{"id":4572,"date":"2026-05-15T16:39:27","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T06:39:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=4572"},"modified":"2026-05-15T16:39:28","modified_gmt":"2026-05-15T06:39:28","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-macro-optimism-suppresses-safe-haven-premiums-as-gold-and-crude-oil-hover-at-high-levels-awaiting-a-breakout","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/2026\/05\/15\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-macro-optimism-suppresses-safe-haven-premiums-as-gold-and-crude-oil-hover-at-high-levels-awaiting-a-breakout\/","title":{"rendered":"Amillex kundalik bozor sharhi | Oltin va xom neft yuqori darajada suzib yurgani sababli, makro optimizm xavfsiz boshpana mukofotlarini bostiradi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-1 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">2026-yil 15-may \u2014 Global bozorlar ko&#039;plab raqobatdosh kuchlar orasida o&#039;zgaruvchan konsolidatsiya bosqichiga kirdi. Bugun ertalab Osiyo sessiyasida oltin narxi 4657 AQSh dollari atrofida sotildi va payshanba kungi eng yuqori ko&#039;rsatkichlardan biroz pasaydi. Ushbu pasayishning asosiy mantig&#039;i geosiyosiy xavf premiyalarining vaqtinchalik yumshatilishiga bog&#039;liq. Yaqin Sharqda pasayish belgilari paydo bo&#039;lishi bilan birga, Xitoy-AQSh oliy darajadagi uchrashuvlaridan kutilmagan ijobiy hamkorlik signallari chiqarilishi bilan, ilgari ko&#039;tarilgan xavfsiz boshpana kayfiyati amalda yo&#039;qoldi. Yangi buqa katalizatorlari bo&#039;lmagan taqdirda, uzoq pozitsiyalar foyda ko&#039;rishni boshladi. Bozor hali ham uzoq muddatli inflyatsiya trayektoriyasiga oid xavotirlarni saqlasa-da, xavfga ishtahaning qisqa muddatli tiklanishi oltin narxlariga 4700 AQSh dollari darajasidan pastga strukturaviy bosim o&#039;tkazdi va bozorni yangi narrativ drayverni izlayotgan &quot;vakuum davrida&quot; qoldirdi.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-2 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Energetika bozorida AQSh xom nefti barreliga 102 AQSh dollari atrofida yuqori darajadagi konsolidatsiyada qolmoqda, chunki buqa va ayiq kuchlari qizg&#039;in kurashni davom ettirmoqda. Bir tomondan, taxminan 30 ta tijorat kemasi Hormuz bo&#039;g&#039;ozidan muvaffaqiyatli o&#039;tdi, bu esa ushbu muhim energiya bo&#039;g&#039;ozining blokadasi bilan bog&#039;liq keskin xavotirlarni sezilarli darajada yumshatdi. Boshqa tomondan, ta&#039;minot tomonidagi zaiflik yaqqol ko&#039;rinib turibdi. Ummon ko&#039;rfazidagi hujumdan keyin Hindiston yuk kemasining cho&#039;kishi yana bir bor zaif ta&#039;minot zanjiri asablarini larzaga keltirdi, OPEC+ ishlab chiqarishni oshirish majburiyatlari esa hali ham amaldagi jismoniy ta&#039;minotga aylanmasdan, asosan siyosatni boshqarish bosqichida qolmoqda. Kelajakka nazar tashlasak, ehtiyot bo&#039;lish kerak. Agar ishlab chiqarish o&#039;sishi kutilganidan past bo&#039;lsa va yuk tashish xavfi saqlanib qolsa, xom neft narxlari hali ham juda kuchli o&#039;sish sur&#039;atiga ega bo&#039;lishi mumkin.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:20px\"><strong>Aktivlarning samaradorligi va fundamental tahlil<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-3 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>1. AQSh qimmatli qog&#039;ozlar bozori<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-4 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Indeks samaradorligi<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-5\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Dow Jones sanoat o&#039;rtacha ko&#039;rsatkichi (DJI)<\/strong>: Kun davomida 370,06 punktga yoki 0,74% ga o&#039;sib, 50 068,02 da yopildi. Dow Jones indeksi psixologik 50 000 punkt darajasini muvaffaqiyatli tikladi, bu makro noaniqlik sharoitida kapitalning barqaror pul oqimlariga ega ko&#039;k chipli aktsiyalarga aylanishi mantig&#039;ini aks ettiradi, qiymat sektorlari esa kuchli mudofaa barqarorligini namoyish etdi.