{"id":9222,"date":"2026-07-03T18:19:07","date_gmt":"2026-07-03T08:19:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=9222"},"modified":"2026-07-03T18:19:10","modified_gmt":"2026-07-03T08:19:10","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-dismal-non-farm-payrolls-propel-gold-to-reclaim-lost-ground-oil-prices-stabilize-and-fluctuate-ahead-of-the-long-weekend","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/2026\/07\/03\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-dismal-non-farm-payrolls-propel-gold-to-reclaim-lost-ground-oil-prices-stabilize-and-fluctuate-ahead-of-the-long-weekend\/","title":{"rendered":"Amillex kundalik bozor sharhi | Qishloq xo&#039;jaligidan tashqari ish haqining pasayishi oltinni yo&#039;qotilgan o&#039;rinlarni qaytarib olishga undaydi; neft narxlari uzoq dam olish kunlari oldidan barqarorlashadi va o&#039;zgarib turadi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-1 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">2026-yil 3-iyulda makro siyosat va bayram talabining o&#039;zgarishi kabi ikki tomonlama omillar ta&#039;sirida global tovar bozorlari sezilarli himoya xususiyatlarini namoyish etdi. Osiyo sessiyasining dastlabki davrida oltin buqalari yana bir bor o&#039;z kuchlarini namoyish etdi va metall savdosini $4,130 atrofida barqaror ushlab turdi. Ushbu tiklanishning asosiy momentumi iyun oyidagi AQShning qishloq xo&#039;jaligi bo&#039;lmagan ish haqi (NFP) ma&#039;lumotlarining sezilarli darajada zaifligidan kelib chiqadi. Ish haqining o&#039;sishi ham, bandlikning oshishi ham bozor kutganlaridan ancha past bo&#039;ldi, bu esa Federal Rezervning kelajakdagi siyosat yo&#039;lini institutsional qayta baholashga bevosita turtki bo&#039;ldi. Ma&#039;lumotlar &quot;umidsizlik&quot; dan keyin ilgari o&#039;jar bo&#039;lgan stavkalarni oshirish bo&#039;yicha kutilgan natijalar tezda pasaydi va real foiz stavkalariga ko&#039;tarilish bosimining vaqtincha yengillashishi mablag&#039;larni qimmatbaho metallar bozoriga qaytishga undadi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-2 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Shu bilan birga, energiya bozori bayram oldidan kuchli barqarorlikni namoyish etdi, WTI xom nefti barreliga $68.46 atrofida yonma-yon konsolidatsiyalandi. NFP ma&#039;lumotlari keltirib chiqargan yumshoqroq AQSh dollarining ta&#039;siridan tashqari, juma kuni AQSh Mustaqillik kuni uzoq dam olish kunlarining boshlanishi hisoblanadi. Bozor talabi va taklifidagi potentsial noaniqliklar ba&#039;zi qisqa muddatli treyderlarni bayram oldidan foyda olishga undadi. Shu bilan birga, spot xaridorlar tanaffus paytida ta&#039;minot xavfsizligini ta&#039;minlash uchun inventarizatsiyani to&#039;ldirish uchun bozorga kirib kelishdi. Ushbu ikki kapital kuchlarining kombinatsiyasi neft narxlarini tarkibiy, bosqichma-bosqich qo&#039;llab-quvvatladi. Bayram davrida likvidlik pasaygan sari, bozor e&#039;tibori global ta&#039;minot zanjirlarining haqiqiy tiklanish barqarorligiga qaratiladi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-3 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Bozor xulosasi va aktivlar sinflarining fundamental tahlili<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-4 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>1. AQSh fond bozori<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-5 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Indeks samaradorligi<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-6\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Dow Jones sanoat o&#039;rtacha ko&#039;rsatkichi (DJI)<\/strong>: 52 905.28 punktda yopildi, kun davomida 595.06 punktga yoki 1.14% ga ko&#039;tarildi. Bozor uzoq muddatli makro siyosat noaniqliklarini hazm qilar ekan, kapital &quot;o&#039;sishdan qiymatga&quot; aniq o&#039;tishni ko&#039;rsatdi. Aktivlarni xavfsiz boshpana sifatida sotib olish Dow Jones indeksini keskin ko&#039;tardi, bunga og&#039;ir ko&#039;k chipli qimmatli qog&#039;ozlar boshchilik qildi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-7\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>S&amp;P 500 indeksi (SP500)<\/strong>: Kun davomida 16,13 punktga yoki 0,22% ga pasayib, 7 480,00 (7,48K) punktda yopildi. S&amp;P 500 7500 psixologik to&#039;sig&#039;idan yuqori aniq qarshilikka duch keldi, bu asosan kapital barqaror pul oqimlariga ega an&#039;anaviy mudofaa sektorlariga aylanishi bilan bog&#039;liq holda, ayrim asosiy, yuqori baholangan texnologiya gigantlarining sezilarli darajada foyda olishi bilan bog&#039;liq.