{"id":4250,"date":"2026-03-16T17:49:01","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T06:49:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=4250"},"modified":"2026-03-16T17:49:02","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T06:49:02","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-hawkish-fed-expectations-continue-to-pressure-gold","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/ja\/2026\/03\/16\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-hawkish-fed-expectations-continue-to-pressure-gold\/","title":{"rendered":"\u30a2\u30df\u30ec\u30c3\u30af\u30b9\u30fb\u30c7\u30a4\u30ea\u30fc\u30fb\u30de\u30fc\u30b1\u30c3\u30c8\u30fb\u30b3\u30e1\u30f3\u30bf\u30ea\u30fc\uff5c\u30bf\u30ab\u6d3e\u7684\u306aFRB\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057\u304c\u91d1\u4fa1\u683c\u306b\u5f15\u304d\u7d9a\u304d\u5727\u529b\u3092\u304b\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308b\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"

2026\u5e743\u670816\u65e5- <\/strong>\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u3001\u8907\u96d1\u306a\u30de\u30af\u30ed\u7d4c\u6e08\u8981\u56e0\u304c\u7d61\u307f\u5408\u3046\u4e2d\u3067\u65b0\u305f\u306a\u9031\u3092\u30b9\u30bf\u30fc\u30c8\u3057\u305f\u3002\u30a2\u30b8\u30a2\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u53d6\u5f15\u958b\u59cb\u76f4\u5f8c\u3001\u73fe\u7269\u91d1\u306f\u5727\u529b\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u305f\u3002 1\u30aa\u30f3\u30b9\u3042\u305f\u308a5,000\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb<\/strong> \u5b89\u5168\u8cc7\u7523\u9700\u8981\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u3053\u308c\u307e\u3067\u6975\u7aef\u306b\u9ad8\u304b\u3063\u305f\u4fa1\u683c\u6c34\u6e96\u306f\u3001\u30d5\u30a1\u30f3\u30c0\u30e1\u30f3\u30bf\u30eb\u30ba\u8981\u56e0\u306b\u3088\u308b\u5f37\u3044\u8abf\u6574\u306b\u76f4\u9762\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u3053\u306e\u6c34\u6e96\u306b\u843d\u3061\u7740\u304f\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

CME\u30b0\u30eb\u30fc\u30d7\u306eFedWatch\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u3001\u4eca\u9031FRB\u304c\u91d1\u5229\u3092\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304f\u78ba\u7387\u306f 99.2%<\/strong>. \u3053\u3046\u3057\u305f\u9ad8\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u9577\u671f\u5316\u3059\u308b\u898b\u901a\u3057\u306f\u3001\u5f15\u304d\u7d9a\u304d\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u3092\u652f\u3048\u3001\u8cb4\u91d1\u5c5e\u306a\u3069\u306e\u7121\u5229\u5b50\u8cc7\u7523\u306b\u660e\u78ba\u306a\u5727\u529b\u3092\u304b\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5bfe\u7167\u7684\u306b\u3001\u30d6\u30ec\u30f3\u30c8\u539f\u6cb9\u306f 1\u30d0\u30ec\u30eb\u3042\u305f\u308a100\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb<\/strong>,\u3053\u308c\u306f\u4e3b\u306b\u3001\u4e2d\u6771\u7d1b\u4e89\u306e\u81a0\u7740\u72b6\u614b\u3068\u30a4\u30e9\u30f3\u9ad8\u5b98\u306e\u5f37\u786c\u306a\u767a\u8a00\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u5f15\u304d\u8d77\u3053\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u5730\u653f\u5b66\u7684\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3068\u91d1\u878d\u5f15\u304d\u7de0\u3081\u653f\u7b56\u304c\u5e02\u5834\u3092\u76f8\u53cd\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u5411\u306b\u5f15\u3063\u5f35\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u5fc3\u7406\u306f\u4f9d\u7136\u3068\u3057\u3066\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u654f\u611f\u306a\u72b6\u614b\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3002. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\u8cc7\u7523\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u30d1\u30d5\u30a9\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\u30b9\u3068\u30d5\u30a1\u30f3\u30c0\u30e1\u30f3\u30bf\u30eb\u30ba\u306e\u6982\u8981<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

