{"id":11240,"date":"2026-10-01T17:22:31","date_gmt":"2026-10-01T07:22:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=11240"},"modified":"2026-10-01T17:22:34","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T07:22:34","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-gold-and-oil-tug-of-war-intensifies-with-monthly-losses-underlying-us-iran-tensions-support-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/2026\/10\/01\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-gold-and-oil-tug-of-war-intensifies-with-monthly-losses-underlying-us-iran-tensions-support-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"Commentaire quotidien d&#039;Amillex sur les march\u00e9s | La lutte acharn\u00e9e entre l&#039;or et le p\u00e9trole s&#039;intensifie, avec des pertes mensuelles ; les tensions sous-jacentes entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et l&#039;Iran soutiennent les perspectives"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-1 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">En d\u00e9but de s\u00e9ance asiatique, le jeudi 30 janvier 2026, le cours de l&#039;or au comptant s&#039;\u00e9tablissait aux alentours de 4\u00a0153,35 dollars l&#039;once ($4\u00a0153,35 $\/oz). En septembre, l&#039;or a enregistr\u00e9 une perte mensuelle de plus de 61\u00a0030 milliards de dollars (6%), principalement due \u00e0 la flamb\u00e9e des prix internationaux de l&#039;\u00e9nergie qui a aliment\u00e9 les anticipations d&#039;inflation, \u00e9clipsant largement le soutien positif apport\u00e9 par les donn\u00e9es am\u00e9ricaines, qui ont ralenti l&#039;inflation. Parall\u00e8lement, les tensions g\u00e9opolitiques persistaient, l&#039;Iran ayant relev\u00e9 le niveau d&#039;alerte sur 46 sites d&#039;infrastructures critiques et d&#039;importants d\u00e9saccords demeurant sur la \u201c\u00a0Proposition de sept jours\u00a0\u201d am\u00e9ricano-iranienne. Ces tensions ont entra\u00een\u00e9 des gains pour le Brent et le WTI en septembre, respectivement de pr\u00e8s de 81\u00a0030 milliards de dollars (8%) et de plus de 41\u00a0030 milliards de dollars (4%), le WTI s&#039;\u00e9changeant actuellement aux alentours de 90,20 dollars le baril ($90,20 $\/bbl).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-2 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u00c0 l&#039;avenir, le march\u00e9 de l&#039;or demeure tiraill\u00e9 entre les risques g\u00e9opolitiques et l&#039;inflation aliment\u00e9e par l&#039;\u00e9nergie. Bien que les exportations de p\u00e9trole du Moyen-Orient aient montr\u00e9 des signes de reprise, les primes de risque g\u00e9opolitiques persistent. Si la hausse des prix du p\u00e9trole alimente les anticipations d&#039;un resserrement de la politique mon\u00e9taire de la Fed, l&#039;or pourrait subir des pressions \u00e0 court terme et tester son support. \u00c0 l&#039;inverse, si le dialogue entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et l&#039;Iran se d\u00e9t\u00e9riore ou si les risques g\u00e9opolitiques refont surface, l&#039;or pourrait se stabiliser, rebondir et conna\u00eetre une reprise de sa valorisation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-3 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Tendances et analyse fondamentale du march\u00e9 multi-actifs <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-4 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">1. March\u00e9 des actions am\u00e9ricaines<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-5 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Performance de l&#039;indice<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-6 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 Indice Dow Jones (DJI)\u00a0: Cl\u00f4ture \u00e0 50\u00a0911,09 points, en baisse de 444,03 points (0,861\u00a0TP3T) en s\u00e9ance. L\u2019indice a recul\u00e9 sous la pression, passant sous le seuil des 51\u00a0000 points, p\u00e9nalis\u00e9 par la faible performance des secteurs cycliques traditionnels et des valeurs de rendement, les inqui\u00e9tudes du march\u00e9 quant au ralentissement de la croissance \u00e9conomique dans un contexte de taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat \u00e9lev\u00e9s pesant sur les valorisations.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-7 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 Indice S&amp;P 500 (SP500)\u00a0: Cl\u00f4ture \u00e0 7\u00a0687,33 points, en hausse de 15,60 points (0,201\u00a0TP3T) en s\u00e9ance. Soutenu par les valeurs technologiques \u00e0 forte capitalisation, l\u2019indice a \u00e9volu\u00e9 dans une fourchette \u00e9troite pr\u00e8s de ses plus hauts, t\u00e9moignant d\u2019une rotation sectorielle active, les capitaux continuant de se concentrer sur les leaders technologiques \u00e0 forte capitalisation affichant une solide visibilit\u00e9 sur leurs r\u00e9sultats.