{"id":4010,"date":"2026-02-12T17:53:42","date_gmt":"2026-02-12T06:53:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=4010"},"modified":"2026-02-12T17:53:43","modified_gmt":"2026-02-12T06:53:43","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-u-s-jobs-data-reshapes-the-narrative-gold-faces-resistance-at-5100","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/2026\/02\/12\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-u-s-jobs-data-reshapes-the-narrative-gold-faces-resistance-at-5100\/","title":{"rendered":"Amillex Daily Market Commentary | U.S. Jobs Data Reshapes the Narrative, Gold Faces Resistance at 5,100"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-1 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">12 February 2026&nbsp;\u2014 After the sharp volatility seen earlier this year, global precious metals markets have entered a phase of intense tug-of-war between bulls and bears. During Thursday\u2019s Asian session, spot gold hovered around the USD 5,060 level, while silver traded in a narrow range above USD 85.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-2 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">U.S. January nonfarm payroll data released earlier today came in significantly stronger than expected, with job gains of 130,000 versus market forecasts of 70,000. The unemployment rate also fell to 4.3%, beating expectations. This unexpectedly resilient labor market has quickly altered rate-cut expectations, with traders pushing the&nbsp;anticipated&nbsp;timing of the Federal Reserve\u2019s next rate cut from June to July. As a result, both the U.S. dollar index and Treasury yields rebounded, placing pressure on gold prices after they briefly touched an intraday high of USD 5,120 before pulling back.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-3 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">From a macro perspective, while strong employment data provides short-term support for the Fed\u2019s&nbsp;relatively hawkish&nbsp;stance, structural tailwinds for gold remain intact. These include sustained central bank gold purchases\u2014particularly from the People\u2019s Bank of China, which has been buying gold for 15 consecutive months\u2014as well as the risk of escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-4 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:20px\"><strong>Asset Performance and Fundamental Overview<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-5 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>1. U.S. Equity Markets<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-6 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Index Performance<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-7\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI):<\/strong>\u00a050,121.40, down 0.13% on the day. The index continues to hold firmly above the\u00a0psychological 50,000\u00a0level.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-8\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>S&amp;P 500 (SP500):<\/strong>\u00a06,941.67, down 0.07%. The index is showing caution near the key 7,000 resistance zone.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Nasdaq 100 (NQ):<\/strong>\u00a025,228.75, down 0.24%. Growth and technology stocks saw selective profit-taking amid recent fluctuations in U.S. Treasury yields.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-10 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Stock in Focus<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-11\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Tesla (TSLA):<\/strong>\u00a0USD 428.27, up 0.72%. As a heavyweight constituent, Tesla showed notable resilience despite broader market weakness.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-12 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>2. Foreign Exchange Market<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-13\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>U.S. Dollar Index (DXY):<\/strong>\u00a096.907, up 0.02%. The dollar\u00a0remains\u00a0range-bound below the 97 level as markets reprice stronger-than-expected labor data and recent hawkish remarks from Fed officials.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-14\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>EUR\/USD:<\/strong>\u00a01.1876,\u00a0up\u00a00.05%. The euro edged higher on technical recovery in Eurozone fundamentals, seeking near-term support around the 1.19 level.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-15\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>USD\/JPY:<\/strong>\u00a0153.19, down 0.02%. The yen\u00a0remains\u00a0relatively stable, as expectations around the U.S.\u2013Japan yield spread appear to have reached short-term equilibrium, keeping the pair in consolidation.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-16 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>3. Precious Metals and Commodities<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-17 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Metais preciosos<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-18\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Spot Gold (XAU\/USD):<\/strong>\u00a0USD 5,061.84\/oz, down approximately 0.44%. After its sharp rally and successful hold above USD 5,000, gold is facing pressure as safe-haven demand eases and rate-cut expectations are pushed back.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-19\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Spot Silver (XAG\/USD):<\/strong>\u00a0USD 82.31\/oz, down 2.37%. Silver\u2019s industrial exposure has come under pressure amid concerns over slowing global growth, triggering profit-taking in long positions.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-20 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Commodities<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-21\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Crude Oil (WTI):<\/strong>\u00a0USD 65.01\/barrel, up\u00a00.12%.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-22 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>4. Crypto Assets and Macro Developments<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-23\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Bitcoin (BTC\/USD):<\/strong>\u00a0USD 67,408, up 0.53%. After a sharp correction earlier, Bitcoin is\u00a0finding buying\u00a0interest near the USD 67,000 level, suggesting risk assets\u00a0remain\u00a0attractive amid still-accommodative liquidity conditions.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-24\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Ethereum (ETH\/USD):<\/strong>\u00a0USD 1,952.7, up 0.62%. ETH rebounded alongside the broader market, with signs of fading bearish momentum near the key pivot below USD 2,000.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-25 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>5.&nbsp;<\/strong><strong>Today\u2019s Focus<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-26\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>UK:<\/strong>\u00a0December GDP (MoM)\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-27\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>UK:<\/strong>\u00a0Q4 GDP preliminary estimate (QoQ)\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-28\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>U.S.:<\/strong>\u00a0Initial jobless claims for the week ending 7 February\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-29 wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>12 February 2026&nbsp;\u2014 After the sharp volatility seen earlier this year, global precious metals markets have entered a phase of intense tug-of-war between bulls and bears. During Thursday\u2019s Asian session, spot gold hovered around the USD 5,060 level, while silver traded in a narrow range above USD 85.&nbsp; U.S. January nonfarm payroll data released earlier [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":4008,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","_glsr_average":0,"_glsr_ranking":0,"_glsr_reviews":0,"ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4010","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-english-news","entry","has-media"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4010","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4010"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4010\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4011,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4010\/revisions\/4011"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4008"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4010"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4010"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4010"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}