{"id":4250,"date":"2026-03-16T17:49:01","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T06:49:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=4250"},"modified":"2026-03-16T17:49:02","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T06:49:02","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-hawkish-fed-expectations-continue-to-pressure-gold","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/2026\/03\/16\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-hawkish-fed-expectations-continue-to-pressure-gold\/","title":{"rendered":"Coment\u00e1rio di\u00e1rio do mercado Amillex | Expectativas de postura agressiva do Fed continuam pressionando o ouro\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-1 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>16 de mar\u00e7o de 2026 -&nbsp;<\/strong>Os mercados financeiros globais iniciaram a nova semana sob uma complexa combina\u00e7\u00e3o de for\u00e7as macroecon\u00f4micas. Durante as primeiras negocia\u00e7\u00f5es na \u00c1sia, o pre\u00e7o do ouro \u00e0 vista sofreu press\u00e3o e recuou em dire\u00e7\u00e3o a...&nbsp;<strong>US$ 5.000\/oz<\/strong>&nbsp;n\u00edvel, uma vez que o pr\u00eamio extremo anteriormente impulsionado pela demanda por ativos de ref\u00fagio agora enfrenta uma forte corre\u00e7\u00e3o devido a fatores fundamentais.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-2 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">De acordo com dados do CME Group FedWatch, a probabilidade de o Fed manter as taxas de juros inalteradas esta semana atingiu [valor omitido].&nbsp;<strong>99.2%<\/strong>. Essa perspectiva de taxas de juros elevadas por um per\u00edodo prolongado continua a sustentar o d\u00f3lar americano e exerce clara press\u00e3o sobre ativos que n\u00e3o geram rendimento, como metais preciosos.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-3 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Em contraste, o petr\u00f3leo bruto Brent subiu acima de&nbsp;<strong>US$ 100 por barril<\/strong>,Impulsionado principalmente pelo impasse cont\u00ednuo no conflito do Oriente M\u00e9dio e pela ret\u00f3rica mais incisiva de altos funcion\u00e1rios iranianos, o sentimento geral permanece altamente sens\u00edvel, com o pr\u00eamio geopol\u00edtico e a pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria restritiva puxando os mercados em dire\u00e7\u00f5es opostas.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-4 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:20px\"><strong>Desempenho do Mercado de Ativos e An\u00e1lise Fundamental<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-5 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>1. Mercado de a\u00e7\u00f5es dos EUA<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-6 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Desempenho do \u00edndice<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-7\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>S&amp;P 500<\/strong>:\u00a0<strong>6.661,98<\/strong>, acima\u00a0<strong>0,59%<\/strong>. O \u00edndice S&amp;P 500 continua demonstrando resili\u00eancia apesar da incerteza macroecon\u00f4mica, com os fundos migrando para a\u00e7\u00f5es de grandes empresas consolidadas antes da decis\u00e3o do Fed sobre a import\u00e2ncia da exposi\u00e7\u00e3o ao crescimento defensivo.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-8\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Nasdaq-100<\/strong>:\u00a0<strong>24.492,50<\/strong>, acima\u00a0<strong>0,40%<\/strong>. As a\u00e7\u00f5es de tecnologia permanecem relativamente est\u00e1veis, embora a expans\u00e3o da valoriza\u00e7\u00e3o seja limitada em um cen\u00e1rio de taxas de juros elevadas prolongadas, o que leva a um desempenho setorial mais seletivo.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u00cdndice Dow Jones Industrial<\/strong>:\u00a0<strong>46.558,47<\/strong>, abaixo\u00a0<strong>0,26%<\/strong>. Os setores industriais tradicionais e de valor agregado apresentaram um desempenho ligeiramente inferior, refletindo um sentimento cauteloso em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0s expectativas de crescimento.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-10 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Foco em a\u00e7\u00f5es<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-11\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)<\/strong>:\u00a0<strong>USD 391,20<\/strong>, abaixo\u00a0<strong>0,96%<\/strong>. A Tesla permanece abaixo do n\u00edvel de US$ 400, com custos de energia mais altos e expectativas de gastos mais fracas exercendo press\u00e3o tempor\u00e1ria sobre os pr\u00eamios de avalia\u00e7\u00e3o durante o ciclo de aperto monet\u00e1rio.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-12 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>2. Mercado Forex<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-13\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u00cdndice do D\u00f3lar Americano<\/strong>:\u00a0<strong>100.232<\/strong>, abaixo\u00a0<strong>0,26%<\/strong>. Apesar da redu\u00e7\u00e3o nas expectativas de corte de juros pelo Fed, a demanda por ativos de ref\u00fagio em moedas que n\u00e3o o d\u00f3lar, especialmente o euro, manteve o d\u00f3lar ligeiramente mais fraco, acima do n\u00edvel de 100.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-14\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong>:\u00a0<strong>1.14493<\/strong>, acima\u00a0<strong>0,31%<\/strong>. A valoriza\u00e7\u00e3o do euro \u00e9 sustentada pela diminui\u00e7\u00e3o das preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com a seguran\u00e7a energ\u00e9tica da Europa em meio aos acontecimentos no Oriente M\u00e9dio, com o retorno da liquidez aos principais ativos n\u00e3o denominados em d\u00f3lar.