{"id":8758,"date":"2026-06-30T16:35:41","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T06:35:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=8758"},"modified":"2026-06-30T16:35:43","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T06:35:43","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-inflation-fears-resurge-gold-pressured-at-highs-while-crude-oil-fluctuates-higher","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/2026\/06\/30\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-inflation-fears-resurge-gold-pressured-at-highs-while-crude-oil-fluctuates-higher\/","title":{"rendered":"Amillex kundalik bozor sharhi | Inflyatsiya qayta ko&#039;tarilishdan qo&#039;rqadi, xom neft yuqoriga ko&#039;tarilayotgan bir paytda oltin eng yuqori darajada bosim ostida"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-1 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">2026-yil 30-iyun kuni, seshanba kuni bo&#039;lib o&#039;tgan Osiyo savdo sessiyasining dastlabki bosqichida, global ko&#039;p aktivli bozorlar ta&#039;minot zanjiridagi uzilishlar va qattiq inflyatsiya kutilmalarining qayta kuchayishi tufayli turli tendentsiyalarni ko&#039;rsatdi. Tashqi muhitdagi noaniqliklar kelajakda o&#039;sib borayotgan inflyatsiyaga oid bozor xavotirlarini bevosita kuchaytirdi, bu esa o&#039;z navbatida uzoq muddatli yuqori foiz stavkasi muhitining ustunlikni qaytarib olishiga imkon berdi. Pul-kredit siyosatining qat&#039;iylashuvi istiqbollari bilan cheklangan holda, spot oltinning tiklanish momentumi sezilarli darajada bostirildi, kunlik savdo $4,020\/untsiya atrofida bo&#039;lib, umumiy tor konsolidatsiya diapazonini ko&#039;rsatdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-2 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Aksincha, energiya bozori bu turda xomashyo va ta&#039;minot zanjiri premiumlari bilan qo&#039;llab-quvvatlangan kuchliroq barqarorlikni namoyish etdi. Ta&#039;minotning uzilishi mumkin bo&#039;lgan xavflar va xavfsiz xaridlar tufayli WTI xom nefti hozirda $70.23\/barrel atrofida savdo qilmoqda. Hozirgi vaqtda makro buqalar tovar atributlari premiumlari va yuqori real foiz stavkalari cheklovlari o&#039;rtasidagi tortishuvga duch kelmoqda. Bozorning kelajakdagi diqqat markazida global ta&#039;minot zanjiri tiklanishining haqiqiy jarayoni bo&#039;ladi. Agar ta&#039;minot tomonidagi bosim samarali ravishda pasaymasa, tovar narxlari tarkibiy qo&#039;llab-quvvatlashni davom ettirishi mumkin, oltin narxlari esa inflyatsiya kutilmalari va yuqori foiz stavkalari o&#039;rtasidagi arra tishli kurash sharoitida yangi muvozanatni topishi kerak bo&#039;ladi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-3 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Aktivlarning samaradorligi va fundamental tahlil<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-4 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>1. AQSh fond bozori<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-5 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Indeks samaradorligi<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-6\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Dow Jones sanoat o&#039;rtacha ko&#039;rsatkichi (DJI):<\/strong> 52 188.21 punktda yopildi, bu kun ichida 307.03 punktga yoki 0.59% ga oshdi. Makro noaniqliklar sharoitida mablag&#039;lar an&#039;anaviy qiymatga ega ko&#039;k chipli sektorlarga yo&#039;naltirildi, bu esa Dow Jones indeksining 52 000 belgisidan barqaror ravishda yuqoriga ko&#039;tarilishini qo&#039;llab-quvvatladi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-7\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>S&amp;P 500 indeksi (SP500):<\/strong> Taxminan 7.35K (7350 ball) darajasida yopildi, bu 3.47 ball yoki 0.05% ga biroz pasaydi. Buqalar va ayiqlar tarixiy eng yuqori ko&#039;rsatkichlarga yaqinlashdi, kengroq bozor choraklararo likvidlik sozlamalari va makroiqtisodiy barqarorlikdagi bozor narxlari kabi tekis chiziq atrofida tor doirada o&#039;zgarib turdi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-8\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Nasdaq 100 indeksi (NQ1!):<\/strong> 30 067.00 punktda yopildi, kunlik savdoda 14.25 punkt yoki 0.05% biroz yuqoriga ko&#039;tarildi. Asosiy sun&#039;iy intellekt va yarimo&#039;tkazgichli aktivlar biroz barqarorlikni ko&#039;rsatgan