1. \u7c73\u56fd\u682a\u5f0f\u5e02\u5834<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u30a4\u30f3\u30c7\u30c3\u30af\u30b9\u30d1\u30d5\u30a9\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\u30b9<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • S&P 500<\/strong>:\u00a06,661.98<\/strong>\u3001 \u4e0a\u00a00.59%<\/strong>. S&P500\u6307\u6570\u306f\u30de\u30af\u30ed\u7d4c\u6e08\u306e\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9f\u6027\u306b\u3082\u304b\u304b\u308f\u3089\u305a\u3001\u5f15\u304d\u7d9a\u304d\u5e95\u5805\u3055\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001FRB\u306e\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3092\u524d\u306b\u3001\u30c7\u30a3\u30d5\u30a7\u30f3\u30b7\u30d6\u306a\u6210\u9577\u682a\u3078\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u3092\u91cd\u8996\u3059\u308b\u30d5\u30a1\u30f3\u30c9\u304c\u5927\u578b\u512a\u826f\u682a\u306b\u8cc7\u91d1\u3092\u30b7\u30d5\u30c8\u3055\u305b\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • \u30ca\u30b9\u30c0\u30c3\u30af100<\/strong>:\u00a024,492.50<\/strong>\u3001 \u4e0a\u00a00.40%<\/strong>. \u30cf\u30a4\u30c6\u30af\u682a\u306f\u6bd4\u8f03\u7684\u5b89\u5b9a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3082\u306e\u306e\u3001\u9577\u671f\u306b\u308f\u305f\u308b\u9ad8\u91d1\u5229\u4e0b\u3067\u306f\u682a\u4fa1\u8a55\u4fa1\u306e\u62e1\u5927\u304c\u9650\u5b9a\u7684\u3068\u306a\u308a\u3001\u30bb\u30af\u30bf\u30fc\u3054\u3068\u306e\u30d1\u30d5\u30a9\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\u30b9\u306f\u3088\u308a\u9078\u5225\u7684\u306a\u3082\u306e\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • \u30c0\u30a6\u30fb\u30b8\u30e7\u30fc\u30f3\u30ba\u5de5\u696d\u682a\u5e73\u5747<\/strong>:\u00a046,558.47<\/strong>\u3001 \u4e0b\u00a00.26%<\/strong>. \u4f1d\u7d71\u7684\u306a\u5de5\u696d\u30bb\u30af\u30bf\u30fc\u3068\u30d0\u30ea\u30e5\u30fc\u30bb\u30af\u30bf\u30fc\u306f\u3084\u3084\u4f4e\u8ff7\u3057\u3001\u6210\u9577\u671f\u5f85\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u614e\u91cd\u306a\u898b\u65b9\u3092\u53cd\u6620\u3057\u305f\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    \u682a\u5f0f\u30d5\u30a9\u30fc\u30ab\u30b9<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n
    • \u30c6\u30b9\u30e9\u793e\uff08TSLA\uff09<\/strong>:\u00a0391.20\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb<\/strong>\u3001 \u4e0b\u00a00.96%<\/strong>. \u30c6\u30b9\u30e9\u682a\u306f400\u30c9\u30eb\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u3063\u305f\u307e\u307e\u3067\u3001\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u30b3\u30b9\u30c8\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u3068\u652f\u51fa\u898b\u901a\u3057\u306e\u8edf\u5316\u304c\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u5f15\u304d\u7de0\u3081\u5c40\u9762\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066\u4e00\u6642\u7684\u306b\u682a\u4fa1\u8a55\u4fa1\u306e\u30d7\u30ec\u30df\u30a2\u30e0\u306b\u5727\u529b\u3092\u304b\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      <\/div>\n\n\n\n

