"2026-01-12T17:34:52","date_gmt":"2026-01-12T06:34:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=3594"},"modified":"2026-01-12T17:34:53","modified_gmt":"2026-01-12T06:34:53","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-december-nfp-misses-expectations-but-falling-unemployment-signals-ongoing-labor-market-resilience","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/zh_tw\/2026\/01\/12\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-december-nfp-misses-expectations-but-falling-unemployment-signals-ongoing-labor-market-resilience\/","title":{"rendered":"Amillex\u6bcf\u65e5\u5e02\u5834\u8a55\u8ad6 | 12\u6708\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da\u4e0d\u5982\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u4f46\u5931\u696d\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u8868\u660e\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u5e02\u5834\u6301\u7e8c\u4fdd\u6301\u97cc\u6027\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-e31c674d059e36fb7cd8217e3c1b4c95\" style=\"font-size:18px\">2026\u5e741\u670812\u65e5\uff0c\u7e7c\u4e0a\u9031\u4e94\u767c\u5e03\u4eca\u5e74\u9996\u4efd\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u5831\u544a\u5f8c\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u5834\u9032\u5165\u65b0\u4e00\u8f2a\u91cd\u65b0\u5b9a\u50f9\u968e\u6bb5\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u6b63\u5728\u8a55\u4f30\u7f8e\u570b\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u5e02\u5834\u767c\u51fa\u7684\u559c\u6182\u53c3\u534a\u7684\u4fe1\u865f\u3002 12\u6708\u65b0\u589e\u5c31\u696d\u4eba\u6578\u50c55\u842c\u500b\uff0c\u9060\u4f4e\u65bc\u9810\u671f\u76847.3\u842c\u500b\uff0c\u5ef6\u7e8c\u4e862025\u5e74\u672b\u4ee5\u4f86\u7684\u62db\u8058\u653e\u7de9\u8da8\u52e2\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5931\u696d\u7387\u610f\u5916\u964d\u81f34.41\u5146\u76e7\u6bd4\uff0c\u6709\u52a9\u65bc\u63d0\u632f\u5e02\u5834\u60c5\u7dd2\uff0c\u4e26\u7de9\u89e3\u5c0d\u77ed\u671f\u8870\u9000\u7684\u64d4\u6182\u3002\u5f9e\u7d50\u69cb\u4e0a\u770b\uff0c\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u5c31\u696d\u75b2\u8edf\u8207\u653f\u5e9c\u90e8\u9580\u6301\u7e8c\u62db\u8058\u5f62\u6210\u9bae\u660e\u5c0d\u6bd4\uff0c\u51f8\u986f\u4e86\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u5e02\u5834\u7d50\u69cb\u7684\u4e0d\u5e73\u8861\u3002\u5e73\u5747\u6642\u85aa\u74b0\u6bd4\u6210\u95770.31\u5146\u76e7\u6bd4\uff0c\u7b26\u5408\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u85aa\u8cc7\u58d3\u529b\u4ecd\u53ef\u63a7\u3002\u4f5c\u70ba\u8fd1\u671f\u653f\u5e9c\u505c\u64fa\u5f8c\u9996\u4efd\u5b8c\u5168\u6062\u5fa9\u6b63\u5e38\u7684\u52de\u52d5\u5e02\u5834\u5831\u544a\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u6578\u64da\u5f37\u5316\u4e86\u62db\u8058\u653e\u7de9\u4f46\u5c31\u696d\u7a69\u5b9a\u7684\u5c40\u9762\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5e02\u5834\u7d50\u675f\u5047\u671f\u4ea4\u6613\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u91cd\u65b0\u95dc\u6ce82026\u5e74\u7684\u5b8f\u89c0\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u3002&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color has-medium-font-size wp-elements-fc6b2f9b2f4e85fb3ef7141c163db835\"><strong>\u8cc7\u7522\u985e\u5225\u8207\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u5206\u6790<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-0ba6ae63ca8d759399b667964b299eec\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>1. \u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u5834<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-11a8b7ba65f6a75934a331b5b63d7d73\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u6307\u6578\u8868\u73fe<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-1307d00c47d9e5bf58ca63fe555e6082\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u9053\u74ca\u5de5\u696d\u5e73\u5747\u6307\u6578\uff1a<\/strong>\u00a0\u6536 49,504.07 \u9ede\uff0c\u4e0a\u6f32 0.481 \u9ede\u3002\u5728\u9632\u79a6\u578b\u677f\u584a\u548c\u5927\u578b\u91d1\u878d\u80a1\u7684\u652f\u6490\u4e0b\uff0c\u8a72\u6307\u6578\u6301\u7e8c\u5c55\u73fe\u51fa\u5f37\u52c1\u7684\u97cc\u6027\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-77084e688fd7c69196c1e546d5619ce2\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e500\u6307\u6578\uff1a<\/strong>\u00a0\u4e0a\u6f32 0.65% \u81f3 