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-8 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 Indice Nasdaq 100 (T1)\u00a0: Cl\u00f4ture \u00e0 30\u00a0779,25 points, en hausse de 80,50 points (0,261\u00a0TP3T) en s\u00e9ance. Les valeurs technologiques de croissance ont fait preuve de r\u00e9silience, la confiance dans la mon\u00e9tisation de la cha\u00eene d\u2019approvisionnement de l\u2019IA compensant les difficult\u00e9s li\u00e9es aux taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat macro\u00e9conomiques.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Points saillants de l&#039;action<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-10 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 Apple (AAPL)\u00a0: Cot\u00e9e \u00e0 $333,02, en hausse de 1,10%. En t\u00eate du rallye des g\u00e9ants technologiques, soutenue par les cycles de renouvellement du mat\u00e9riel et une croissance r\u00e9guli\u00e8re des revenus des services, l\u2019action \u00e9volue dans une phase ascendante.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-11 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 Intel (INTC)\u00a0: L\u2019action s\u2019\u00e9changeait \u00e0 $120,23, en forte hausse de 3,71%. Les valeurs du secteur des semi-conducteurs ont surperform\u00e9, les investisseurs misant sur une reprise des b\u00e9n\u00e9fices gr\u00e2ce aux avanc\u00e9es technologiques en mati\u00e8re de gravure et \u00e0 la reprise de la demande.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-12 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 Amazon (AMZN) \/ Alphabet (GOOGL)\u00a0: Cl\u00f4ture \u00e0 $249,15 (+1,01%) et $344,08 (+0,93%), respectivement. La demande soutenue en services cloud et en puissance de calcul pour l\u2019IA a permis une performance stable.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-13 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 Tesla (TSLA) : \u00c9chang\u00e9 \u00e0 $354,81, en hausse de 0,56%, progressant l\u00e9g\u00e8rement apr\u00e8s une consolidation \u00e0 court terme gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 l&#039;am\u00e9lioration du sentiment de croissance.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-14 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">2. March\u00e9 des changes<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-15 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 Indice du dollar am\u00e9ricain (DXY)\u00a0: 101,495, en hausse de 0,031\u00a0TP3T en s\u00e9ance. L\u2019indice s\u2019est consolid\u00e9 dans une fourchette basse \u00e9troite autour de 101,50. Alors que la Fed entame une phase d\u2019observation de \u201c\u00a0r\u00e9\u00e9quilibrage\u00a0\u201d, les signaux mitig\u00e9s li\u00e9s \u00e0 une inflation persistante et au ralentissement du march\u00e9 du travail ont incit\u00e9 les investisseurs \u00e0 la prudence.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-16 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 EUR\/USD\u00a0: Cours \u00e0 1,13310, en hausse de 0,021\u00a0TP3T en s\u00e9ance. Les baisses de taux de la BCE \u00e9tant d\u00e9j\u00e0 largement int\u00e9gr\u00e9es aux cours, l\u2019euro a oscill\u00e9 autour de 1,1330, en l\u2019absence de catalyseurs macro\u00e9conomiques majeurs susceptibles de provoquer une perc\u00e9e \u00e0 la hausse.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-17 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 USD\/JPY\u00a0: Cours \u00e0 157,726, en hausse de 0,201\u00a0TP3T en s\u00e9ance. L\u2019important \u00e9cart de rendement entre les devises am\u00e9ricaines et japonaises a aliment\u00e9 l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat pour les op\u00e9rations de portage, poussant la paire vers 158, tandis que les march\u00e9s surveillaient de pr\u00e8s les signaux potentiels d\u2019intervention de la Banque du Japon.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-18 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">3. M\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux et mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-19 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">M\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-20 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 Or au comptant (XAUUSD)\u00a0: Cours \u00e0 $4\u00a0148,04\u00a0$\/oz, en baisse de $9,09\u00a0$ (0,22%) en s\u00e9ance. Apr\u00e8s avoir atteint des niveaux \u00e9lev\u00e9s, l\u2019or a subi un repli technique. Les prises de b\u00e9n\u00e9fices ont limit\u00e9 la hausse \u00e0 court terme, mais les incertitudes g\u00e9opolitiques et les achats des banques centrales continuent d\u2019apporter un soutien \u00e0 la baisse \u00e0 moyen et long terme.