      2. \u5916\u56fd\u70ba\u66ff\u5e02\u5834<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \n
      • \u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u6307\u6570<\/strong>:\u00a0100.232<\/strong>\u3001 \u4e0b\u00a00.26%<\/strong>. \u7c73\u9023\u90a6\u6e96\u5099\u5236\u5ea6\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\uff08FRB\uff09\u306b\u3088\u308b\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u671f\u5f85\u304c\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3057\u305f\u306b\u3082\u304b\u304b\u308f\u3089\u305a\u3001\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u4ee5\u5916\u306e\u901a\u8ca8\u3001\u7279\u306b\u30e6\u30fc\u30ed\u3078\u306e\u5b89\u5168\u8cc7\u7523\u9700\u8981\u304c\u3001\u30c9\u30eb\u3092100\u30c9\u30eb\u53f0\u3067\u3084\u3084\u8edf\u8abf\u306b\u63a8\u79fb\u3055\u305b\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • \u30e6\u30fc\u30ed\/\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb<\/strong>:\u00a01.14493<\/strong>\u3001 \u4e0a\u00a00.31%<\/strong>. \u4e2d\u6771\u60c5\u52e2\u306e\u9032\u5c55\u306b\u4f34\u3046\u6b27\u5dde\u306e\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u5b89\u5168\u4fdd\u969c\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u61f8\u5ff5\u306e\u7de9\u548c\u3068\u3001\u4e3b\u8981\u306a\u975e\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u8cc7\u7523\u3078\u306e\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u306e\u56de\u5fa9\u304c\u3001\u30e6\u30fc\u30ed\u9ad8\u3092\u652f\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • \u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\/\u5186<\/strong>:\u00a0159.331<\/strong>\u3001 \u4e0b\u00a00.23%<\/strong>. \u5186\u5b89\u306f160\u5186\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u6e1b\u901f\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u30ad\u30e3\u30ea\u30fc\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c9\u306e\u52e2\u3044\u304c\u5f31\u307e\u308a\u59cb\u3081\u3001\u30c6\u30af\u30cb\u30ab\u30eb\u9762\u3067\u306e\u521d\u671f\u5b89\u5b9a\u5316\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
        <\/div>\n\n\n\n

        3. \u8cb4\u91d1\u5c5e\u30fb\u30b3\u30e2\u30c7\u30a3\u30c6\u30a3<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \u8cb4\u91d1\u5c5e<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

          \n
        • XAU\/USD<\/strong>:\u00a01\u30aa\u30f3\u30b9\u3042\u305f\u308a5,027.725\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb<\/strong>\u3001 \u4e0a\u00a00.14%<\/strong>. \u91d1\u4fa1\u683c\u306f5,000\u30c9\u30eb\u53f0\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u30c9\u30eb\u9ad8\u306f\u5727\u529b\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3082\u306e\u306e\u3001\u5730\u653f\u5b66\u7684\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3068\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306a\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u30d8\u30c3\u30b8\u9700\u8981\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u91d1\u306f\u6a5f\u95a2\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u4e3b\u8981\u306a\u5b89\u5168\u8cc7\u7523\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306e\u5730\u4f4d\u3092\u4fdd\u3061\u7d9a\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • XAG\/USD<\/strong>:\u00a01\u30aa\u30f3\u30b9\u3042\u305f\u308a81.3585\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb<\/strong>\u3001 \u4e0a\u00a00.92%<\/strong>. \u9280\u306f\u91d1\u3088\u308a\u3082\u9ad8\u3044\u30d1\u30d5\u30a9\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\u30b9\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u3053\u308c\u306f\u7523\u696d\u9700\u8981\u3068\u5b89\u5168\u8cc7\u7523\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u5165\u306e\u4e21\u65b9\u306b\u652f\u3048\u3089\u308c\u305f\u3001\u3088\u308a\u5f37\u3044\u4fa1\u683c\u5f3e\u529b\u6027\u3092\u53cd\u6620\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