bo&#039;lsa-da, ichki sektor tafovuti texnologiya indeksining o&#039;sishini cheklab qo&#039;ydi va uni texnik tubsizlik uchun 30 000 psixologik chegarasidan yuqori darajada ushlab turdi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Aksiyaning asosiy jihatlari<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-10\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Tesla (TSLA):<\/strong> $411.84 narxida sotilib, kunlik savdoda $32.13 yoki 8.46% ga keskin ko&#039;tarildi. Muayyan sanoat katalizatorlari yoki kutilganidan yaxshiroq fundamental ko&#039;rsatkichlar ta&#039;sirida Tesla bugungi savdoning asosiy markaziga aylandi, katta o&#039;sish sur&#039;atini jalb qildi va sezilarli ralli bilan trendni rad etdi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-11\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Google<\/strong><strong> (GOOGL):<\/strong> Narxi $353.65 dollarni tashkil etdi, bu $16.26 dollarga yoki 4.82% dollarga sezilarli darajada oshdi. Sun&#039;iy intellekt infratuzilmasi va bulutli biznesda davom etayotgan monetizatsiyaga bo&#039;lgan umidlar uning aksiya narxini yaqinda eng yuqori darajaga ko&#039;tarishga yordam berdi va bu texnologiya gigantlari orasida yetakchilik qildi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-12\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Amazon (AMZN):<\/strong> Narxi $240.14 ga baholandi, bu $7.45 ga yoki 3.20% ga oshdi. Barqaror iste&#039;mol xarajatlari va bulutli kapital xarajatlari bo&#039;yicha optimistik taxminlar o&#039;sish sur&#039;atini ta&#039;minladi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-13\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Intel (INTC):<\/strong> Narxi $131.72 ga baholandi, $3.40 ga yoki 2.65% ga oshdi. Yarimo&#039;tkazgichlar sektorining pastki qismidagi baholashni tuzatish mantig&#039;i kapital oqimini boshqarishda davom etdi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-14\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Apple (AAPL):<\/strong> Narxi $281.74 dollarni tashkil etdi, bu kunlik narx $2.04 dollarga yoki 0.72% dollarga pasaydi. Boshqa mega-kapitallashgan texnologiya aksiyalarining o&#039;sishi fonida Apple nisbatan zaif natijalar ko&#039;rsatdi, kapital choraklararo davrda vaqtincha foyda olish va pozitsiyalarni sozlash bilan shug&#039;ullandi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-15 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>2. Forex bozori<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-16\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>AQSh dollari indeksi (DXY):<\/strong> Hozirda 101.185 darajasida, kun davomida 0.074 punktga yoki 0.07% ga biroz ko&#039;tarildi. Fed pul-kredit siyosati yo&#039;llarining noaniqligi inflyatsiya kutilmalari bilan chambarchas bog&#039;liq bo&#039;lgan makroiqtisodiy fonda, AQSh dollari indeksi umuman olganda 101 darajasidan yuqori diapazondagi tebranishlarni saqlab qoldi, bozor bu hafta qo&#039;shimcha makro ma&#039;lumotlar bo&#039;yicha ko&#039;rsatmalarni kutmoqda.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-17\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>USD\/JPY (USDJPY):<\/strong> Hozirda 161.954 darajasida, kun davomida 0.010 yoki 0.01% ga biroz ko&#039;tarildi. Yenaga devalvatsiya bosimi hali sezilarli darajada yengillik ko&#039;rsatmadi, valyuta kursi 162 darajasiga yaqin darajada qat&#039;iy belgilangan. Yaponiya bankining og&#039;zaki aralashuvlariga bozorning hushyorligiga qaramay, AQSh-Yaponiya foiz stavkalari farqining ob&#039;ektiv mavjudligi yenaning tiklanish maydonini cheklashda davom etmoqda.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-18\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>EUR\/USD (EURUSD):<\/strong> Hozirda 1.14147 darajasida, kun davomida 0.00091 yoki 0.08% ga biroz pasaydi. Yevropaning ichki iqtisodiy farovonligining kengayish sur&#039;ati chekkada sekinlashganligi sababli, yevro 1.1400 dan yuqoriga ko&#039;tarilish uchun uzoq muddatli sur&#039;atga ega bo&#039;lmadi va bu AQSh dollarining tor tebranishlari bilan birga kichik daromadlarni qaytarib berdi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-19 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>3. Qimmatbaho metallar va tovarlar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-20 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Qimmatbaho