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-8\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Nasdaq 100 indeksi (NQ1!)<\/strong>: 29 576.50 punktda yopildi, bu 20.50 punktga yoki 0.07% ga biroz ko&#039;tarildi. Texnologiyalarga boy indeks yuqori darajadagi baholash tuzatishlari bosimiga duch keldi va avvalgi zich savdo zonasidan yuqori yonboshlab konsolidatsiya bosqichiga kirdi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Aksiyaning asosiy jihatlari<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-10\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Apple (AAPL)<\/strong>: $308.63 da savdo qilindi, trendni 4.84% keskin o&#039;sish bilan buzdi va bir kunda $14.25 ga oshdi. Mega-kapitallashgan texnologiya sektoridagi kuchli tafovut fonida, Apple kompaniyasining global likvidlik &quot;xavfsiz boshpana&quot; sifatidagi mudofaa xususiyati yana bir bor ta&#039;kidlandi, aksiyalar $300 asosiy psixologik darajasidan yuqori darajada barqarorlashdi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-11\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Tesla (TSLA)<\/strong>: Kunduzgi savdoda $393.45 yoki 7.49% ga tushib ketdi. Asosiy kutishlarni qayta ko&#039;rib chiqish va yuqori darajadagi uzoq pozitsiyali likvidatsiyalarning ikki tomonlama zarbasi tufayli aksiya jiddiy texnik pasayishga duch keldi va bu kunlik o&#039;sish aksiyalarining ko&#039;rsatkichlariga asosiy to&#039;siq bo&#039;lib xizmat qildi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>2. Valyuta bozori<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-12\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>AQSh dollari indeksi (DXY)<\/strong>Hozirda 100.979 darajasida, kun davomida 0.131 punktga yoki 0.13% ga ko&#039;tarildi. AQSh dollari barqarorlashdi va 101 belgisidan pastga qaytdi. Bozor Fedning o&#039;rta va uzoq muddatli foiz stavkasi yo&#039;li bo&#039;yicha ikkiga bo&#039;lingan bo&#039;lsa-da, aktivlar o&#039;rtasida xavfsiz boshpana sotib olish bilvosita qo&#039;llab-quvvatlashni ta&#039;minladi, ya&#039;ni dollarning likvidlik mukofoti qisqa muddatda butunlay yo&#039;qolishi ehtimoldan yiroq.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-13\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>USD\/JPY<\/strong>Hozirda 161.466 darajasida, kun davomida 0.345 yoki 0.21% ga oshdi. Ienga nisbatan pasayish bosimi yanada kuchaydi va 162 darajasiga yaqinlashdi. Yaponiya Bankining takroriy og&#039;zaki aralashuv signallariga qaramay, AQSh va Yaponiya o&#039;rtasidagi keng asosiy foiz stavkalari farqining makroiqtisodiy realligi tufayli spekulyativ carry trade savdolari faol bo&#039;lib qoldi, bu esa kapitalning doimiy chiqib ketishiga olib keldi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-14\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong>Hozirda 1.14225 darajasida, kun davomida 0.00106 yoki 0.09% ga pasaydi. AQSh dollarining marjinal tiklanishi bilan birga, yevro o&#039;zgarib, so&#039;nggi o&#039;sishining bir qismini qaytarib oldi. Yevro hududining asosiy iqtisodiyotlaridagi zaif sanoat va o&#039;sish fundamental ko&#039;rsatkichlari yevroning yuqoriga ko&#039;tarilish sur&#039;atini cheklashda davom etdi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-15 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>3. Qimmatbaho metallar va tovarlar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-16 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Qimmatbaho metallar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-17\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Spot oltin (XAUUSD)<\/strong>: Bir untsiya uchun $4,138.29 dollardan sotildi, kun davomida $14.79 dollarga yoki 0.36% ga ko&#039;tarildi. Oltin o&#039;zining tarixiy yuqoriga ko&#039;tarilish kanalini $4,100 dollardan yuqoriga ko&#039;tardi, dollarning tiklanishi esa bunga bog&#039;liq emas edi. Institutsional makro