{"id":9993,"date":"2026-08-18T16:24:40","date_gmt":"2026-08-18T06:24:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=9993"},"modified":"2026-08-18T16:25:06","modified_gmt":"2026-08-18T06:25:06","slug":"amillex-daily-market-review-cooling-inflation-reshapes-rate-cut-expectations-geopolitical-shifts-stir-gold-and-oil-dynamics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/2026\/08\/18\/amillex-daily-market-review-cooling-inflation-reshapes-rate-cut-expectations-geopolitical-shifts-stir-gold-and-oil-dynamics\/","title":{"rendered":"Coment\u00e1rio Di\u00e1rio do Mercado da Amillex | Arrefecimento da infla\u00e7\u00e3o remodela as expectativas de corte de juros; mudan\u00e7as geopol\u00edticas influenciam a din\u00e2mica do ouro e do petr\u00f3leo"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-1 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">On August 18, 2026, global financial markets hovered near record highs amid the dual forces of macro inflation data and evolving geopolitical tensions. In early Asian trading on Monday, spot gold traded near $4,382\/oz. Although gold pulled back after nearly touching the $4,450 mark, the latest US inflation data\u2014which came in line with expectations\u2014significantly cooled market anticipation of a September Fed rate hike, leaving bulls poised to test higher levels again this week. In contrast to gold&#8217;s strength, the energy market moved with caution, with WTI crude hovering around $82.40\/bbl. While demand downgrades by major institutions capped oil&#8217;s upside, escalating regional conflicts and rising shipping route uncertainties continued to inject a strong risk premium into commodities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-2 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Looking ahead, market sentiment will remain caught in a tug-of-war between expectations of monetary easing and unexpected external risks. If geopolitical stability worsens further, safe-haven flows could propel gold back up; conversely, if weak demand dominates, oil and other commodities may see deeper consolidation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-3 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Asset Performance &amp; Fundamental Analysis<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-4 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>1. US Stock Market<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-5 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Index Performance<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-6\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI):<\/strong> At 53,465.36, down 272.03 points (-0.51%). After breaking above 53,000, the index faced profit-taking pressure. Traditional industrial and value stocks came under strain, reflecting a defensive shift ahead of upcoming macro data releases.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-7\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>S&amp;P 500 (SP500):<\/strong> At 7,756.95, up 3.50 points (+0.05%). The index traded sideways near record highs, as divergence among tech giants offset weakness in traditional sectors. Focus remains centered on the Fed&#8217;s medium-to-long-term rate path and corporate earnings resilience.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-8\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Nasdaq 100 (NQ1!):<\/strong> At 30,108.75, up 12.75 points (+0.04%). Stabilizing above 30,000, high-valuation growth stocks were caught in a tug-of-war as traders digested shifting inflation expectations.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Single Stock Highlights<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-10\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Intel (INTC):<\/strong> At $103.49, up $0.99 (+0.97%). Bucked the broader market trend, bolstered by domestic semiconductor capacity expansion plans and improving capex structures.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-11\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Apple (AAPL):<\/strong> At $305.59, down $0.34 (-0.11%). Consolidated above $300, staying relatively resilient.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-12\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Amazon (AMZN):<\/strong> At $261.31, down $1.34 (-0.51%).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-13\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Alphabet (GOOG):<\/strong> At $341.45, down $2.09 (-0.61%).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-14\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Tesla (TSLA):<\/strong> At $339.30, down $2.97 (-0.87%). Pulled back slightly within its high range due to valuation adjustments and competitive pricing dynamics.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-15 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>2. Foreign Exchange Market<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-16\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>US Dollar Index (DXY):<\/strong> At 99.565, down 0.015 (-0.02%). The dollar traded soft near strong support at 99.50, as market pricing for the Fed&#8217;s policy pivot reached saturation, prompting liquidity to shift toward diversified safe havens.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-17\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>EUR\/USD:<\/strong> At 1.15813, up 0.00035 (+0.03%). EUR\/USD hovered just below 1.16, unable to stage a clean upside break despite dollar weakness due to muted Eurozone fundamental momentum.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-18\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>USD\/JPY:<\/strong> At 159.453, up 0.020 (+0.01%). The yen remained under pressure, nearing 160. Wide US-Japan yield differentials continued to feed carry trades, while markets kept a close eye on potential verbal intervention or subtle policy shifts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-19 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>3. Precious Metals &amp; Commodities<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-20 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Metais preciosos<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-21\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Spot Gold (XAUUSD):<\/strong> At $4,431.775\/oz, up $15.095 (+0.34%). Gold held strong near all-time highs. Driven by geopolitical uncertainties and steady central bank purchases, gold&#8217;s appeal as a credit-hedge asset remains compelling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-22\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Spot Silver (XAGUSD):<\/strong> At $66.3552\/oz, up $0.5707 (+0.87%). Outperforming gold, silver surged on a mix of speculative buying and expectations of an industrial demand recovery, preserving its robust upward channel.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-23 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Commodities<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-24\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>WTI Crude (XTIUSD):<\/strong> At $84.71\/bbl, down $0.12 (-0.14%). Crude consolidated after clearing $84, balancing geopolitical supply concerns against slowing global macro demand growth.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-25 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>4. Crypto Assets &amp; Macro Dynamics<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-26\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Bitcoin (BTCUSD):<\/strong> At $64,388, down $97 (-0.15%). BTC range-traded around $64,000. With broad risk appetite favoring traditional safe havens like gold, high-beta crypto assets saw constrained short-term upside.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-27\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Ethereum (ETHUSD):<\/strong> At $1,909.33, down $2.61 (-0.14%). ETH continued to underperform the broader market as capital gravitated toward top safe-haven assets, lacking a clear immediate catalyst to break out of consolidation.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-28 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>5. Key Events Today<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-29\" style=\"font-size:18px\">UK Claimant Count Change<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-30\" style=\"font-size:18px\">UK Average Weekly Earnings (3M\/YoY)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On August 18, 2026, global financial markets hovered near record highs amid the dual forces of macro inflation data and evolving geopolitical tensions. In early Asian trading on Monday, spot gold traded near $4,382\/oz. Although gold pulled back after nearly touching the $4,450 mark, the latest US inflation data\u2014which came in line with expectations\u2014significantly cooled [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":9991,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","_glsr_average":0,"_glsr_ranking":0,"_glsr_reviews":0,"ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9993","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-english-news","entry","has-media"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9993","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9993"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9993\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9998,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9993\/revisions\/9998"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9991"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9993"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9993"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9993"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}