{"id":4250,"date":"2026-03-16T17:49:01","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T06:49:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=4250"},"modified":"2026-03-16T17:49:02","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T06:49:02","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-hawkish-fed-expectations-continue-to-pressure-gold","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/zh\/2026\/03\/16\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-hawkish-fed-expectations-continue-to-pressure-gold\/","title":{"rendered":"Amillex\u6bcf\u65e5\u5e02\u573a\u8bc4\u8bba | \u9e70\u6d3e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9884\u671f\u6301\u7eed\u7ed9\u9ec4\u91d1\u5e26\u6765\u538b\u529b\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"

2026\u5e743\u670816\u65e5 <\/strong>\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u5728\u590d\u6742\u7684\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u56e0\u7d20\u4ea4\u7ec7\u4e0b\u5f00\u542f\u4e86\u65b0\u7684\u4e00\u5468\u3002\u4e9a\u6d32\u65e9\u76d8\u4ea4\u6613\u65f6\u6bb5\uff0c\u73b0\u8d27\u9ec4\u91d1\u627f\u538b\u56de\u843d\u3002 5,000\u7f8e\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8<\/strong> \u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e4b\u524d\u7531\u907f\u9669\u9700\u6c42\u63a8\u52a8\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u6ea2\u4ef7\u73b0\u5728\u6b63\u9762\u4e34\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u5f3a\u70c8\u8c03\u6574\u3002. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6839\u636e\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u5546\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u96c6\u56e2\uff08CME Group\uff09\u7684FedWatch\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u672c\u5468\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5df2\u8fbe\u5230 99.2%<\/strong>. \u8fd9\u79cd\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u6301\u7eed\u66f4\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u524d\u666f\u7ee7\u7eed\u652f\u6491\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5e76\u5bf9\u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e\u7b49\u65e0\u6536\u76ca\u8d44\u4ea7\u6784\u6210\u660e\u663e\u538b\u529b\u3002. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e03\u4f26\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u5df2\u9ad8\u4e8e \u6bcf\u6876100\u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>,\u8fd9\u4e3b\u8981\u53d7\u4e2d\u4e1c\u51b2\u7a81\u6301\u7eed\u50f5\u5c40\u548c\u4f0a\u6717\u9ad8\u7ea7\u5b98\u5458\u66f4\u5f3a\u786c\u7684\u8a00\u8f9e\u6240\u9a71\u52a8\u3002\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u6ea2\u4ef7\u548c\u7d27\u7f29\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u5c06\u5e02\u573a\u62c9\u5411\u76f8\u53cd\u7684\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u6574\u4f53\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u4f9d\u7136\u9ad8\u5ea6\u654f\u611f\u3002. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u8d44\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u8868\u73b0\u53ca\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u6982\u89c8<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

1. \u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u573a<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6307\u6570\u8868\u73b0<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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  • \u6807\u51c6\u666e\u5c14500\u6307\u6570<\/strong>:\u00a06,661.98<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0a\u00a00.59%<\/strong>. \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f62\u52bf\u4e0d\u660e\u6717\uff0c\u6807\u666e500\u6307\u6570\u4f9d\u7136\u5c55\u73b0\u51fa\u97e7\u6027\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u505a\u51fa\u51b3\u5b9a\u524d\uff0c\u8d44\u91d1\u7eb7\u7eb7\u8f6c\u5411\u5927\u578b\u84dd\u7b79\u80a1\u4ee5\u5bfb\u6c42\u9632\u5fa1\u6027\u589e\u957f\u655e\u53e3\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • \u7eb3\u65af\u8fbe\u514b100\u6307\u6570<\/strong>:\u00a024,492.50<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0a\u00a00.40%<\/strong>. \u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u4fdd\u6301\u76f8\u5bf9\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5728\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u957f\u671f\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\u4f30\u503c\u6269\u5f20\u53d7\u5230\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5404\u884c\u4e1a\u8868\u73b0\u66f4\u5177\u9009\u62e9\u6027\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • \u9053\u743c\u65af\u5de5\u4e1a\u5e73\u5747\u6307\u6570<\/strong>:\u00a046,558.47<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0b\u00a00.26%<\/strong>. \u4f20\u7edf\u5de5\u4e1a\u548c\u4ef7\u503c\u884c\u4e1a\u8868\u73b0\u7565\u900a\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u589e\u957f\u9884\u671f\u6301\u8c28\u614e\u6001\u5ea6\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    \u80a1\u7968\u805a\u7126<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n
    • \u7279\u65af\u62c9\u516c\u53f8\uff08TSLA\uff09<\/strong>:\u00a0391.20 \u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0b\u00a00.96%<\/strong>. \u7279\u65af\u62c9\u80a1\u4ef7\u4ecd\u4f4e\u4e8e 400 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\u548c\u6d88\u8d39\u9884\u671f\u75b2\u8f6f\u5728\u7d27\u7f29\u5468\u671f\u4e2d\u6682\u65f6\u7ed9\u4f30\u503c\u6ea2\u4ef7\u5e26\u6765\u538b\u529b\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      <\/div>\n\n\n\n

