{"id":9842,"date":"2026-08-12T17:38:54","date_gmt":"2026-08-12T07:38:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=9842"},"modified":"2026-08-12T17:38:57","modified_gmt":"2026-08-12T07:38:57","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-geopolitical-stalemate-supports-high-consolidation-as-markets-await-us-cpi-for-a-breakout","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/ko\/2026\/08\/12\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-geopolitical-stalemate-supports-high-consolidation-as-markets-await-us-cpi-for-a-breakout\/","title":{"rendered":"Amillex Daily Market Commentary | Geopolitical Stalemate Supports High Consolidation as Markets Await US CPI for a Breakout"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-2d58e792b06797efdd5742d8c64ce6e5 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">On Wednesday, August 12, 2026, during the early Asian session, spot gold was trading near $4,373\/oz, pulling back slightly from its previous two-month high near the $4,400\/oz threshold. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remain the primary anchor supporting commodity prices. Iran stated that the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed unless the US changes its stance and accepts its ceasefire conditions, driving US crude oil up to a one-week high near $83.50\/bbl. However, after several consecutive days of gains, profit-taking by some investors capped short-term upward momentum, keeping the market in a delicate tug-of-war balance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-906acdaeb579d65141faa6e517dd7af5 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Looking ahead, market focus has fully shifted to incoming US macroeconomic data. The upcoming US July Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) releases this week will serve as crucial metrics for evaluating the Federal Reserve&#8217;s monetary policy trajectory. If inflation rebounds above expectations, it could reinforce market anticipations of the Fed maintaining high interest rates or delaying rate cuts, thereby providing support for the US dollar and pressuring gold. Conversely, if inflation continues to cool, the dual resonance of geopolitical safe-haven demand and monetary easing expectations could drive gold to retest and challenge the highs above $4,400.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-e01d2d3b0a3ff34ef9d1ebbb2789e0db wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\uc790\uc0b0 \uc131\uacfc \ubc0f \uae30\ubcf8\uc801 \ubd84\uc11d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-2e154ee848d140e27a7cf93f9a3629cb wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>1. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc2dc\uc7a5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-4dd7ea0098b0f834a4bafee811c805e0 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\uc9c0\uc218 \uc131\uacfc<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-da2c221b27444f470c94135e88087862\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4 \uc0b0\uc5c5\ud3c9\uade0\uc9c0\uc218(DJI):<\/strong> At 53,797.39, down 184.02 points (-0.34%). Dragged down by profit-taking in heavyweight blue-chips and traditional cyclical sectors, the Dow faced mild pressure below the 54,000 mark, reflecting capital rebalancing away from high-valuation value stocks amid prolonged wait-and-see interest rate expectations.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-81210174a1b651ef08627ad44caa1ef1\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>S&amp;P 500 \uc9c0\uc218(SP500):<\/strong> At 7,739.48, up a marginal 0.53 points (+0.01%). The index traded in an extremely narrow range throughout the session, with bulls and bears locked near 7,750. Sector divergence was significant; tech heavyweights and defensive sectors offset each other, keeping the broader market in a high-level consolidation zone.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-a42a39f1986b43c7e97410970bb08208\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 100 \uc9c0\uc218(NQ1!):<\/strong> At 29,669.75, up 43.75 points (+0.15%). Despite noticeable selling pressure on certain megacap tech stocks, resilience in semiconductors and AI infrastructure names supported a modest gain, though sentiment remained cautious ahead of the 30,000 psychological barrier.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-5a384536371f126e87e69c77f37ef027 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\uc8fc\uc694 \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc885\ubaa9<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-11f1c4d49589715bf84f60ef3a100799\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\uc54c\ud30c\ubcb3(GOOG):<\/strong> At $343.80, down 3.84%. Rattled by regulatory compliance rumors and antitrust policy uncertainty, market sentiment split over short-term ROI on capital expenditures, prompting strategic portfolio adjustments.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-b8b1dc3e0e5c85a59d55a75b9b04271c\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\uc544\ub9c8\uc874(AMZN):<\/strong> At $272.27, down 2.09%. Shares fell under pressure following re-evaluations of consumer resilience and short-term downward revisions to cloud computing growth forecasts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-0b9af21898e3abc065db69e413269050\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\uc560\ud50c(AAPL):<\/strong> At $304.91, down 1.09%. Consolidating above the $300 round level, the stock remains constrained by hardware supply chain adjustments and macro expectations of sluggish end-user demand.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-d5071c1f6a7eab6943d25ab4a5c97805\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\ud14c\uc2ac\ub77c(TSLA):<\/strong> At $332.81, up 0.58%. Progress in autonomous driving commercialization and valuation re-ratings for its energy storage business helped it outperform the broader market.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-fb8cce25b18785c39f8781bcb50136a6\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\uc778\ud154(INTC):<\/strong> At $97.71, up 0.19%. Hovering steadily near $98, supported on the downside by official CHIPS Act subsidy disbursements and ongoing capacity restructuring plans.