{"id":3373,"date":"2025-12-11T19:16:09","date_gmt":"2025-12-11T08:16:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=3373"},"modified":"2025-12-23T19:25:37","modified_gmt":"2025-12-23T08:25:37","slug":"20251210en","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/uz\/2025\/12\/11\/20251210en\/","title":{"rendered":"Amillex kundalik bozor sharhi: Fed bu yil uchinchi marta 25 punktga pasayishni amalga oshirdi, ichki bo&#039;linmalar olti yillik eng yuqori ko&#039;rsatkichga yetdi; Kumush $61 dan yuqori ko&#039;tarilib, yangi rekord o&#039;rnatdi\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dekabr oyidagi FOMC yig&#039;ilishidan asosiy xulosalar&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Federal mablag&#039;lar stavkasi: Maqsadli diapazon 3.75%\u20134.00% dan 3.50%\u20133.75% gacha pasaytirildi, bu yil ketma-ket uchinchi marta 25 punktlik stavkaning pasayishi va 2025 yilda umumiy 75 punktga pasayishini anglatadi.&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nuqta diagrammasi: 2026-yilda hali ham faqat bitta stavka pasayishini bildiradi, bu esa kelgusi yilda siyosat sur&#039;atining sezilarli darajada sekinlashishi kutilayotgan holda, &quot;shafqatsizlarcha&quot; yumshatish haqidagi xabarni kuchaytiradi.&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ichki kelishmovchiliklarni kuchaytirish&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ovoz berishda uchta norozilik bildirildi \u2014 bu 2019-yildan beri eng ko&#039;p bo&#039;lgan.&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Gubernator Milan 50 balllik qisqartirish uchun ovoz berdi,&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Goolsbee va Schmid esa hech qanday o&#039;zgarishni xohlamadilar.&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bu inflyatsiyaning barqarorligi va mehnat bozoridagi xavflar bo&#039;yicha FOMC ichidagi bo&#039;linishlarning kengayib borayotganini ta&#039;kidlaydi.&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Balans operatsiyalari&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">12-dekabrdan boshlab Fed yetarli zaxiralarni saqlab qolish va pul bozoridagi likvidlik bosimini yumshatish uchun $40 milliard dollarlik qisqa muddatli g&#039;aznachilik obligatsiyalarini sotib oladi.&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Global bozorlar sharhi \u2013 10-dekabr&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Qimmatbaho metallar: Kumush rekord darajadagi rekordga ko&#039;tarilib, yetakchilik qilmoqda; Oltin-kumush nisbati 70 dan pastga tushdi&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Spot kumush narxi 0,68% ga ko&#039;tarilib, $61,05\/untsiyaga yetdi, bu yil boshidan beri deyarli 110% ga oshdi.&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Oltin narxi 0,27% ga pasayib, $4,196\/untsiyaga yetdi.&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Asosiy drayverlar:&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ta&#039;minot tanqisligi: Global zaxiralar so&#039;nggi o&#039;n yillikdagi eng past ko&#039;rsatkichga yetdi; quyosh energiyasi va sun&#039;iy intellekt uskunalariga talab o&#039;sishda davom etmoqda.&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Spekulyativ oqimlar: Chakana savdo va kreditorlik hisobi agressiv ravishda o&#039;sish uchun pozitsiyani egallaydi.&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">FX va obligatsiyalar: Dollar barqaror, AQSh daromadliligi 3 oylik eng yuqori ko&#039;rsatkichga yaqinlashmoqda&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">DXY 99.0 atrofida tekislandi, chunki bozorlar stavkani ancha oldin pasaytirgan edi.&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">AQShning 10 yillik obligatsiyalar rentabelligi 4.20% darajasida barqaror bo&#039;lib, bu inflyatsiyaning barqarorligi bilan bog&#039;liq xavotirlarni aks ettiradi.&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">USD\/JPY biroz ko&#039;tarilib, 156.70 ga yetdi, BOJ dekabr oyidagi stavkaning oshishi kutilmoqda, bu esa Fedning yumshatish bosimini qoplaydi.&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Neft va kriptovalyuta: Geosiyosat va siyosat noaniqligi o&#039;zaro bog&#039;liq&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Neft: Brent markali neft narxi 0,18% ga ko&#039;tarilib, $62,05\/barrelgacha yetdi. Rossiya-Ukraina tinchlik muzokaralaridagi taraqqiyot (Zelenskiy bosqichma-bosqich tinchlik doirasini taklif qilmoqda) geosiyosiy yuklamalarni cheklab qo&#039;ydi.&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kripto: Bitcoin $92,623 darajasida o&#039;zgarmadi; Ethereum 0.6% ga ko&#039;tarildi, chunki bozorlar Fed siyosati traektoriyasi bo&#039;yicha aniqroq ko&#039;rsatmalarni kutmoqda&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Aksiyalar: FOMC qaroridan oldin ehtiyotkorlik ustunlik qiladi&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">AQSh aksiyalari fyucherslari: S&amp;P 500 va Nasdaq 100 0.1%\u20130.2% ga pasaydi, texnologik investorlar sun&#039;iy intellekt bilan bog&#039;liq talab bo&#039;yicha ko&#039;rsatmalar uchun Oracle daromadlarini kutishmoqda.&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Yevropa va Osiyo:&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nikkei 225 0.1% ga tushdi&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Euro Stoxx 50 banklar va energetika kompaniyalari tomonidan bosim ostida 0.06% ga tushdi.&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bugun tomosha qilish kerak bo&#039;lgan asosiy voqealar&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fed ma&#039;ruzachilari: Chikago Fed prezidenti Goolsbee va Cleveland Fed prezidenti Mester (Harmack?) iqtisodiy istiqbol haqida fikr bildirish uchun \u2014 bozorlar ichki bo&#039;linish haqidagi talqinlarini diqqat bilan kuzatib boradilar.&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">BOJ gubernatori Ueda: Dekabr oyidagi stavkalarning oshishi bo&#039;yicha kutilgan natijalarni mustahkamlashi kutilmoqda, bu esa yena savdosining pasayishiga olib kelishi mumkin.&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ma&#039;lumotlar nashrlari:&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Avstraliyada noyabr oyidagi ishsizlik darajasi (mavsumiy tuzatishlar bilan)&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Shveytsariya Milliy Milliy Bankining siyosat stavkasi (11-dekabr holatiga ko&#039;ra)&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">AQShda ishsizlik bo&#039;yicha dastlabki da&#039;volar (6-dekabrda tugaydigan hafta)&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">AQShning sentyabr oyidagi savdo balansi&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">AQSh sentyabr oyida ulgurji savdo MoM&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">AQSh EIA tabiiy gaz ombori (5-dekabrda tugaydigan hafta)&nbsp;<\/h2>\n<\/blockquote>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key Takeaways from the December FOMC Meeting&nbsp; Federal funds rate: Target range lowered from 3.75%\u20134.00% to 3.50%\u20133.75%, marking the third consecutive 25bp rate cut this year and a total reduction of 75bp in 2025.&nbsp; Dot plot: Still signals only one rate cut in 2026, reinforcing a message of hawkish easing, with a significantly slower policy 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