risklarning aks-sadosi va o&#039;rta va uzoq muddatli inflyatsiya kutilmalarini qayta baholash an&#039;anaviy qattiq valyutani kuchli sotib olishni qo&#039;llab-quvvatladi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-18\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Spotli kumush (XAGUSD)<\/strong>Kumush bir untsiya uchun $61.21650 dollardan sotildi va kun davomida 0.24350 yoki 0.40% ga barqaror ravishda ko&#039;tarildi. Sanoat va moliyaviy xususiyatlari tufayli kumush o&#039;zining yuqori darajada o&#039;zgaruvchan holatini saqlab qoldi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-19 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Tovarlar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-20\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>WTI xom nefti (XTIUSD)<\/strong>Hozirda barrel uchun $68.76 ga teng, kunlik narx esa biroz $0.05 yoki 0.07% ga pasaydi. Energetika bozorining potensial geosiyosiy ta&#039;minot uzilishlarini baholashi va global makroiqtisodiy talabning zaiflashishi bir-birini cheklab qo&#039;ydi va neft narxlarini barrel uchun $68\u2013$70 aylanma zonasi ichida tor tortishuvga olib keldi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-21 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>4. Kripto aktivlari va makro dinamika<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-22\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Bitcoin (BTCUSD)<\/strong>Oxirgi savdo $61,288 da bo&#039;lib, kun davomida $191 yoki 0.31% ga pasaydi. Uzoq muddatli tor diapazonli savdodan so&#039;ng, Bitcoin umumiy makro likvidlik kutilmalarini qayta baholash va bozor risklariga ishtahaning qisqa muddatli sovishi ta&#039;sirida asosiy psixologik darajalardan yuqori texnik konsolidatsiyasini davom ettirdi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-23\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Ethereum (ETHUSD)<\/strong>Oxirgi savdo $1,698.08 da amalga oshirildi, bu kunlik savdoda $0.55 yoki 0.03% ga biroz pasaydi. ETHning ko&#039;rsatkichlari oltin va ko&#039;k chipli aktsiyalar aktivlaridan biroz orqada qoldi va $1,700 belgisidan pastroqda tor diapazonda o&#039;zgarib turdi. Bu xavfsiz boshpana kayfiyatiga asoslangan bozorda yuqori beta raqamli aktivlarning jozibadorligi vaqtincha an&#039;anaviy yuqori aniqlikdagi aktivlarga yo&#039;l qo&#039;yganligini aks ettiradi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-24 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>5. Bugungi diqqat markazida<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-25\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Yevropa Markaziy Banki prezidenti Kristin Lagard nutq so&#039;zlamoqda<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-26\" style=\"font-size:18px\">BOE gubernatori Endryu Beyli nutq so&#039;zlamoqda<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On July 3, 2026, driven by the dual factors of a shifting outlook on macro policies and holiday demand, the global commodity markets displayed prominent defensive characteristics. During the early Asian session, spot gold bulls flexed their muscles once again, keeping the metal trading steadily around $4,130. The core momentum of this rebound stems from [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":9223,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_front_end_style_editor":"no","ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","_glsr_average":0,"_glsr_ranking":0,"_glsr_reviews":0,"ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9222","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-english-news","entry","has-media"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9222","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9222"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9222\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9224,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9222\/revisions\/9224"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9223"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9222"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9222"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9222"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}