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-21 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 Argent au comptant (XAGUSD)\u00a0: Cours \u00e0 $60,1990\/oz, en baisse de 0,34% en s\u00e9ance. L\u2019argent a suivi la baisse de l\u2019or, abandonnant ses primes de risque \u00e9lev\u00e9es dans un contexte de consolidation g\u00e9n\u00e9rale des m\u00e9taux industriels.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-22 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-23 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 P\u00e9trole brut WTI (XTIUSD)\u00a0: Affich\u00e9 \u00e0 $92,84\/baril, en baisse de 0,04% en s\u00e9ance. Le p\u00e9trole a rencontr\u00e9 une r\u00e9sistance aux alentours de $93. Si les r\u00e9ductions de l\u2019offre et les tensions g\u00e9opolitiques au Moyen-Orient ont maintenu une prime de risque solide, le ralentissement de la croissance \u00e9conomique mondiale a frein\u00e9 la demande, maintenant les forces du march\u00e9 dans un \u00e9quilibre fragile.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-24 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">4. Actifs crypto et dynamique macro\u00e9conomique<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-25 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 Bitcoin (BTCUSD)\u00a0: Cours \u00e0 $83\u00a0420, en baisse de 0,17% en s\u00e9ance. Le Bitcoin est entr\u00e9 dans une phase de consolidation apr\u00e8s avoir \u00e9chou\u00e9 \u00e0 franchir des niveaux de r\u00e9sistance cl\u00e9s, le sentiment de risque s\u2019\u00e9tant att\u00e9nu\u00e9 face aux anticipations de taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat \u00e9lev\u00e9s prolong\u00e9s, incitant les investisseurs \u00e0 s\u00e9curiser leurs gains.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-26 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 Ethereum (ETHUSD)\u00a0: Cours \u00e0 $2\u00a0681,40, en baisse de 0,09% en s\u00e9ance. L\u2019ETH a \u00e9volu\u00e9 de concert avec le march\u00e9, en l\u2019absence de catalyseurs fondamentaux ind\u00e9pendants, et est rest\u00e9 confin\u00e9 sous les $2\u00a0700.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-27 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">5. \u00c9v\u00e9nements cl\u00e9s du jour<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-28 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 IPC du minist\u00e8re suisse de la Main<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-29 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Discours du gouverneur de la Banque d&#039;Angleterre, Andrew Bailey<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-30 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 Demandes initiales d&#039;allocations ch\u00f4mage aux \u00c9tats-Unis<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-31 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 Discours de la pr\u00e9sidente de la BCE, Christine Lagarde<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-32 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Discours du gouverneur de la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale, Christopher Waller<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-33 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 Indice de performance industrielle (ISM) am\u00e9ricain<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-34 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 Discours du pr\u00e9sident de la Banque nationale suisse, Martin Schlegel<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the early Asian session on Thursday, January 30, 2026, spot gold traded near $4,153.35\/oz. Looking back at September, gold logged a monthly loss of over 6%, primarily driven by surging international energy prices that stoked inflation expectations, largely overshadowing the bullish support from cooling US inflation data. Meanwhile, geopolitical deadlocks persisted as Iran raised [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":11241,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_front_end_style_editor":"no","ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","_glsr_average":0,"_glsr_ranking":0,"_glsr_reviews":0,"ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":"","_members_access_role":[],"_members_access_error":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11240","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-company-news","entry","has-media"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11240","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11240"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11240\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11242,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11240\/revisions\/11242"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11241"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11240"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11240"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11240"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}