6,967\uff0c\u5275\u4e0b\u6b77\u53f2\u65b0\u6536\u76e4\u9ad8\u9ede\uff0c\u51f8\u986f\u4e86\u5e02\u5834\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u770b\u6f32\u60c5\u7dd2\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-3602d2968ee759a2d10f4bf5c15648a0\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u90a3\u65af\u9054\u514b\u6307\u6578\uff1a<\/strong>\u00a0\u4e0a\u6f32 0.81% \u81f3 23,671.35\u3002\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u76f8\u95dc\u4e3b\u984c\u7684\u6301\u7e8c\u52d5\u80fd\u548c\u6b0a\u91cd\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u7684\u53cd\u5f48\u70ba\u8a72\u6307\u6578\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u5f37\u6709\u529b\u7684\u652f\u6490\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-17adab3fb7898396956837d73ecc6e5d\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u80a1\u7968\u805a\u7126<\/strong>&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-fa6b9f96d30289a499f1ccd422a7fb95\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u7279\u65af\u62c9\uff08TSLA\uff09\uff1a<\/strong>\u00a0$440\u2013$450\u5340\u9593\u6ce2\u52d5\u5287\u70c8\u3002\u96a8\u8457FSD v14\u7684\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u63a8\u5ee3\u4ee5\u53ca\u90e8\u5206\u57ce\u5e02Robotaxi\u71df\u904b\u7372\u5f97\u76e3\u7ba1\u90e8\u9580\u6279\u51c6\uff0c\u7279\u65af\u62c9\u5df2\u5f9e\u7d14\u7cb9\u7684\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\u88fd\u9020\u5546\u8f49\u578b\u70ba\u9818\u5148\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u6a5f\u5668\u4eba\u516c\u53f8\u3002\u77ed\u671f\u652f\u6490\u4f4d\u5728$430\u9644\u8fd1\uff1b\u82e5\u80fd\u6301\u7e8c\u7a81\u7834$450\uff0c\u5247\u53ef\u80fd\u958b\u555f\u524d\u671f\u9ad8\u9ede\u7684\u6e2c\u8a66\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-f7397c4fcc210b1bc8b1b9f1722c1d25\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>2. \u5916\u532f\u5e02\u5834<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-129f88f7b142dbd6cfdc40f09a5c2d3e\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\uff08DXY\uff09\uff1a<\/strong>\u00a0\u7f8e\u5143\u532f\u7387\u5805\u633a\u65bc99.1\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u5728\u9ad8\u9ede\u4ea4\u6613\u3002\u5118\u7ba1\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5c07\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u4f46\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u98a8\u96aa\u6ea2\u50f9\u548c\u907f\u96aa\u9700\u6c42\u4ecd\u6301\u7e8c\u652f\u6490\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-b0fc551d3284bdf4333d573308a82b95\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u6b50\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\uff1a<\/strong>\u00a0\u53d7\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f37\u548c\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u901a\u81a8\u653e\u7de9\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u6301\u7e8c\u627f\u58d3\uff0c\u6700\u65b0\u4ea4\u6613\u50f9\u683c\u57281.1637\u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u548c\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u4e3b\u8981\u62d6\u7d2f\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-c2beb4b9b1120be5fd9c357628217d24\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u7f8e\u5143\/\u65e5\u5713\uff1a<\/strong>\u00a0\u65e5\u5713\u660e\u986f\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u65e5\u5713\u532f\u7387\u8dcc\u81f3157.8\u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u5118\u7ba1\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u6697\u793a\u53ef\u80fd\u5347\u606f\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u5c1a\u672a\u62b5\u6d88\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u5dee\u5c0d\u65e5\u5713\u6301\u7e8c\u69cb\u6210\u58d3\u529b\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u4e26\u4f7f\u5176\u8dcc\u81f3\u8fd1\u671f\u4f4e\u9ede\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-ff6a8b443a8bd973ca90a6f1108af1cf\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>3. \u8cb4\u91d1\u5c6c\u548c\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-5492cccd578b520fe923c7fbed373be5\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u8cb4\u91d1\u5c6c<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-23b338bdf39e355d43886683e3e6c4c0\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u73fe\u8ca8\u9ec3\u91d1\uff08XAUUSD\uff09\uff1a<\/strong>\u00a0\u5728\u9ad8\u9ede\u51fa\u73fe\u7372\u5229\u56de\u5410\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u50f9\u683c\u7d04\u70ba\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f8 4,500 