{"id":3603,"date":"2026-01-13T14:14:37","date_gmt":"2026-01-13T03:14:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=3603"},"modified":"2026-01-13T15:27:30","modified_gmt":"2026-01-13T04:27:30","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-capital-repricing-risk-gold-and-silver-enter-a-strong-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/2026\/01\/13\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-capital-repricing-risk-gold-and-silver-enter-a-strong-rally\/","title":{"rendered":"Amillex Daily Market Commentary | Capital Repricing Risk, Gold and Silver Enter a Strong Rally"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-1 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">On January 12, 2026, global markets saw a sharp rise in volatility as risk sentiment shifted rapidly. Growing uncertainty over the future policy environment drove capital toward safe-haven assets. The U.S. dollar index and equity futures weakened in tandem, while precious metals led gains. Spot gold surged above USD 4,600 per ounce to a new historical range high, and silver also rallied strongly on heightened safe-haven demand.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-2 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Despite relatively resilient U.S. labor data, with the unemployment rate easing to 4.4% and rate expectations largely unchanged, market focus has moved from individual data points to uncertainty premiums and risk repricing. Ongoing geopolitical tensions further supported commodities, with crude oil briefly climbing above USD 59 per barrel. In the near term, markets are likely to remain driven by safe-haven flows and asset reallocation, keeping volatility elevated.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-3 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:20px\"><strong>Asset Performance and Fundamental Analysis<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-4 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>1. U.S. Equity Market<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-5 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Index performance<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-6\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average:<\/strong>&nbsp;up about 0.17%, at approximately 49,590 points, marking a new historical closing high.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-7\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>S&amp;P 500 Index:&nbsp;<\/strong>up about 0.16%, closing at approximately 6,977 points, also a new historical closing high.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-8\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Nasdaq Composite Index:&nbsp;<\/strong>up about 0.26%, closing at approximately 25,890 points, with technology stocks broadly stronger.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Stock highlight:&nbsp;<\/strong>Alphabet (GOOGL): A new challenger to the AI throne. Google\u2019s performance overnight (January 12) was exceptionally strong, with its share price reaching a new all-time high and touching USD 334.04 intraday.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-10 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>2.<\/strong>&nbsp;<strong>Foreign Exchange Market<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-11\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>U.S. Dollar Index (DXY):<\/strong>&nbsp;currently around 98.86. Markets are concerned that the Federal Reserve may be forced into \u201cnon-economic rate cuts\u201d under government pressure, weakening the dollar\u2019s appeal.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-12\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong>: at 1.1668. Dollar weakness has given the euro some breathing room, with the rebound from around 1.1630 largely driven by passive dollar selling.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-13\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>USD\/JPY:<\/strong>&nbsp;at 158.11. Despite the overall decline in the dollar index, the yen remains weak. The U.S.\u2013Japan interest rate differential is still near historical highs, and capital continues to flow out toward U.S. dollar assets or gold.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-14 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>3. Precious Metals and Commodities<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-15 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Precious metals<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-16\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Spot gold (XAUUSD):<\/strong>&nbsp;gold prices surged more than 2% in a single day, firmly holding above the USD 4,600 level. Beyond geopolitical factors, market concerns over the Federal Reserve\u2019s ability to operate independently (Federal Reserve Independence) have become a new long-term driver of gold\u2019s upward trend.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-17\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Spot silver (XAGUSD):<\/strong>&nbsp;at USD 85.21 per ounce. Silver has shown remarkable elasticity and is undergoing a sharp catch-up rally driven by safe-haven demand.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-18 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Commodities<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-19\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>WTI crude oil:<\/strong>&nbsp;at USD 59.50 per barrel. Oil prices have recently been consolidating within the USD 55\u201360 range.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-20 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>4. Crypto Assets and Macro Developments<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-21\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Bitcoin (BTC):<\/strong>&nbsp;latest around USD 91,340. Ahead of the CPI release, market wait-and-see sentiment is extremely strong, with a slight 24-hour decline of about 0.65%.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-22\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Ethereum (ETH):<\/strong>&nbsp;around USD 3,110, showing relatively steady performance. If broader market sentiment improves, ETH has stronger upside elasticity.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-23 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>5. Key Events to Watch Today<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-24\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Tentative: U.S. December ADP employment change&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-25\" style=\"font-size:18px\">U.S. December core CPI month-on-month&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-26\" style=\"font-size:18px\">U.S. December CPI month-on-month&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-27\" style=\"font-size:18px\">U.S. December CPI year-on-year&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On January 12, 2026, global markets saw a sharp rise in volatility as risk sentiment shifted rapidly. Growing uncertainty over the future policy environment drove capital toward safe-haven assets. The U.S. dollar index and equity futures weakened in tandem, while precious metals led gains. Spot gold surged above USD 4,600 per ounce to a new [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":3605,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","_glsr_average":0,"_glsr_ranking":0,"_glsr_reviews":0,"ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3603","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-english-news","entry","has-media"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3603","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3603"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3603\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3609,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3603\/revisions\/3609"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3605"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3603"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3603"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3603"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}