Amillex Daily Market Commentary | Ceasefire Hopes Ease Supply Fears, Gold and Oil Move in Opposite Directions

TRÊN March 11, 2026, global commodity markets showed clear divergence during the Asian session. Concerns about a prolonged disruption to global oil supply cooled sharply, pushing U.S. crude oil down to around $76 per barrel after a period of extreme volatility. Prices are currently fluctuating around the $80 per barrel level.

This diplomatic de-escalation signal has not only pulled global inflation expectations back from extreme levels but has also reduced the pressure that high energy prices place on the global economy. Meanwhile, spot gold remains relatively stable amid mixed safe-haven demand and macroeconomic expectations, currently trading around $5,188 per ounce. Moving into the second half of the week, market attention will focus on Wednesday’s U.S. February CPI data and Friday’s PCE inflation index.

Market Performance & Fundamental Overview

1. Thị trường chứng khoán Mỹ

Hiệu suất chỉ số

Chỉ số Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI): Hiện tại 47,706.51, xuống 0.07% on the day. The index is showing signs of losing momentum around the 47,700 level, as blue-chip value stocks face limited upside in the current high-interest-rate environment.
S&P 500 (SP500): Hiện tại 6,810.20, hướng lên 0.22%. The index is seeing a mild rebound driven by technology stocks as risk sentiment improves following easing geopolitical tensions.
Nasdaq 100 (Quý 1 năm 2021): Hiện tại 25,063.25, hướng lên 0.32%. The Nasdaq is outperforming the broader market, reflecting renewed capital flows into high-growth technology stocks after oil’s sharp drop helped suppress inflation expectations.

Tiêu điểm cổ phiếu

Tesla (TSLA): Giao dịch ở mức $399.24, hướng lên 0.14%. The stock is consolidating just below the $400 psychological level, supported by easing energy cost pressures and improving macro sentiment.

2. Thị trường ngoại hối

Chỉ số đô la Mỹ (DXY): Hiện tại 98.833, xuống 0.08%. Safe-haven demand for the dollar has slightly faded, and short-term upside momentum appears limited.
EUR/USD (EURUSD): Giao dịch ở mức 1.16245, hướng lên 0.12%. The euro is finding support near 1.16, as falling energy prices help ease imported inflation pressures in the eurozone.
USD/JPY (USDJPY): Hiện tại 158.057, hướng lên 0.01%. The pair remains largely unchanged as markets wait for clearer direction between Bank of Japan policy expectations and the Federal Reserve’s steady rate stance.

3. Kim loại quý và hàng hóa

Kim loại quý

Vàng giao ngay (XAUUSD): Giao dịch xung quanh $5,213.13 per ounce, hướng lên 0.40% today. With oil prices falling and inflation expectations adjusting lower, gold continues to hold strong structural support above $5,200.
Bạc giao ngay (XAGUSD): Hiện tại $88.90 per ounce, hướng lên 0.64%. Silver continues to outperform gold, reflecting stronger demand due to its dual industrial and financial asset characteristics during improving macro conditions.

Hàng hóa

Dầu thô (XTIUSD): Hiện tại $82.70 per barrel, xuống 4.45%. Oil is the key market mover today, driven by expectations that tensions between the U.S. and Iran could ease quickly, sharply reducing supply disruption risks.

4. Tài sản tiền điện tử và các diễn biến vĩ mô

Bitcoin (BTCUSD): Hiện tại $69,954, xuống 0.01%. As Bitcoin approaches the $70,000 psychological level, price action shows clear technical consolidation as investors wait for clearer macro liquidity signals.
Ethereum (ETHUSD): Giao dịch ở mức $2,032.2, xuống 0.25%. ETH is currently underperforming gold, suggesting that digital assets have not fully regained momentum.

5. Trọng tâm hôm nay