{"id":3498,"date":"2025-12-31T14:37:24","date_gmt":"2025-12-31T03:37:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=3498"},"modified":"2025-12-31T14:37:26","modified_gmt":"2025-12-31T03:37:26","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-market-enters-holiday-mode-risk-assets-close-cautiously-precious-metals-diverge-amid-liquidity-crunch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/2025\/12\/31\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-market-enters-holiday-mode-risk-assets-close-cautiously-precious-metals-diverge-amid-liquidity-crunch\/","title":{"rendered":"Amillex kundalik bozor sharhi | Bozor bayram rejimiga o'tdi: Xavfli aktivlar ehtiyotkorlik bilan yopildi; Likvidlik inqirozi sharoitida qimmatbaho metallar divergent bo'lib qoldi\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"

2025-yil 31-dekabr. <\/strong>2025-yilning so'nggi yopilish qo'ng'irog'i yaqinlashib kelayotgan bir paytda, global bozorlar to'liq "Bayram rejimiga" o'tdi. Institutsional ishchilar asosan chetga surilganligi sababli, rivoyat makro fundamental ko'rsatkichlardan texnik pozitsiya kvadrati va marjaga asoslangan o'zgaruvchanlikka o'tdi. Aksiyalar yil oxirida foyda olish natijasida yengil bosim ostida qolsa-da, qimmatbaho metallar kompleksi diqqat markazida bo'lib, zaif likvidlik muhitida zo'ravonlik bilan deleveraj hodisasiga duch keldi. AQSh dollari indeksi diapazon bilan chegaralangan konsolidatsiyani saqlab qoldi, chunki asosiy bozor mojarosi makro ma'lumotlardan pozitsiyalash, marjalar va yil oxiridagi mablag'larni taqsimlashga o'tdi. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Bozor samaradorligi va aktivlar sinfi bo'yicha fundamental tahlil<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

1. AQSh fond bozori<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Indeks samaradorligi:<\/strong> AQShning uchta asosiy indeksi umuman olganda zaif bo'lib, Dow, S&P 500 va Nasdaq biroz pastroq yopildi. Bozorda aniq asosiy mavzu yo'q va savdo hajmi odatdagidan sezilarli darajada past bo'lib, yil oxiridagi odatiy xususiyatlarni namoyish etadi. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2. Forex bozori:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • AQSh dollari indeksi (DXY) biroz yuqoriga ko'tarildi, ammo trendning keskin o'sishini shakllantira olmadi, bu esa kuchli kutish va ko'rish kayfiyatini aks ettiradi;\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    • EUR\/USD 1.17 dan yuqori darajada o'zgarib turdi, yangi katalizatorlar yo'q edi;\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
        \n
      • USD\/JPY 156\u2013157 oralig'ida konsolidatsiyani saqlab qoldi, cheklangan pastga siljish bilan yuqori nuqtalardan chekindi;\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
          \n
        • GBP\/USD nisbatan barqaror bo'lib, yevroga nisbatan biroz yaxshiroq natija ko'rsatdi, ammo bayram likvidligi bilan ham xuddi shunday cheklangan edi.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

          Haydash omillari:<\/strong> Valyuta bozori odatiy "yil oxiridagi konsolidatsiya bosqichiga" kirdi, bu yerda qisqa muddatli harakatlar trend savdo oynalariga qaraganda ko'proq texnik tebranishlardir. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

          <\/div>\n\n\n\n

          3. Qimmatbaho metallar va tovarlar<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

          Qimmatbaho metallar: <\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

            \n
          • Spot oltin (XAUUSD): Qisqa muddatli bosimga qaramay, u tarixiy yuqori mintaqalarda savdo qilishni davom ettirmoqda, bu o'rta va uzoq muddatli buqa tuzilishi buzilmaganligini ko'rsatadi.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
              \n
            • Spot kumush (XAGUSD): Avvalgi kundagi pasayishdan so'ng, kumush kuchli texnik tiklanishni ko'rdi va 9% dan taxminan $78\/oz darajasiga ko'tarildi (sotishdan keyingi bosimning past darajasidan kunning eng yuqori cho'qqisiga qaytdi). Bu "keskin pasayish va keyin keskin ko'tarilish" "marja sozlamalari \u2192 majburiy likvidatsiya \u2192 teskari sotib olish\/pastki baliq ovlash" ning klassik ko'rinishidir.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

              Asosiy drayverlar:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

                \n
              • Avvalgi "siqish uslubidagi" rallilar ko'p sonli yuqori kald\u0131ra\u00e7li uzunliklarni to'pladi;\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
                  \n
                • Yil oxiridagi likvidlikning pastligi pozitsiyalarning har qanday konsentratsiyalangan yopilishini kuchaytirdi;\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
                    \n
                  • Valyuta marjasining oshishi va xavfni nazorat qilish talablari passiv qarzlarni kamaytirishga olib keldi.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

                    Tovarlar: <\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

                      \n
                    • WTI xom nefti $58\/barrel atrofida tebranishlarni saqlab qoldi. Ushbu tendentsiya nisbatan barqaror bo'lib, energetika sektorida stabilizator vazifasini bajaradi.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
                      <\/div>\n\n\n\n

                      5. Bugungi diqqat markazida<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

                        \n
                      • Dekabr oyidagi FOMC yig'ilishining bayonnomasi.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
                          \n
                        • Dekabr oyi uchun Xitoyning ishlab chiqarish PMI.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
                            \n
                          • 27-dekabrda tugaydigan hafta uchun AQShning dastlabki ishsizlik nafaqasi bo'yicha da'volari.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
                            <\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                            December 31, 2025. As we approach the final closing bell of 2025, the global markets have fully transitioned into “Holiday Mode.” With institutional desks largely sidelined, the narrative has shifted away from macro fundamentals toward technical position squaring and margin-driven volatility. While equities remain under mild pressure from year-end profit-taking, the precious metals complex has stolen the spotlight, enduring a violent deleveraging event in 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