{"id":3428,"date":"2025-12-19T20:51:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-19T09:51:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=3428"},"modified":"2025-12-23T18:38:25","modified_gmt":"2025-12-23T07:38:25","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-cooling-us-cpi-strengthens-expectations-for-a-policy-turning-point-risk-assets-recover-and-rebound-while-precious-metals-oscillate-at-high-levels","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/ko\/2025\/12\/19\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-cooling-us-cpi-strengthens-expectations-for-a-policy-turning-point-risk-assets-recover-and-rebound-while-precious-metals-oscillate-at-high-levels\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc544\ubc00\ub809\uc2a4 \uc77c\uc77c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub17c\ud3c9 | \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \ub0c9\uac01\uc73c\ub85c \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658\uc810\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\uc740 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \uadc0\uae08\uc18d\uc740 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\uc744 \ubc18\ubcf5\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>2025\ub144 12\uc6d4 19\uc77c.&nbsp;<\/strong>\ubaa9\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 11\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uae30 \ub300\ube44 2.7% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uc5ec \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\uc778 3.1%\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc9d1\uc911\ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc218\uce58\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc7a5\uc911 \ud55c\ub54c 98\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4\uac00 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uba70 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc120\ud638\ub3c4\ub294 \uc8fc\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud68c\ubcf5\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 3\ub300 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uace0, \uae08\uacfc \uc740\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uacfc \ucc28\uc775 \uc2e4\ud604 \ub9e4\ubb3c\uc774 \ucda9\ub3cc\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\uc744 \ubc18\ubcf5\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6d0\uc720\ub294 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uace0, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc740 \ucd08\uae30 \uae09\ub4f1 \ud6c4 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc130\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \uad00\uc2ec\uc0ac\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\uac00 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uba85\ud655\uc131\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uae30\uc5d0 \ucda9\ubd84\ud55c\uc9c0, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc790\uc0b0 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc138\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc744\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uacf5\ubc29\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:60px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center has-medium-font-size\"><strong>\uc790\uc0b0 \uc720\ud615\ubcc4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc131\uacfc \ubc0f \uae30\ubcf8\uc801 \ubd84\uc11d<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>1. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc2dc\uc7a5:&nbsp;<\/strong>\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uc644\ud654 \uae30\ub300\uac10 \uac15\ud654; \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uc8fc\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc218 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc138.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>\uc9c0\uc218 \uc131\uacfc:<\/strong>&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-medium-font-size\">\ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4 \uc0b0\uc5c5\ud3c9\uade0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc57d 0.1% \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uc5ec 47,950\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c8\uac10\ud558\uba70 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-medium-font-size\">S&amp;P 500 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc57d 0.8% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 \uc774\uc804 4\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-medium-font-size\">\ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uc2e4\uc801 \ud638\uc870\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 \uc57d 1.41\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \ub3d9\ub825\uc774 \ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>\uc8fc\uc2dd \uc9d1\uc911 \ubd84\uc11d:<\/strong>\u00a0\ub9c8\uc774\ud06c\ub860 \ud14c\ud06c\ub180\ub85c\uc9c0(MU) \uc8fc\uac00\ub294 \uc7a5 \ub9c8\uac10 \uc2dc \uc57d 10.2% \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc7ac\ubb34 \uc2e4\uc801\uacfc AI \uc2a4\ud1a0\ub9ac\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc8fc\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uacac\uc778\ud558\uba70 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\ub825 \uc911 \ud558\ub098\uac00 \ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>\uc8fc\uc694 \uc694\uc778:<\/strong>&nbsp;\uae30\uc5c5 \uc2e4\uc801 \uac1c\uc120\uacfc \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \ud68c\ubcf5\uc138\uac00 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub824 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc120\ud638\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc544\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\uc81c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ucd94\uc138\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \uace0\uc6a9 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc640 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:60px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>2. \uc678\ud658 \uc2dc\uc7a5:&nbsp;<\/strong>\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\ub2e4\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc138\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\uc73c\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\uc678\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\ub4e4\uc740 \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \uc591\uc0c1\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-medium-font-size\">\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \ubc1c\ud45c \uc9c1\ud6c4 \uae09\ub77d\ud558\uc5ec 98.0 \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \uadfc\uc811\ud588\uc73c\ub098, \uc774\ud6c4 \uc870\uc815 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e4\uc18c \ud68c\ubcf5\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-medium-font-size\">EUR\/USD\ub294 1.170~1.180 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\uc744 \ubc18\ubcf5\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-medium-font-size\">USD\/JPY\ub294 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d \ud6c4 \ub192\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-medium-font-size\">\uc601\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc18d\uc5d0 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\/\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>\uad6c\ub3d9 \ub17c\ub9ac:&nbsp;<\/strong>\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uc6b0\uc704\ub97c \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ucf30\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc640 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \uacbd\uc0c9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uc5ec\ub825\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:60px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>3. \uadc0\uae08\uc18d \ubc0f \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac:&nbsp;<\/strong>\uadc0\uae08\uc18d \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\uc744 \ubc18\ubcf5\ud558\uace0, \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec \uc788\ub2e4.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>\uadc0\uae08\uc18d:&nbsp;<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-medium-font-size\">\uae08 \ud604\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc7a0\uc2dc \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6a1\ubcf4\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI) \ubc1c\ud45c\uc640 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc138\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc120\ud638 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc758 \uc0c1\ucda9\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc591\uadf9\ud654\ub97c \ucd08\ub798\ud588\ub2e4.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-medium-font-size\">\uc740 \ud604\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uc544 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 $65 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc744 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc911\uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uacf5\uae09-\uc218\uc694 \uad6c\uc870\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud55c \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>\uc0c1\ud488:&nbsp;<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-medium-font-size\">\uc11c\ubd80 \ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0 \uc6d0\uc720(WTI)\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 $56 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uacf5\uae09 \uacfc\uc789\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc138\ub97c \uc5b5\uc81c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:60px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>4. \uc554\ud638\ud654 \uc790\uc0b0:&nbsp;<\/strong>\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1 \ud6c4 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc130\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ub3cc\ud30c\uad6c \uc5c6\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list has-medium-font-size\">\n<li class=\"has-medium-font-size\">\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778(BTC)\uc740 \ud55c\ub54c $90,000\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\ub824\ub2e4 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \ud6c4 \ud6a1\ubcf4\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list has-medium-font-size\">\n<li class=\"has-medium-font-size\">\uc774\ub354\ub9ac\uc6c0(ETH) \uc5ed\uc2dc \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c \uc644\ud654 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uacfc \ucc28\uc775 \uc2e4\ud604 \ub9e4\ubb3c\uc774 \uc11e\uc774\uba74\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud6c4 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:60px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>5. \uc624\ub298\uc758 \ucd08\uc810<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-medium-font-size\">\uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BoJ) \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 (\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc608\uc0c1)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-medium-font-size\">\uc601\uad6d 11\uc6d4 \uc18c\ub9e4 \ud310\ub9e4\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:100px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>December 19, 2025.&nbsp;The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November, released on Thursday, rose 2.7% year-on-year, significantly lower than the market expectation of 3.1%. This has refocused market attention on the future path of interest rate cuts. Influenced by this data, the US Dollar Index briefly dropped toward 98&nbsp;before rebounding in a volatile fashion. 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