{"id":3491,"date":"2025-12-30T15:12:05","date_gmt":"2025-12-30T04:12:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=3491"},"modified":"2025-12-30T15:12:24","modified_gmt":"2025-12-30T04:12:24","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-year-end-profit-taking-triggers-metal-volatility-and-risk-asset-retrenchment","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/2025\/12\/30\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-year-end-profit-taking-triggers-metal-volatility-and-risk-asset-retrenchment\/","title":{"rendered":"Amillex kundalik bozor sharhi | Yil oxiridagi foyda olish metall o'zgaruvchanligi va risk-aktivlarning qisqarishiga olib keladi\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"

2025-yil 30-dekabr. <\/strong>Yil oxiridagi savdo bayramona tushkunlikka tushib qolganligi sababli, bozorning asosiy mavzusi "past hajm + qisqa muddatli foyda olish"ga o'tdi. Xavfli aktivlar o'tgan haftadagi kuchdan so'ng qisqa muddatli tuzatishni boshdan kechirdi, AQSh dollari indeksi esa ketma-ket to'rtinchi kun davomida o'z diapazonini saqlab qoldi, bu esa umumiy xavfga ishtaha hali pasaymaganligini ko'rsatadi. Shu bilan birga, qimmatbaho metallar dushanba kuni haddan tashqari o'zgaruvchanlikni kuzatdi va ketma-ket eng yuqori ko'rsatkichlarga erishgandan so'ng sezilarli darajada pasayish kuzatildi. Bunga qisman birjalarning marja talablarini oshirishi va haddan tashqari kengaytirilgan pozitsiyalarni majburiy ravishda tugatishi natijasida yuzaga kelgan siqilish sabab bo'ldi, bayramona likvidlikning pastligi narx o'zgarishlarining kattaligini kuchaytirdi. AQSh dollari indeksi 98 ga yaqin diapazonda qolmoqda, chunki bozorning asosiy diqqat markazida yil oxiridagi likvidlik, CME marjasini sozlash va 2026 yilgi foiz stavkalari trayektoriyasi bo'yicha kutilgan natijalar qolmoqda. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Bozor samaradorligi va aktivlar sinfi bo'yicha fundamental tahlil<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

1. AQSh fond bozori<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Indeks samaradorligi:<\/strong> Bozor mudofaa ritmini qabul qilganligi sababli, AQShning uchta asosiy indeksi pastga tushdi. S&P 500 taxminan 0,35% ga tushdi, Nasdaq taxminan 0,46% ga tushdi va Dow Jones Industrial Average taxminan 0,5% ga tushdi. AQSh aksiyalari yil davomida sezilarli darajada o'sishda davom etsa-da, bugungi harakat "yangi yil oldidan foyda olish" bilan tavsiflandi.\u201c <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Aksiyalarga e'tibor:<\/strong> Tesla (TSLA) dushanba kuni taxminan 3,3% yopdi, bu bozor qiymatidan taxminan $38 milliard dollarni yo'q qildi (foiz pasayishi bilan baholandi). Omillar iste'mol va yetkazib berish ma'lumotlari bilan bog'liq kutilmalar, shuningdek, bozorning baholashni tuzatishga nisbatan sezgirligi edi. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2. Forex bozori:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • AQSh dollari indeksi (DXY) 98.0 atrofida biroz tebranishlarni saqlab qoldi, bu odatda "inflyatsiyaning sovishi + riskga ishtahaning yil oxirida tiklanishi" kabi ikki omil ta'sirida bo'ldi;\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    • EUR\/USD 1.175 \u2013 1.178 oralig'ida kotirovka qilindi, kun ichidagi cheklangan o'zgaruvchanlik sharoitida yevro dollarga nisbatan biroz kuchayish yoki konsolidatsiyani ko'rsatdi;\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
        \n
      • USD\/JPY 156.0 \u2013 156.5 oralig'ida savdo qilindi. Yen nisbatan zaifligicha qolmoqda, ammo bugun sezilarli keskin o'zgarishlar kuzatilmadi. Agar Yen bosimga duch kelishda davom etsa, Yaponiya Bankining sharhlari va xalqaro kapital oqimlariga e'tibor qaratish kerak;\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
          \n
        • GBP\/USD 1.347 \u2013 1.352 atrofida qoldi; funt sterling nisbatan barqaror o'sdi va oylik diapazon bo'yicha konsolidatsiyasini saqlab qoldi.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
          <\/div>\n\n\n\n

          3. Qimmatbaho metallar va tovarlar<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

          Qimmatbaho metallar: <\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

            \n
          • Spot oltin (XAUUSD) avvalgi rekord darajadagi yuqori ko'rsatkichlarga erishganidan keyin pasayishni kuzatdi, bir paytda o'zining eng yuqori cho'qqisidan deyarli $250 ga tushib ketdi - bu g'ayrioddiy o'ta o'zgaruvchanlik holati. Agar birjalar yoki brokerlar yuqori marja standartlarini saqlab qolishda davom etsa, qisqa muddatli o'zgaruvchanlik saqlanib qolishi mumkin.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
              \n
            • Spot kumush (XAGUSD) ayniqsa kuchli o'zgarishlarni kuzatdi, taxminan $84\/oz tarixiy ekstremaldan $70\/oz gacha bir nuqtada pasaydi. Umuman olganda, kumushning o'zgaruvchanligi fundamental omillar (kon ta'minotining qisqarishi va sanoat talabining o'sishi, ayniqsa fotovoltaiklar va ma'lumotlar markazlaridan) bilan qo'llab-quvvatlanadi, ammo texnik omillar va kapitalga bog'liq ta'sirlar ham kuchayadi.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

              Haydash omillari:<\/strong> Bozor tahlilchilarining fikriga ko'ra, CME kabi birjalar marjalarni oshirgandan so'ng, kreditorlik pozitsiyalari qisqartirishga majbur bo'ldi, bu esa qisqa muddatli likvidatsiya va narxlarning pasayishini kuchaytirdi. Umumiy baho shuni ko'rsatadiki, bu yil qimmatbaho metallar keskin ko'tarilgan bo'lsa-da, bayramlardan keyin past likvidlik va marja sozlamalari yuqori qisqa muddatli o'zgaruvchanlik xavfini tug'diradi. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

              <\/div>\n\n\n\n

              Tovarlar: <\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

                \n
              • WTI xom nefti qisqa muddatda geosiyosiy va ta'minot bilan bog'liq muammolar tufayli mustahkamlandi, narxlar $58 atrofida tiklandi va bu energetika sektorining samaradorligini oshirdi.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
                <\/div>\n\n\n\n

                4. Bugungi diqqat markazida<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

                  \n
                • Bugungi kunda tomosha qilish uchun katta ma'lumotlar nashrlari yo'q.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
                  <\/div>\n\n\n\n

                  <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                  December 30, 2025. As year-end trading enters the holiday doldrums, the market’s main theme has shifted to “low volume + short-term profit-taking.” Risk assets experienced a short-term correction following last week\u2019s strength, while the US Dollar Index maintained its range for a fourth consecutive day, suggesting that overall risk appetite has not yet collapsed. Meanwhile, precious metals saw extreme […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":3492,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_front_end_style_editor":"no","ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","_glsr_average":0,"_glsr_ranking":0,"_glsr_reviews":0,"ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3491","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-english-news","entry","has-media"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3491","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3491"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3491\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3494,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3491\/revisions\/3494"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3492"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3491"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3491"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3491"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}