Bình luận thị trường hàng ngày của Amillex: Việc giảm bớt đợt bán tháo cổ phiếu công nghệ giúp nâng giá hợp đồng tương lai chứng khoán Mỹ, tâm lý ngại rủi ro gia tăng đẩy giá vàng và bạc tăng cao khi vàng tiến gần mức cao kỷ lục.
U.S. equity futures rebounded modestly on Monday, with S&P 500 futures up 0.3%. The U.S. dollar index was flat, while the Japanese yen climbed to a one-week high. Spot gold rose 1.1% to USD 4,347/oz, approaching its historical peak; silver surged 3% to USD 63.87/oz; Bitcoin rebounded to USD 89,900. Market focus remains locked in a tug-of-war between “AI bubble concerns” and “Federal Reserve policy expectations.”
Các biến động chính của thị trường và phân tích cơ bản
1. U.S. Equity Market: Tech Selling Pressure Eases, Economic Data in Focus
S&P 500 futures rose 0.3%, Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.2%, attempting to recover from Friday’s decline of over 1%.
Stock highlights: Nvidia rose 0.66% pre-market; Apple edged down 0.1%; iRobot plunged over 80% after filing for bankruptcy.
Các yếu tố chính:
AI valuation concerns: Yardeni Research downgraded the “Magnificent Seven” to underweight, questioning the cost-benefit dynamics of AI applications.
Data anticipation: Markets are awaiting Tuesday’s November nonfarm payrolls report (expected +50,000 jobs) and Thursday’s CPI release.
2. FX Market: Yen Hits One-Week High as BoJ Rate-Hike Expectations Rise
The U.S. dollar index was broadly unchanged; EUR/USD hovered around 1.1650.
The yen strengthened 0.6% to 154.955 per dollar, marking a one-week high.
Bối cảnh chính sách:
Strong Tankan survey: Large manufacturers’ confidence hit a four-year high, reinforcing expectations of a BoJ rate hike in December.
Concerns over Fed independence: Former President Trump said he is considering Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair and advocated for interest rates below 1%.
