{"id":3630,"date":"2026-01-16T15:41:13","date_gmt":"2026-01-16T04:41:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=3630"},"modified":"2026-01-16T15:41:15","modified_gmt":"2026-01-16T04:41:15","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-strong-jobs-and-manufacturing-data-jolt-markets-safe-haven-assets-see-sharp-volatility","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/zh\/2026\/01\/16\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-strong-jobs-and-manufacturing-data-jolt-markets-safe-haven-assets-see-sharp-volatility\/","title":{"rendered":"Amillex\u6bcf\u65e5\u5e02\u573a\u8bc4\u8bba | \u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u548c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u9707\u8361\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u5267\u70c8\u6ce2\u52a8\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-fa3e41565ae6dc825190ee5a9dbf072c\" style=\"font-size:18px\">2026\u5e741\u670816\u65e5\u2014\u2014\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u8fdc\u8d85\u9884\u671f\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5f15\u53d1\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u5267\u70c8\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u8fc5\u901f\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u4e0d\u518d\u7eaf\u7cb9\u7684\u907f\u9669\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u91cd\u65b0\u62c5\u5fe7\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u548c\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u6301\u7eed\u3002\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c55\u73b0\u51fa\u97e7\u6027\u3002\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u610f\u5916\u964d\u81f319.8\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u7f13\u89e3\u4e86\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u5927\u5e45\u8d85\u51fa\u9884\u671f\uff0c1\u6708\u4efd\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6307\u6570\u4ece-10.2\u98d9\u5347\u81f312.6\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u5de5\u4e1a\u6d3b\u52a8\u660e\u663e\u53cd\u5f39\u3002\u53d7\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5f3a\u52b2\u6307\u6807\u7684\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u6500\u5347\u81f399.35\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u5bf9\u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e\u4ef7\u683c\u6784\u6210\u666e\u904d\u538b\u529b\u3002\u73b0\u8d27\u9ec4\u91d1\u5728\u6d4b\u8bd5\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u4f4d\u540e\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f8 4,615 \u7f8e\u5143\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u83b7\u5229\u56de\u5410\u52a0\u5267\uff1b\u800c\u767d\u94f6\u5219\u51fa\u73b0\u6025\u5267\u53cd\u8f6c\u2014\u2014\u5728\u77ed\u6682\u7a81\u7834 93 \u7f8e\u5143\u521b\u4e0b\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u540e\uff0c\u76d8\u4e2d\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8d85\u8fc7 7%\u3002&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color has-medium-font-size wp-elements-17958a3308c9e2b223ab5917ab5c1e9e\"><strong>\u8d44\u4ea7\u7c7b\u522b\u8868\u73b0\u53ca\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u5206\u6790<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-0819a3863ca0df6beba3bcd366ba958e\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>1. \u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u573a<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-802f75b8d46bbe02d0a147aed58f94ba\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u6307\u6570\u8868\u73b0<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-cdb9595af2ce56361f3729445acad533\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u9053\u743c\u65af\u5de5\u4e1a\u5e73\u5747\u6307\u6570<\/strong>\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u63a5\u8fd1 49,504 \u70b9\uff08\u4e0a\u6da8 0.601 \u70b9\uff09\u3002\u9053\u743c\u65af\u6307\u6570\u8868\u73b0\u4f18\u5f02\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u5f97\u76ca\u4e8e\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u76c8\u5229\u8868\u73b0\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-0cc5a11d78859eb1a163365570c3cd56\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u6807\u51c6\u666e\u5c14500\u6307\u6570<\/strong>\uff1a\u6536\u4e8e 6,966 \u70b9\uff08+0.26%\uff09\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u6307\u6570\u63a5\u8fd1\u5177\u6709\u91cd\u8981\u5fc3\u7406\u610f\u4e49\u7684 7,000 \u70b9\u4f4d\uff0c\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-90df3a280c76bea0ee35d68b0df685ff\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u7eb3\u65af\u8fbe\u514b\u7efc\u5408\u6307\u6570<\/strong>\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u7ea6\u4e3a 25,671 \u70b9\uff08\u4e0a\u6da8 0.251 \u70b9\uff09\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u90e8\u5206\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u7c7b\u80a1\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u4e0a\u6da8\u540e\u51fa\u73b0\u5c0f\u5e45\u56de\u8c03\uff0c\u4f46\u53d7\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u957f\u671f\u76c8\u5229\u589e\u957f\u9884\u671f\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u6574\u4e2a\u79d1\u6280\u677f\u5757\u4f9d\u7136\u4fdd\u6301\u5f3a\u52b2\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-eb289f4d12595b74456d1482c227130e\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u80a1\u7968\u805a\u7126\u2014\u2014\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe (NVDA)\uff1a&nbsp;<\/strong>\u80a1\u4ef7\u6536\u4e8e186\u7f8e\u5143\u5de6\u53f3\uff08\u4e0a\u6da82.41\u500d\u81f33\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\u3002\u57282026\u5e74\u56fd\u9645\u6d88\u8d39\u7535\u5b50\u5c55\uff08CES\uff09\u4e0a\uff0c\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u6b63\u5f0f\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u5176\u4ee3\u53f7\u4e3a\u201cRubin\u201d\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u4ee3\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u8d85\u7ea7\u8ba1\u7b97\u5e73\u53f0\u3002\u8be5\u5e73\u53f0\u642d\u8f7d\u516d\u6b3e\u65d7\u8230\u82af\u7247\uff0c\u65e8\u5728\u5c06\u63a8\u7406\u6210\u672c\u964d\u4f4e\u5341\u500d\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5de9\u56fa\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u5728\u5168\u7403\u8ba1\u7b97\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u7684\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5730\u4f4d\u3002&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-f7397c4fcc210b1bc8b1b9f1722c1d25\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>2. \u5916\u6c47\u5e02\u573a<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-b7a21227ce0cdc58f256bd794567e433\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\uff08DXY\uff09<\/strong>\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u63a5\u8fd199.39\u3002\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5e2e\u52a9\u7f8e\u5143\u91cd\u56de99\u5173\u53e3\u3002\u968f\u7740\u521d\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u91d1\u4eba\u6570\u964d\u81f319.8\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u6307\u6570\u53cd\u5f39\u81f312.6\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8fd1\u671f\u964d\u606f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u6301\u7eed\u964d\u6e29\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-abab01d22bf3c3f0f15c0ed8906eaabc\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143<\/strong>\uff1a\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u4e3a 1.1604\u3002\u6b27\u5143\u533a 12 \u6708\u4efd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6570\uff08\u6700\u7ec8\u503c\uff09\u4e3a 48.8\uff0c\u8bc1\u5b9e\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u5de5\u4e1a\u90e8\u95e8\u6301\u7eed\u840e\u7f29\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u56e0\u6b64\u7ee7\u7eed\u627f\u538b\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-a974a68287b55df4d0fe1ac3cf3b9eda\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u7f8e\u5143\/\u65e5\u5143<\/strong>\uff1a\u7ea6 158.50\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u65e5\u5229\u7387\u5dee\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6269\u5927\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u81f3\u8fd1\u671f\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u903c\u8fd1 160 \u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u5173\u53e3\u548c\u6f5c\u5728\u5e72\u9884\u95e8\u69db\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-ff6a8b443a8bd973ca90a6f1108af1cf\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>3. \u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e\u548c\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-c39cbaecb9bf76e699535ea0988df6dd\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-6dc6d47718d959590fb30ab3e35e0a87\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u73b0\u8d27\u9ec4\u91d1\uff08XAU\/USD\uff09<\/strong>\uff1a\u91d1\u4ef7\u5728\u9ad8\u4f4d\u5927\u5e45\u76d8\u6574\uff0c\u5b88\u4f4f4600\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u65b9\u3002\u5728\u89e6\u53ca4642\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u70b9\u540e\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u8fdb\u5165\u76d8\u6574\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u4ea4\u6613\u4ef7\u683c\u57284612\u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-945c3f38e756a5d6d4a16e5b2b285b7b\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u73b0\u8d27\u767d\u94f6\uff08XAG\/USD\uff09<\/strong>\u53d7\u5173\u7a0e\u62c5\u5fe7\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u767d\u94f6\u4ef7\u683c\u5267\u70c8\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u56de\u843d\u81f386\u7f8e\u5143\u652f\u6491\u4f4d\u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u767d\u94f62026\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u6ce2\u52a8\u5e45\u5ea6\u6700\u5927\u7684\u4e00\u6b21\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9475610fc825ef459f8fc74a4c4a5372\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-832be94448ef84add50ac24e7438ea5c\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>WTI\u539f\u6cb9<\/strong>\u968f\u7740\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u6ea2\u4ef7\u6d88\u9000\uff0c\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u8dcc\u7834\u6bcf\u687660\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u5173\u53e3\u3002\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8fd151%\uff0c\u81f3\u6bcf\u687658.90\u7f8e\u5143\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u6bcf\u687660\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u65b9\u9762\u4e34\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u4ef7\u683c\u8d70\u52bf\u5411\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u4ef7\u683c\u533a\u95f4\u7684\u4e2d\u70b9\u9760\u62e2\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-d532b64c1e575daf8e2c7edb10fc8fcd\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>4. \u52a0\u5bc6\u8d44\u4ea7\u4e0e\u5b8f\u89c2\u53d1\u5c55<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9462ccf516de95c89bbdc94af3b836ae\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\uff08BTC\uff09<\/strong>\uff1a\u4ece\u9ad8\u4f4d\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u5728 95,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u65b9\u76d8\u6574\u3002\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5728\u89e6\u53ca 97,690 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5cf0\u503c\u540e\u8fdb\u5165\u6280\u672f\u6027\u56de\u8c03\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u4ea4\u6613\u4ef7\u683c\u5728 95,580 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-716d95bb89f190c986b0e38408cafc94\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u4ee5\u592a\u574a\uff08ETH\uff09<\/strong>\u53d7\u76d1\u7ba1\u62c5\u5fe7\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u8868\u73b0\u4e0d\u4f73\uff0c\u8dcc\u81f3 3400 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Sentiment moved away from a pure risk-aversion stance toward renewed concerns over a stronger U.S. dollar and the persistence of elevated interest rates. 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