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-15\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>USD\/JPY<\/strong>:\u00a0<strong>159.331<\/strong>, abaixo\u00a0<strong>0,23%<\/strong>. A desvaloriza\u00e7\u00e3o do iene diminuiu perto do n\u00edvel de 160, \u00e0 medida que o \u00edmpeto do carry trade come\u00e7a a arrefecer, demonstrando uma estabiliza\u00e7\u00e3o t\u00e9cnica inicial.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-16 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>3. Metais Preciosos e Commodities<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-17 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Metais Preciosos<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-18\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>XAU\/USD<\/strong>:\u00a0<strong>USD 5.027,725\/oz<\/strong>, acima\u00a0<strong>0,14%<\/strong>. O ouro continua a consolidar-se acima de 5.000 d\u00f3lares. Embora um d\u00f3lar mais forte crie press\u00e3o, o risco geopol\u00edtico e a procura por prote\u00e7\u00e3o contra a infla\u00e7\u00e3o a longo prazo mant\u00eam o ouro como um ativo de ref\u00fagio fundamental para as institui\u00e7\u00f5es.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-19\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>XAG\/USD<\/strong>:\u00a0<strong>USD 81,3585\/oz<\/strong>, acima\u00a0<strong>0,92%<\/strong>. A prata est\u00e1 superando o ouro, refletindo uma maior elasticidade de pre\u00e7os, impulsionada tanto pela demanda industrial quanto pela busca por ativos de ref\u00fagio.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-20 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Mercadorias<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-21\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Petr\u00f3leo bruto WTI<\/strong>:\u00a0<strong>US$ 98,22\/barril<\/strong>, abaixo\u00a0<strong>0,97%<\/strong>. O pre\u00e7o do petr\u00f3leo recuou ligeiramente para abaixo da marca de US$ 100, \u00e0 medida que os mercados reavaliam os riscos reais de interrup\u00e7\u00e3o do fornecimento em um contexto de perspectiva de demanda mais fraca.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-22 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>4. Criptoativos e desenvolvimentos macroecon\u00f4micos<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-23\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong>:\u00a0<strong>USD 72.636<\/strong>, abaixo\u00a0<strong>0,27%<\/strong>. O Bitcoin enfrenta forte resist\u00eancia perto de US$ 75.000, \u00e0 medida que os investidores reduzem o risco antes da reuni\u00e3o do Fed.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-24\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Ethereum<\/strong>:\u00a0<strong>USD 2.172,7<\/strong>, abaixo\u00a0<strong>0,26%<\/strong>. O Ethereum continua a se movimentar em linha com o sentimento geral do mercado, mesmo em condi\u00e7\u00f5es de liquidez mais restritas.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-25 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>5. Dados importantes para acompanhar hoje<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-26\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Canad\u00e1, IPC fevereiro (m\/m)\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-27\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Canad\u00e1, n\u00facleo do IPC (mediana anual) em fevereiro.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-28\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u00cdndice de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor (IPC) b\u00e1sico do Canad\u00e1 - M\u00e9dia aparada (a\/a)\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-29\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Canad\u00e1 - \u00cdndice de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor B\u00e1sico de Fevereiro (a\/a)\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-30\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u00cdndice de Manufatura do Banco da Reserva Federal de Nova York, EUA, em mar\u00e7o\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>16 March 2026-&nbsp;Global financial markets started the new week under a complex mix of macroeconomic forces. During early Asian trading, spot gold came under pressure and eased back toward the&nbsp;USD 5,000\/oz&nbsp;level, as the extreme premium previously driven by safe-haven demand is now facing a strong correction from fundamental factors.&nbsp; According to CME Group&nbsp;FedWatch&nbsp;data, the probability [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":4247,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_front_end_style_editor":"no","ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","_glsr_average":0,"_glsr_ranking":0,"_glsr_reviews":0,"ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":"","_members_access_role":[],"_members_access_error":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4250","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-english-news","entry","has-media"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4250","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4250"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4250\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4251,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4250\/revisions\/4251"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4247"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4250"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4250"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4250"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}