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-6\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>S&amp;P 500 indeksi (SP500)<\/strong>: 7.44K (taxminan 7440 punkt) darajasida yopildi, bu kun ichida taxminan 0.58% ga ko&#039;tarildi. Siyosat bo&#039;yicha kutilgan kurashlarga qaramay, S&amp;P tarixiy eng yuqori ko&#039;rsatkichlarga yaqinligicha qolmoqda, chunki bozor baholash mukofotlari uchun daromad o&#039;sishini qo&#039;llab-quvvatlashda narxlarni belgilashda davom etmoqda.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-7\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Nasdaq 100 indeksi (NQ1!)<\/strong>: 29 675.50 da yopildi, 12.25 punktga yoki 0.04% ga biroz pasaydi. Texnologik aksiyalar aralash ko&#039;rsatkichlarni ko&#039;rsatdi. Noaniq foiz stavkasi istiqboliga qaramay, yuqori qiymatli o&#039;sish aksiyalari 30 000 punktli psixologik chegaradan oldin aniq konsolidatsiya xususiyatlarini namoyish etdi.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-8 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Asosiy aksiyalar<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Texnologiya og&#039;ir vazn toifasidagi sportchilar<\/strong>Ko&#039;pgina yirik texnologiya aksiyalari pasayib ketdi. Tesla (TSLA) 0,44% ga pasayib, 443,30 da yopildi; Apple (AAPL) 0,22% ga pasayib, 298,21 da yopildi; Intel (INTC) 3,62% ga pasayib, 115,93 ga tushdi. Yarimo&#039;tkazgich aksiyalarining zaiflashishi Nasdaq ko&#039;rsatkichlariga ta&#039;sir ko&#039;rsatdi, chunki bozorlar chip sektorida o&#039;sish istiqbollarini qayta baholash uchun aniqroq makro siyosat signallarini kutmoqda.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-10 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>2. Valyuta bozori<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-11\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>AQSh dollari indeksi (DXY)<\/strong>: Kun davomida 0,07% ga biroz ko&#039;tarilib, 98,941 da yopildi. Dollar nisbatan kuchli bo&#039;lib qoldi, bu asosan xavfsiz boshpana talabi va nisbiy daromadlilik spredlari bilan bog&#039;liq. Global makro siyosat bilan bog&#039;liq noaniqlikning kuchayib borayotgani sharoitida, dollarning zaxira aktivi sifatida jozibadorligi mustahkam bo&#039;lib qolmoqda va 99 darajasidan pastda mustahkam konsolidatsiyani saqlab qoldi.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-12\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>USD\/JPY (USDJPY)<\/strong>: 158.342 da yopildi, 0.03% ga biroz pasaydi. Ien 158 atrofida chegaralangan holda qoldi. AQSh va Yaponiya o&#039;rtasidagi tarixan yuqori daromadlilik farqlari tufayli, iyenning yuqoriga ko&#039;tarilish salohiyati cheklanganligicha qolmoqda, bozorlar esa Yaponiya Bankining potentsial og&#039;zaki yoki haqiqiy aralashuvini diqqat bilan kuzatib bormoqda.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-13\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>EUR\/USD (EURUSD)<\/strong>: Kun davomida 0.05% pasayish bilan 1.16626 darajasida yopildi. Yevro hududidagi zaif o&#039;sish sur&#039;ati dollarning nisbiy mustahkamligi bilan birgalikda yevroga 1.17 darajasidan pastga bosim o&#039;tkazishda davom etdi.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-14 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>3. Qimmatbaho metallar va tovarlar<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-15 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Qimmatbaho metallar<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul style=\"font-size:18px\" class=\"wp-block-list has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-16\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-17\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Spot oltin (XAUUSD)<\/strong>Oltin narxi bir untsiya uchun 4656,54 AQSh dollari atrofida sotildi, bu kunlik 4,04 AQSh dollariga yoki 0,09% ga oshdi. Oltin narxlari yuqori darajalarda kuchli barqarorlikni namoyish etishda davom etmoqda, bu uzoq muddatli inflyatsiya kutilmalari va geosiyosiy xavflarning bozor narxlarini aks ettiradi. 5000 AQSh dollari darajasi uzoq muddatli bozor kurashlari uchun markaziy nuqtaga aylandi.