{"id":4250,"date":"2026-03-16T17:49:01","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T06:49:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=4250"},"modified":"2026-03-16T17:49:02","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T06:49:02","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-hawkish-fed-expectations-continue-to-pressure-gold","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/ko\/2026\/03\/16\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-hawkish-fed-expectations-continue-to-pressure-gold\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc544\ubc00\ub809\uc2a4 \uc77c\uc77c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub17c\ud3c9 | \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"

2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 16\uc77c <\/strong>\uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud55c \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc694\uc778\ub4e4\uc774 \ubcf5\ud569\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ud55c \uc8fc\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18, \ud604\ubb3c \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uc73c\uba70 \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 5,000\ub2ec\ub7ec<\/strong> \ud604\uc7ac \uc218\uc900\uc740 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud588\ub358 \uadf9\ub2e8\uc801\uc778 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc774 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc870\uc815\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

CME \uadf8\ub8f9 FedWatch \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 99.2%<\/strong>. \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uadc0\uae08\uc18d\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ubb34\uc218\uc775 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ubd84\uba85\ud55c \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ubc18\uba74 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 \uadf8 \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 100\ub2ec\ub7ec<\/strong>,\uc774\ub294 \uc8fc\ub85c \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uad50\ucc29 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc640 \uc774\ub780 \uace0\uc704 \uad00\ub9ac\ub4e4\uc758 \uac15\uacbd\ud55c \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0 \uae30\uc778\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uacfc \uae34\ucd95 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc0c1\ubc18\ub41c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub04c\uba74\uc11c \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \ud22c\uc790 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub294 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\uc790\uc0b0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc131\uacfc \ubc0f \uae30\ubcf8\uc801 \ubd84\uc11d \uac1c\uc694<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

1. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc2dc\uc7a5<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uc218 \uc131\uacfc<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • S&P 500<\/strong>:\u00a06,661.98<\/strong>, \uc704\ub85c\u00a00.59%<\/strong>. S&P 500 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uac70\uc2dc \uacbd\uc81c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub825\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \uc55e\uc11c \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801\uc778 \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc \ud22c\uc790\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uc790\uae08\uc774 \ub300\ud615 \uc6b0\ub7c9\uc8fc\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 100<\/strong>:\u00a024,492.50<\/strong>, \uc704\ub85c\u00a00.40%<\/strong>. \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\ub294 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \uace0\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uae30\uc5c5 \uac00\uce58 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\uc5b4 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc139\ud130\uc758 \uc131\uacfc\uac00 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc120\ubcc4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4 \uc0b0\uc5c5\ud3c9\uade0\uc9c0\uc218<\/strong>:\u00a046,558.47<\/strong>, \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\u00a00.26%<\/strong>. \uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc778 \uc0b0\uc5c5 \ubc0f \uac00\uce58\uc8fc\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc5ec \ub2e4\uc18c \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \uc2e4\uc801\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc9d1\uc911 \ubd84\uc11d<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n
    • \ud14c\uc2ac\ub77c \uc8fc\uc2dd\ud68c\uc0ac(TSLA)<\/strong>:\u00a0391.20\ub2ec\ub7ec<\/strong>, \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\u00a00.96%<\/strong>. \ud14c\uc2ac\ub77c \uc8fc\uac00\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \uc18c\ube44 \uc9c0\ucd9c \uc804\ub9dd \uc57d\ud654\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uad6d\uba74 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba74\uc11c 400\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc120 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      <\/div>\n\n\n\n

      2. \uc678\ud658 \uc2dc\uc7a5<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \n
      • \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218<\/strong>:\u00a0100.232<\/strong>, \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\u00a00.26%<\/strong>. \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub294 100\uc120 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • \uc720\ub85c\/\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec<\/strong>:\u00a01.14493<\/strong>, \uc704\ub85c\u00a00.31%<\/strong>. \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \uac15\uc138\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc815\uc138 \ubcc0\ud654 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\ub7fd\uc758 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc548\ubcf4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc8fc\uc694 \ube44\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc720\uc785\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4<\/strong>:\u00a0159.331<\/strong>, \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\u00a00.23%<\/strong>. \uc5d4\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uc2dd\uc73c\uba74\uc11c 160\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub454\ud654\ub418\uc5c8\uace0, \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc548\uc815\ud654 \uc870\uc9d0\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
        <\/div>\n\n\n\n

        3. \uadc0\uae08\uc18d \ubc0f \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \uadc0\uae08\uc18d<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

          \n
        • XAU\/USD<\/strong>:\u00a0\uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 5,027.725\ub2ec\ub7ec<\/strong>, \uc704\ub85c\u00a00.14%<\/strong>. \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 5,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6a1\ubcf4\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8\uacfc \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\uc694\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uae08\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uae30\uad00 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\ub9ac\ub9e4\uae40\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • XAG\/USD<\/strong>:\u00a0\uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 81.3585\ub2ec\ub7ec<\/strong>, \uc704\ub85c\u00a00.92%<\/strong>. \uc740\uc740 \uae08\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc6b0\uc218\ud55c \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc0b0\uc5c5 \uc218\uc694\uc640 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 \uac00\uaca9 \ud0c4\ub825\uc131\uc774 \ub354 \uac15\ud574\uc84c\uc74c\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

          \uc0c1\ud488<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

            \n
          • WTI \uc6d0\uc720<\/strong>:\u00a0\ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 98.22\ub2ec\ub7ec<\/strong>, \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\u00a00.97%<\/strong>. \uc720\uac00\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc218\uc694 \uc804\ub9dd \uc57d\ud654\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc2e4\uc81c \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\ud568\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c 100\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc120 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
            <\/div>\n\n\n\n

            4. \uc554\ud638\ud654 \uc790\uc0b0 \ubc0f \uac70\uc2dc \uacbd\uc81c \ub3d9\ud5a5<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

              \n
            • \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778<\/strong>:\u00a0\ubbf8\ud654 72,636\ub2ec\ub7ec<\/strong>, \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\u00a00.27%<\/strong>. \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc704\ud5d8 \ud68c\ud53c \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba74\uc11c 7\ub9cc 5\ucc9c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac15\ud55c \uc800\ud56d\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            • \uc774\ub354\ub9ac\uc6c0<\/strong>:\u00a0\ubbf8\ud654 2,172.7\ub2ec\ub7ec<\/strong>, \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\u00a00.26%<\/strong>. \uc774\ub354\ub9ac\uc6c0\uc740 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \uacbd\uc0c9 \uc0c1\ud669 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
              <\/div>\n\n\n\n

              5. \uc624\ub298 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud574\uc57c \ud560 \uc8fc\uc694 \ub370\uc774\ud130<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

                \n
              • \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 2\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
              • \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 2\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \uc911\uac04\uac12 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
              • \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 2\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uae30 \ub300\ube44 \uc808\uc0ac\ud3c9\uade0\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
              • \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 2\uc6d4 \ud575\uc2ec \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uae30 \ub300\ube44\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
              • \ubbf8\uad6d \ub274\uc695 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc740\ud589 3\uc6d4 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc9c0\uc218\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
                <\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                16 March 2026- Global financial markets started the new week under a complex mix of macroeconomic forces. During early Asian trading, spot gold came under pressure and eased back toward the USD 5,000\/oz level, as the extreme premium previously driven by safe-haven demand is now facing a strong correction from fundamental factors.  According to CME Group FedWatch data, the probability 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