{"id":9655,"date":"2026-08-04T16:46:15","date_gmt":"2026-08-04T06:46:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=9655"},"modified":"2026-08-04T16:46:17","modified_gmt":"2026-08-04T06:46:17","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-geopolitical-fog-persists-golds-safe-haven-premium-tug-of-war-with-plunging-oil-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/ko\/2026\/08\/04\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-geopolitical-fog-persists-golds-safe-haven-premium-tug-of-war-with-plunging-oil-prices\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc544\ubc00\ub809\uc2a4 \uc77c\uc77c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub17c\ud3c9 | \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc9c0\uc18d: \uae08\uc758 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uacfc \uae09\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \uc720\uac00 \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \ud798\uaca8\ub8e8\uae30"},"content":{"rendered":"

2026\ub144 8\uc6d4 4\uc77c \u2013 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc0c1\ud488 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uce58\uc5f4\ud55c \ub2e4\uc790\uac04 \uacbd\uc7c1\uacfc \uc2ec\uac01\ud55c \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc801 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uccab \uc8fc\uc694 \uac70\ub798 \uc138\uc158\uc744 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18, \uae08 \ud604\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 $4,050 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704 \ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc548\uc815\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \ubd88\uc548\uc815\ud55c \uad50\ucc29 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc5d0 \ube60\uc84c\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc18c\uc694 \uc0ac\ud0dc\ub85c \ucd09\ubc1c\ub41c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uacac\uace0\ud55c \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uae30\ubc18\uc744 \ud615\uc131\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc774 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(NFP)\ub97c \uc608\uc758\uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7fd\uac8c \uc548\uc815\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \uac83\uacfc\ub294 \ub300\uc870\uc801\uc73c\ub85c, \uc6d0\uc720 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc228 \ub9c9\ud790 \ub4ef\ud55c \uae09\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \uacaa\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI)\ub294 \ub2e8 \ud558\ub8e8 \ub9cc\uc5d0 71,300\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4 \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 1,400\ub9cc 80\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc120\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae09\ub77d\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uad70\uc0ac \ud589\ub3d9\uc744 \uac11\uc790\uae30 \uc911\ub2e8\ud558\uace0 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud574\ud611\uc758 \ud56d\ud589 \ubb38\uc81c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud611\uc0c1\uc744 \uc7ac\uac1c\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uacf5\uae09 \uc704\ud5d8 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc774 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ud574\uc18c\ub41c \ub370 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc0c1\ub300\uad6d\uc740 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uc811\ucd09\uc740 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub2e4\uace0 \uc989\uc2dc \ubd80\uc778\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ube44\uad6d\ub0b4 \ud56d\ub85c \uac1c\ubc29 \uc694\uad6c\ub97c \ub2e8\ud638\ud788 \uac70\ubd80\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uace0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uc2e0\ud638\ub4e4\uc740 \ud574\uc0c1 \uacf5\uae09 \uacbd\ub85c\uc640 \uad00\ub828\ub41c \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc874\uc7ac\ud558\uba70, \uc720\uac00\uc640 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \uc8fc\uc694 \ub274\uc2a4\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud560 \uac83\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\uc790\uc0b0 \uc131\uacfc \ubc0f \uae30\ubcf8\uc801 \ubd84\uc11d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n\n\n\n

1. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc2dc\uc7a5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uc218 \uc131\uacfc<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4 \uc0b0\uc5c5\ud3c9\uade0\uc9c0\uc218(DJI):<\/strong> 53,183.31\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud558\uba70 693.05\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(+1.32%) \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc778 \uac00\uce58\uc8fc\uc640 \uacbd\uae30\uc21c\ud658\uc8fc\uc5d0 \uc790\uae08\uc774 \uc9d1\uc911\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uc5c5\uc885 \uc21c\ud658\ub9e4 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ub450\ub4dc\ub7ec\uc9c4 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 S&P 500 \uc9c0\uc218(SP500)<\/strong>: 7,614.55\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud558\uba70 3.75\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(+0.05%) \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 7,600\uc744 \ub118\uc5b4 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801\uc778 \uc5c5\uc885\uc774 \ub300\ud615 \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc\ub97c \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ub0b4\ubd80\uc801 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 100 \uc9c0\uc218 (NQ1!)<\/strong>: 28,895.75\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud558\uba70 4.00\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(+0.01%) \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub300\ud615 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\ub4e4\uc740 \uc2e4\uc801 \ubc1c\ud45c\uc640 \ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158 \uc7ac\uc870\uc815 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\ud569\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc8fc\uc694 \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc885\ubaa9<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 \uc54c\ud30c\ubcb3(GOOG)<\/strong>: 4.88% \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uc5ec $373.51\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud558\uba70 \ub300\ud615 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc790\ubcf8 \ud22c\uc790 \uc218\uc775\ub960(ROI)\uacfc AI \uc0dd\ud0dc\uacc4 \uc218\uc775\ud654 \uc5ed\ub7c9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 \uc544\ub9c8\uc874(AMZN)<\/strong>\uc8fc\uac00\ub294 \ud074\ub77c\uc6b0\ub4dc \uc131\uc7a5\uacfc \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc218\uc694\ub77c\ub294 \ub450 \uac00\uc9c0 \ud638\uc7ac\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 4.58% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c $284.02\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 \ud14c\uc2ac\ub77c(TSLA)<\/strong>: 3.49% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uc5ec $322.08\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uac70\uc2dc \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uc5f0\ucc29\ub959 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 \ub192\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud65c\uc131\ud654\ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 \uc778\ud154(INTC):<\/strong> \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4 \uc81c\uc870 \ubd80\ubb38\uc5d0\uc11c \uc800\uac00 \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uba74\uc11c TP3T\ub294 0.891 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c $91.00\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 \uc560\ud50c(AAPL)<\/strong>\uc8fc\uac00\ub294 1.78% \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uc5ec $303.42\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \uc870\uc815\uacfc \uc2e0\uc81c\ud488 \ucd9c\uc2dc\ub97c \uc55e\ub454 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uad6c\ub9e4 \ub9dd\uc124\uc784\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ucc28\uc775 \uc2e4\ud604 \ub9e4\ubb3c\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2. \uc678\ud658 \uc2dc\uc7a5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218(DXY)<\/strong>\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 99.954\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, 0.04% \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub825\uc744 \uc800\ud574 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 100\uc120 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704 \ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\uc744 \ubc18\ubcf5\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 \uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec<\/strong>: 1.15128\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, 0.04% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ud574\ub2f9 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc740 1.15 \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\uace0, \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\ub3c4 \ubbf8\ubbf8\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 USD\/JPY:<\/strong> 157.384\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, 0.12% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc77c\ubcf8 \uac04 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 \ud574\ub2f9 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc744 158 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub838\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n\n\n\n

3. \uadc0\uae08\uc18d \ubc0f \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uadc0\uae08\uc18d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • \uae08 \ud604\ubb3c(XAUUSD)<\/strong>\uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 \uc57d $4,057.05\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, 0.04% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 $4,000 \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \uace0\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ud65c\ubc1c\ud558\uac8c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ud0c8\ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \ucd94\uc138\uc640 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ub9e4\uc785\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uac70\uc2dc \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • \uc740 \ud604\ubb3c(XAGUSD)<\/strong>\uc740 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 $58.283\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c, 0.16% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc0b0\uc5c5 \uc218\uc694\uc640 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub77c\ub294 \ub450 \uac00\uc9c0 \ud638\uc7ac\uac00 \uc740\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\uc2dc\ucf1c \uc8fc\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    \uc0c1\ud488<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n
    • \uc6d0\uc720(WTI\/XTIUSD)<\/strong>\ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 $80.97\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 0.86%\ub9cc\ud07c \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc911\ub3d9 \ubc0f \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uacf5\uae09 \uc704\ud5d8 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc774 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\ub418\uace0 \uc7ac\uace0 \ubd80\uc871\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc774 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc720\uac00\ub294 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc778 $80\uc744 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      <\/div>\n\n\n\n

      4. \uc554\ud638\ud654 \uc790\uc0b0 \ubc0f \uac70\uc2dc \uacbd\uc81c \ub3d9\ud5a5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \u2022 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778(BTCUSD)<\/strong>\uac70\ub798\ub7c9\uc740 $63,331\ub85c, \uc77c\uac04 0.20% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. BTC\ub294 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \ud6a1\ubcf4\uc138\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \ucc28\uc775 \uc2e4\ud604 \ub9e4\ubb3c \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \u2022 \uc774\ub354\ub9ac\uc6c0(ETHUSD):<\/strong> \uc774\ub354\ub9ac\uc6c0\uc740 $1,849.77\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, 0.49% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc704\ud5d8 \ud68c\ud53c \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc804\ud1b5 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc120\ud638\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc790\ubcf8\uc774 \uc2e4\ubb3c \uc790\uc0b0\uacfc \uc548\uc815\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc778 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc774\ub354\ub9ac\uc6c0\uc740 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc \uadc0\uae08\uc18d \ub300\ube44 \uc800\uc870\ud55c \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      <\/div>\n\n\n\n

      5. \uc624\ub298\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud589\uc0ac<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \u2022 \ubbf8\uad6d JOLT \ucc44\uc6a9 \uacf5\uace0<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      August 4, 2026 \u2013 Global commodity markets kicked off the week\u2019s first key trading session amid intense multi-party jockeying and severe regional volatility. In Tuesday’s early Asian session, spot gold stabilized around $4,050\/oz in narrow-range trading. Although regional tensions have hit an awkward, stop-and-go stalemate, lingering inflation fears triggered by the unrest continue to provide a 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