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-18\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Spotli kumush (XAGUSD)<\/strong>: Bir untsiya uchun 84,240 AQSh dollaridan sotildi, bu 1,50% ga pasayishdir. Kumushning o&#039;zgaruvchanligi yaqinda oltinning o&#039;zgaruvchanligidan sezilarli darajada oshib ketdi. Kunlik pasayish buqalar orasida yuqori darajadagi foyda olish kayfiyatining kuchayishini ko&#039;rsatadi, bozorlar esa iqtisodiy pasayish kutilganidek kumushning sanoat xususiyatlarini qayta baholamoqda.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-19 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Tovarlar<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-20\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Xom neft (XTIUSD)<\/strong>Neft narxi bir barrel uchun 101,65 AQSh dollaridan sotildi, bu 0,39% ga pasayish demakdir. Neft narxlari 100 AQSh dollari chegarasidan yuqori bo&#039;lgan tor konsolidatsiyada qolmoqda, chunki ta&#039;minotdagi uzilishlar va talabning pasayishi bilan bog&#039;liq xavotirlar raqobatlashishda davom etmoqda. Narxlar tuzilishi bozorning energiya ta&#039;minoti zanjiri xavfsizligiga nisbatan yuqori sezgirligini aks ettiradi.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-21 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>4. Kripto aktivlari va makro dinamika<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-22\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Bitcoin (BTCUSD)<\/strong>: Kun davomida 0,49% ga oshib, 81 469 AQSh dollarida savdo qilindi. Avvalgi ko&#039;tarilish momentumi to&#039;xtab qolgandan so&#039;ng, BTC 80 000 AQSh dollaridan yuqori konsolidatsiya bosqichiga o&#039;tdi, kapital oqimi naqshlari esa uning an&#039;anaviy xavfsiz aktivlar bilan o&#039;zaro bog&#039;liqligi dinamik ravishda rivojlanayotganini ko&#039;rsatadi.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-23\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Ethereum (ETHUSD)<\/strong>: 2292,65 AQSh dollarida savdo qilindi, bu 0,42% ga oshdi. ETH kengroq kripto bozori bilan o&#039;zaro bog&#039;liq harakatni saqlab qoldi, ammo umumiy momentum nisbatan zaifroq bo&#039;lib qoldi, bu esa xavfga asoslangan bozor muhitida zanjirli ekotizim o&#039;sishi haqidagi hikoyalar vaqtincha makro aktivlarni taqsimlash mantig&#039;idan orqada qolayotganini aks ettiradi.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-24 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>5. Bugungi diqqat markazida<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-25\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Hech biri\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>May 15, 2026 \u2014 Global markets have entered a phase of volatile consolidation amid multiple competing forces. Spot gold traded around USD 4,657 during the Asian session this morning, slightly retreating from Thursday\u2019s highs. The core logic behind this pullback lies in the temporary easing of geopolitical risk premiums. As signs of de-escalation&nbsp;emerged&nbsp;in the Middle [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":4573,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_front_end_style_editor":"no","ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","_glsr_average":0,"_glsr_ranking":0,"_glsr_reviews":0,"ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4572","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-english-news","entry","has-media"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4572","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4572"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4572\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4574,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4572\/revisions\/4574"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4573"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4572"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4572"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4572"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}