      2. \u5916\u6c47\u5e02\u573a<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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      • \u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570<\/strong>:\u00a0100.232<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0b\u00a00.26%<\/strong>. \u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u964d\u606f\u9884\u671f\u6709\u6240\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u4f46\u5bf9\u975e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d27\u5e01\uff08\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u6b27\u5143\uff09\u7684\u907f\u9669\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u4f7f\u7f8e\u5143\u5728100\u5173\u53e3\u4e0a\u65b9\u4fdd\u6301\u5c0f\u5e45\u8d70\u8f6f\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • \u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>:\u00a01.14493<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0a\u00a00.31%<\/strong>. \u6b27\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u5f97\u76ca\u4e8e\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5c40\u52bf\u53d1\u5c55\u7f13\u89e3\u4e86\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u80fd\u6e90\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u56de\u6d41\u81f3\u4e3b\u8981\u975e\u7f8e\u5143\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • \u7f8e\u5143\/\u65e5\u5143<\/strong>:\u00a0159.331<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0b\u00a00.23%<\/strong>. \u65e5\u5143\u5728 160 \u9644\u8fd1\u75b2\u8f6f\u7684\u52bf\u5934\u6709\u6240\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u5957\u5229\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u52bf\u5934\u5f00\u59cb\u964d\u6e29\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u65e9\u671f\u6280\u672f\u6027\u4f01\u7a33\u8ff9\u8c61\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
        <\/div>\n\n\n\n

        3. \u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e\u548c\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

          \n
        • XAU\/USD<\/strong>:\u00a05,027.725 \u7f8e\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0a\u00a00.14%<\/strong>. \u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u7ee7\u7eed\u57285000\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u65b9\u76d8\u6574\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u5e26\u6765\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u4f46\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u548c\u957f\u671f\u901a\u80c0\u5bf9\u51b2\u9700\u6c42\u4ecd\u7136\u4f7f\u9ec4\u91d1\u4fdd\u6301\u5176\u4f5c\u4e3a\u673a\u6784\u6838\u5fc3\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u914d\u7f6e\u7684\u5730\u4f4d\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • XAG\/USD<\/strong>:\u00a081.3585\u7f8e\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0a\u00a00.92%<\/strong>. \u767d\u94f6\u8868\u73b0\u4f18\u4e8e\u9ec4\u91d1\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u5176\u4ef7\u683c\u5f39\u6027\u66f4\u5f3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f97\u76ca\u4e8e\u5de5\u4e1a\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u91d1\u6d41\u52a8\u7684\u53cc\u91cd\u652f\u6491\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

          \u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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          • WTI\u539f\u6cb9<\/strong>:\u00a098.22\u7f8e\u5143\/\u6876<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0b\u00a00.97%<\/strong>. \u7531\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u91cd\u65b0\u8bc4\u4f30\u5b9e\u9645\u4f9b\u5e94\u4e2d\u65ad\u98ce\u9669\u4ee5\u53ca\u75b2\u8f6f\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u5df2\u5c0f\u5e45\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u6bcf\u6876100\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
            <\/div>\n\n\n\n

            4. \u52a0\u5bc6\u8d44\u4ea7\u4e0e\u5b8f\u89c2\u53d1\u5c55<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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            • \u6bd4\u7279\u5e01<\/strong>:\u00a072,636 \u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0b\u00a00.27%<\/strong>. \u7531\u4e8e\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4f1a\u8bae\u524d\u964d\u4f4e\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5728 75,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u9762\u4e34\u5f3a\u52b2\u963b\u529b\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            • \u4ee5\u592a\u574a<\/strong>:\u00a02,172.7 \u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\uff0c \u5411\u4e0b\u00a00.26%<\/strong>. \u5728\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u8d8b\u7d27\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4ee5\u592a\u574a\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u8d70\u52bf\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0e\u6574\u4f53\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u4fdd\u6301\u4e00\u81f4\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
              <\/div>\n\n\n\n

              5. \u4eca\u65e5\u9700\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6570\u636e<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

                \n
              • \u52a0\u62ff\u59272\u6708CPI\u6708\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
              • \u52a0\u62ff\u59272\u6708\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u4e2d\u4f4d\u6570\u540c\u6bd4\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
              • \u52a0\u62ff\u59272\u6708\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u622a\u5c3e\u5747\u503c\u540c\u6bd4\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
              • \u52a0\u62ff\u59272\u6708\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u540c\u6bd4\u53d8\u5316\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
              • \u7f8e\u56fd3\u6708\u7ebd\u7ea6\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
                <\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                16 March 2026- Global financial markets started the new week under a complex mix of macroeconomic forces. During early Asian trading, spot gold came under pressure and eased back toward the USD 5,000\/oz level, as the extreme premium previously driven by safe-haven demand is now facing a strong correction from fundamental factors.  According to CME Group FedWatch data, the probability 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