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-db8ec80753b07a246f2c588b2a0f2ee3 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>2. \uc678\ud658 \uc2dc\uc7a5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-75a41f842b8ef11151db9cc1812f90fc\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218(DXY):<\/strong> At 99.808, flat (0.00%). The index consolidated tightly below the 100 mark. With markets in a observation phase ahead of tariff policy debates and inflation data, neutral Fed remarks slowed US Treasury yield momentum, leaving the dollar without a clear macro catalyst for a directional breakout.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-bc191b935e01be1e4b9be443859b28e2\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec:<\/strong> At 1.15431, up 0.01%. The euro stagnated in front of resistance at 1.1550. As ECB rate-cut expectations are fully priced in and regional economic momentum remains weak, an independent bullish breakout remains unlikely.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-988d113b933277b092cdfc88170dc642\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>USD\/JPY:<\/strong> At 159.262, down 0.02%. The pair fluctuated just below the key 160 psychological and intervention threshold. Although the Bank of Japan issued hawkish verbal warnings, wide US-Japan yield differentials continue to encourage carry-trade selling, limiting yen rebounds.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-3480f022ef24573cacc109f66d5b1068 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>3. \uadc0\uae08\uc18d \ubc0f \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-b12dd534db1df5be49bc318f6534b03d wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\uadc0\uae08\uc18d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9e840ee85b257481756d721297b2f66f\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\uae08 \ud604\ubb3c(XAUUSD):<\/strong> At $4,382.91\/oz, up $14.665 (+0.34%). Gold maintained its high consolidation above $4,350. Global central bank reserve diversification away from the dollar, sovereign debt sustainability concerns, and geopolitical risk premiums collectively form a solid macroeconomic foundation for elevated gold prices.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-cf1e0fecd75ec7ce18a7b9c63e60bb56\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\uc740 \ud604\ubb3c(XAGUSD):<\/strong> At $65.01\/oz, up $0.3255 (+0.50%). Silver continued to outperform gold, extending gains after breaking $64. Structural supply tightness combined with safe-haven and industrial demand synergies reinforced a strong bullish trend.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-975a6aa9da0f7f32b0aca188dbcf1075 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\uc0c1\ud488<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-68e23a4101f1a182ff6bab61c7f45b63\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>WTI \uc6d0\uc720(XTIUSD):<\/strong> At $83.80\/bbl, up $0.47 (+0.56%). Crude steadily tested the $84 resistance level. Supply-side geopolitical threats combined with peak summer travel inventory drawdowns pushed short-term energy risk premiums higher.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-d75240b6aa48ba071ededc816f153b9f wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>4. \uc554\ud638\ud654 \uc790\uc0b0 \ubc0f \uac70\uc2dc \uacbd\uc81c \ub3d9\ud5a5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-22964bd8939cd6991142eff26eb19948\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778(BTCUSD):<\/strong> At $63,653, up $110 (+0.17%). Bitcoin underwent technical consolidation in the $63,000\u2013$64,000 range. After digesting profit-taking selling, the market is absorbing macro liquidity expectations, with liquidity premiums returning to neutral and price action contracting near highs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-5e78b6c95ee2d4c37002218fab2f300e\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\uc774\ub354\ub9ac\uc6c0(ETHUSD):<\/strong> At $1,881.06, up $0.34 (+0.02%). ETH traded sideways around the $1,880 pivot level. Lacking independent ecosystem catalysts, it tracked the broader crypto market&#8217;s wait-and-see stance.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-a1efdf0c57350d5219f2a63dcec72683 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>5. \uc624\ub298 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc0ac\uac74<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-c2f3196459c97b601e81d5e493008519\" style=\"font-size:18px\">US Core CPI MoM<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-7780cf87fbcf6f239f0e17f622e9548d\" style=\"font-size:18px\">US Core CPI YoY<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-b0ce7c6bb3966ce05200234921c87354\" style=\"font-size:18px\">US CPI MoM<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-15e48564ca0b4af21ba0d533f2530d59\" style=\"font-size:18px\">US CPI YoY<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On Wednesday, August 12, 2026, during the early Asian session, spot gold was trading near $4,373\/oz, pulling back slightly from its previous two-month high near the $4,400\/oz threshold. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remain the primary anchor supporting commodity prices. Iran stated that the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed unless the US changes [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":9853,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","_glsr_average":0,"_glsr_ranking":0,"_glsr_reviews":0,"ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9842","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-english-news","entry","has-media"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9842","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9842"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9842\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9854,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9842\/revisions\/9854"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9853"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9842"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9842"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9842"}],"curies":[{"name":"\uc6cc\ub4dc\ud504\ub808\uc2a4","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}