metallar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-21\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Spot Gold (XAUUSD):<\/strong> Narxi $4,005.76\/untsiya bo&#039;lib, kun davomida $10.92 yoki 0.27% ga pasaydi. Oldingi davrda tarixiy eng yuqori ko&#039;rsatkichlarga erishgandan so&#039;ng, oltin narxlari bugun yuqori darajadagi qaytishni boshdan kechirdi. Xavfsiz boshpana kayfiyatining bosqichma-bosqich sovishi bilan bir qatorda, ba&#039;zi buqa kapitali $4,000 psixologik raund raqamidan yuqori foydani saqlab qolishni tanladi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-22\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Spotli kumush (XAGUSD):<\/strong> Narxi $58.08250\/untsiya bo&#039;lib, kunlik narx $0.22505 yoki 0.39% ga pasaydi. Yuqori elastiklikli aktiv sifatida kumushning pasayishi oltinnikidan biroz kattaroq bo&#039;ldi. Avvalgi buqa kayfiyatining keskin pasayishini boshdan kechirgandan so&#039;ng, u hozirda texnik jihatdan $58 belgisi atrofida konsolidatsiya qilinmoqda.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-23 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Tovarlar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-24\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>WTI xom nefti (XTIUSD):<\/strong> Hozirda $70.77\/barrel darajasida, kunlik $0.13 yoki 0.18% ga pasaydi. Potentsial ta&#039;minot uzilishlari va makro talab kutilmalarining sekinlashishi o&#039;rtasidagi tortishuvda neft narxlari birdaniga $70 qarshilik darajasini buzib o&#039;tgandan so&#039;ng yon tomonga o&#039;tdi. Bozor yangi geosiyosiy xavf premiyalarini qayta baholaganligi sababli qisqa muddatli o&#039;sish kayfiyati biroz sovib ketdi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-25 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>4. Kripto aktivlari va makro dinamika<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-26\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Bitcoin (BTCUSD):<\/strong> Oxirgi savdo $59,784 da amalga oshirildi, bu kun ichida $380 yoki 0.63% ga pasayish edi. $60,000 raund belgisida psixologik va texnik qarshilikka duch kelgan BTC momentumni oshirish uchun sezilarli darajada pasayishni boshdan kechirdi. Makro likvidlikning bosqichma-bosqich qisqarishi va yuqori darajadagi foyda olishdan kelib chiqadigan savdo bosimi qisqa muddatli yuqoriga ko&#039;tarilish momentumini cheklab qo&#039;ydi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-27\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Ethereum (ETHUSD):<\/strong> Oxirgi savdo $1,599.12 da amalga oshirildi, bu kunlik savdoda $11.50 yoki 0.71% ga pasayish edi. ETH nisbatan zaif ko&#039;rsatkichlarini davom ettirdi, $1,600 psixologik burilish nuqtasi buzilish bosimiga duch keldi. Marginal xavfdan qochishning hozirgi makro narxlash tuzilmasi sharoitida raqamli aktivlar uchun qo&#039;shimcha kapital nisbatan kamligicha qolmoqda va bozor likvidligi afzalroq an&#039;anaviy xavfsiz boshpanalar va AQShning asosiy aktsiya aktivlariga jamlangan.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-28 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>5. Bugungi diqqat markazida<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-29\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Germaniya iyun oyidagi dastlabki CPI MoM<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-30\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Kanada may oyidagi YaIM MoM<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-31\" style=\"font-size:18px\">AQSh iyun oyidagi CB iste&#039;molchilar ishonchi<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-32\" style=\"font-size:18px\">AQSh May JOLTs ish o&#039;rinlari<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-33\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Yevropa Markaziy Banki prezidenti Kristin Lagardning nutqi<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On June 30, 2026, during the early Asian trading session on Tuesday, global multi-asset markets showed divergent trends due to supply chain disruptions and a resurgence of tight inflation expectations. Uncertainties in the external environment have directly intensified market concerns over future rising inflation, which in turn has allowed the expectation of a prolonged high-interest-rate 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