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5118\u7ba1\u8fd1\u671f\u6709\u6240\u56de\u8abf\uff0c\u4f46\u5c0d\u5be6\u969b\u5229\u7387\u8d70\u4f4e\u7684\u9810\u671f\u4ee5\u53ca\u592e\u884c\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u9700\u6c42\u4ecd\u7136\u63d0\u4f9b\u6f5b\u5728\u652f\u6490\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-b4d672b96a558feb1e90ae3e0473f635\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u73fe\u8ca8\u767d\u9280\uff08XAGUSD\uff09\uff1a<\/strong>\u00a0\u50f9\u683c\u6ce2\u52d5\u5287\u70c8\uff0c\u6700\u5f8c\u4ea4\u6613\u50f9\u683c\u63a5\u8fd1 $82\/\u76ce\u53f8\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9475610fc825ef459f8fc74a4c4a5372\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-430b3f83c259da0aaf7be27d7c6bf6a4\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>WTI\u539f\u6cb9\uff1a<\/strong>\u00a0\u6700\u7d42\u50f9\u683c\u7d04\u70ba\u6bcf\u6876 $59.1 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5f9e\u5e74\u521d\u4f4e\u9ede\u53cd\u5f48\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-e2535fd62b7dc8885f25d37c79aabb42\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u95dc\u9375\u9a45\u52d5\u56e0\u7d20\uff1a<\/strong>&nbsp;\u7f8e\u570b\u8fd1\u671f\u91dd\u5c0d\u59d4\u5167\u745e\u62c9\u77f3\u6cb9\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u5f15\u8d77\u4e86\u5e02\u5834\u95dc\u6ce8\u3002\u5118\u7ba1\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u61c9\u72c0\u6cc1\u6574\u9ad4\u5bec\u9b06\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u4e9b\u77ed\u671f\u4e2d\u65b7\u63aa\u65bd\u6709\u52a9\u65bc\u5c07\u6cb9\u50f9\u7dad\u6301\u5728$55-$60\u5340\u9593\u3002&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-d532b64c1e575daf8e2c7edb10fc8fcd\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>4. \u52a0\u5bc6\u8cc7\u7522\u8207\u5b8f\u89c0\u767c\u5c55<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-27e8861152fd7c71d5bde30228ee46f8\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u6bd4\u7279\u5e63\uff08BTC\uff09\uff1a<\/strong>\u00a0\u4e9e\u6d32\u4ea4\u6613\u6642\u6bb5\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e63\u50f9\u683c\u5b88\u4f4f\u4e8691,000\u7f8e\u5143\u95dc\u53e3\uff0c24\u5c0f\u6642\u5167\u5c0f\u6f32\u7d040.61\u5146\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u50f9\u683c\u8d70\u52e2\u4f9d\u7136\u5340\u9593\u9707\u76ea\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u6a5f\u69cb\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u5728\u5b8f\u89c0\u6578\u64da\u4f4e\u8ff7\u6642\u671f\u7684\u90e8\u4f4d\u8abf\u6574\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u672c\u9031\u95dc\u9375\u901a\u81a8\u6578\u64da\u5c1a\u672a\u516c\u4f48\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u7f3a\u4e4f\u660e\u78ba\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u6027\u50ac\u5316\u5291\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e63\u76ee\u524d\u572890,000\u7f8e\u5143\u81f392,000\u7f8e\u5143\u4e4b\u9593\u9032\u884c\u6280\u8853\u6027\u76e4\u6574\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-63ee848b6c62210de220b5b9db02a6dd\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>XRP\uff08XRP\/USD\uff09\uff1a<\/strong>\u00a0\u8a72\u8cc7\u7522\u4ea4\u6613\u50f9\u683c\u5728$2.06\u9644\u8fd1\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u65e5\u6ce2\u52d5\u6027\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u50f9\u683c\u7d93\u6b77\u4e86\u4e00\u8f2a\u5f37\u52c1\u4e0a\u6f32\u5f8c\u9032\u5165\u76e4\u6574\u968e\u6bb5\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6f32\u5f8c\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u5148\u524d\u7684\u5229\u591a\u56e0\u7d20\u5df2\u88ab\u5e02\u5834\u6d88\u5316\uff0c\u8a72\u8cc7\u7522\u6b63\u9762\u81e8\u660e\u986f\u7684\u77ed\u671f\u7372\u5229\u56de\u5410\u58d3\u529b\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-16938a7400ae8e2ec1e9fa0f5108dfee\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>5. \u4eca\u65e5\u91cd\u9ede<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-f96a7c278807bacbefcbc12fc31a55c0\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u4eca\u5929\u6c92\u6709\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u767c\u5e03\u8a08\u5283\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>January 12, 2026, following the release of the year\u2019s first Nonfarm Payrolls report last Friday, global markets have entered a renewed repricing phase as investors assess mixed signals from the U.S. labor market. December job growth came in at just 50,000, well below the 73,000 expected, extending the hiring slowdown seen late in 2025. 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