          \u5546\u54c1<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

            \n
          • WTI\u539f\u6cb9<\/strong>:\u00a01\u30d0\u30ec\u30eb\u3042\u305f\u308a98.22\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb<\/strong>\u3001 \u4e0b\u00a00.97%<\/strong>. \u5e02\u5834\u304c\u9700\u8981\u898b\u901a\u3057\u306e\u5f31\u307e\u308a\u3068\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u4f9b\u7d66\u9014\u7d76\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3092\u518d\u8a55\u4fa1\u3059\u308b\u4e2d\u3067\u3001\u539f\u6cb9\u4fa1\u683c\u306f100\u30c9\u30eb\u53f0\u3092\u308f\u305a\u304b\u306b\u4e0b\u56de\u3063\u305f\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
            <\/div>\n\n\n\n

            4. \u6697\u53f7\u8cc7\u7523\u3068\u30de\u30af\u30ed\u7d4c\u6e08\u52d5\u5411<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

              \n
            • \u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3<\/strong>:\u00a072,636\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb<\/strong>\u3001 \u4e0b\u00a00.27%<\/strong>. \u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306f\u3001FRB\u4f1a\u5408\u3092\u524d\u306b\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u304c\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3092\u8efd\u6e1b\u3059\u308b\u4e2d\u30017\u4e075000\u30c9\u30eb\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u5f37\u3044\u62b5\u6297\u306b\u76f4\u9762\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            • \u30a4\u30fc\u30b5\u30ea\u30a2\u30e0<\/strong>:\u00a02,172.7\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb<\/strong>\u3001 \u4e0b\u00a00.26%<\/strong>. \u30a4\u30fc\u30b5\u30ea\u30a2\u30e0\u306f\u3001\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u903c\u8feb\u72b6\u6cc1\u4e0b\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066\u3082\u3001\u3088\u308a\u5e83\u7bc4\u306a\u5e02\u5834\u5fc3\u7406\u306b\u6cbf\u3063\u305f\u52d5\u304d\u3092\u7d9a\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
              <\/div>\n\n\n\n

              5\uff0e\u4eca\u65e5\u6ce8\u76ee\u3059\u3079\u304d\u4e3b\u8981\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

                \n
              • \u30ab\u30ca\u30c0\u306e2\u6708\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u4fa1\u6307\u6570\uff08\u524d\u6708\u6bd4\uff09\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
              • \u30ab\u30ca\u30c0 2\u6708 \u30b3\u30a2CPI \u4e2d\u592e\u5024 \u524d\u5e74\u540c\u6708\u6bd4\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
              • \u30ab\u30ca\u30c0 2\u6708 \u30b3\u30a2\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u4fa1\u6307\u6570\uff08\u30c8\u30ea\u30e0\u5e73\u5747\uff09\u524d\u5e74\u540c\u6708\u6bd4\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
              • \u30ab\u30ca\u30c0 2\u6708 \u30b3\u30a2CPI \u5171\u901a \u524d\u5e74\u540c\u6708\u6bd4\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n
              • \u7c73\u56fd3\u6708\u30cb\u30e5\u30fc\u30e8\u30fc\u30af\u9023\u90a6\u6e96\u5099\u9280\u884c\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u666f\u6cc1\u6307\u6570\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
                <\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                16 March 2026- Global financial markets started the new week under a complex mix of macroeconomic forces. During early Asian trading, spot gold came under pressure and eased back toward the USD 5,000\/oz level, as the extreme premium previously driven by safe-haven demand is now facing a strong correction from fundamental factors.  According to CME Group FedWatch data, the probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged this week has reached 99.2%. This higher-for-longer rate outlook continues to support the US dollar and puts clear pressure on non-yielding assets such as precious metals.  In contrast, Brent Crude has moved above USD 100 per barrel, mainly driven by ongoing deadlock in the Middle East conflict and stronger rhetoric from senior Iranian 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