{"id":11205,"date":"2026-09-29T16:12:20","date_gmt":"2026-09-29T06:12:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=11205"},"modified":"2026-09-29T16:12:22","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T06:12:22","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-rising-inflation-battered-gold-prices-crude-oil-hovered-at-high-levels-amid-stalemate-in-us-iran-situation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/2026\/09\/29\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-rising-inflation-battered-gold-prices-crude-oil-hovered-at-high-levels-amid-stalemate-in-us-iran-situation\/","title":{"rendered":"Commentaire quotidien d&#039;Amillex sur les march\u00e9s | L&#039;inflation galopante a fait chuter les cours de l&#039;or, tandis que le p\u00e9trole brut se maintient \u00e0 des niveaux \u00e9lev\u00e9s dans un contexte d&#039;impasse entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et l&#039;Iran."},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-1 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Le 29 septembre 2026, les march\u00e9s financiers mondiaux ont de nouveau \u00e9t\u00e9 plong\u00e9s dans une profonde turbulence. Lundi 28 septembre, le cours de l&#039;or au comptant a chut\u00e9 de pr\u00e8s de 41 030 milliards de dollars en une seule journ\u00e9e, atteignant un plus bas de plus de sept semaines aux alentours de 1 400 milliards de dollars l&#039;once en s\u00e9ance, avant de rebondir pour se n\u00e9gocier autour de 1 400 milliards de dollars l&#039;once en d\u00e9but de s\u00e9ance asiatique. Ce fort repli s&#039;explique principalement par l&#039;aggravation des risques de navigation dans le d\u00e9troit d&#039;Ormuz, qui a fait flamber les prix du p\u00e9trole brut au-del\u00e0 de 1 400 milliards de dollars le baril, alimentant les craintes d&#039;une seconde vague d&#039;inflation. Face \u00e0 la hausse des rendements des bons du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain et \u00e0 l&#039;ascension de l&#039;indice du dollar \u00e0 son plus haut niveau en deux mois, les anticipations de baisse des taux ont \u00e9t\u00e9 fortement revues \u00e0 la baisse. Les capitaux se sont alors tourn\u00e9s vers la liquidation de leurs positions en or, peu r\u00e9mun\u00e9ratrices, provoquant un ajustement majeur sur le march\u00e9 des m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux. \u00c0 l&#039;avenir, le march\u00e9 suivra de pr\u00e8s l&#039;\u00e9volution des n\u00e9gociations entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et l&#039;Iran ainsi que les principaux indicateurs \u00e9conomiques am\u00e9ricains. Malgr\u00e9 la m\u00e9diation active du Qatar, des divergences persistent quant aux plans de r\u00e9ouverture du d\u00e9troit, laissant subsister des risques g\u00e9opolitiques non r\u00e9solus. Si les n\u00e9gociations s&#039;enlisent ou si les donn\u00e9es sur l&#039;inflation confirment la n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 d&#039;un resserrement mon\u00e9taire, les cours de l&#039;or pourraient subir une pression \u00e0 la baisse continue \u00e0 court terme. \u00c0 l&#039;inverse, si des avanc\u00e9es diplomatiques permettent de r\u00e9duire la pression sur les prix du p\u00e9trole, l&#039;or pourrait se stabiliser techniquement pr\u00e8s de niveaux de support cl\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-2 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Analyse fondamentale et de la performance des march\u00e9s multi-actifs <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-3 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>1. March\u00e9 boursier am\u00e9ricain<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-4 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Performance de l&#039;indice<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-5 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u2022 Indice Dow Jones (DJI) :<\/strong> \u00c0 51\u00a0487,16 points, en baisse de 347,01 points (0,67%) en s\u00e9ance, l&#039;indice a rencontr\u00e9 une r\u00e9sistance et s&#039;est repli\u00e9 au-dessus de 51\u00a0500 points. Les craintes de taux d&#039;int\u00e9r\u00eat durablement \u00e9lev\u00e9s et les risques de ralentissement de la croissance \u00e9conomique ont entra\u00een\u00e9 des prises de b\u00e9n\u00e9fices sur les valeurs industrielles et cycliques traditionnelles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-6 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u2022 Indice S&amp;P 500 (SP500) : <\/strong>\u00c0 7\u00a0689,43 points, en baisse de 5,57 points (0,071 TP3T) en s\u00e9ance. L\u2019indice s\u2019est consolid\u00e9 dans une fourchette \u00e9troite, \u00e0 des niveaux \u00e9lev\u00e9s proches de 7\u00a0700, t\u00e9moignant d\u2019un \u00e9quilibre fragile entre acheteurs et vendeurs, dans un contexte de divergence sectorielle technologique et de demande de positions d\u00e9fensives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-7 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u2022 Indice Nasdaq 100 (NQ1 !) : <\/strong>\u00c0 30\u00a0548,75 points, en baisse de 17,50 points, soit 0,061 TP3T. Bien que les valorisations \u00e9lev\u00e9es aient suscit\u00e9 une certaine prudence, la r\u00e9silience fondamentale \u00e0 long terme de la cha\u00eene d&#039;approvisionnement de l&#039;IA et des actifs technologiques cl\u00e9s a servi de support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-8 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Points saillants de l&#039;action<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u2022 Tesla (TSLA) : <\/strong>\u00c0 $357,45, en baisse de 3,94%. Le cours de l&#039;action a fortement recul\u00e9, refl\u00e9tant la r\u00e9cente prise en compte par le march\u00e9 du ralentissement de la croissance des activit\u00e9s \u00e0 forte marge et de l&#039;intensification de la concurrence dans le secteur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-10 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u2022 Intel (INTC) : <\/strong>\u00c0 $116,03, en baisse significative de 5,67%. Ce repli, qui a entra\u00een\u00e9 celui du secteur des semi-conducteurs, refl\u00e8te une r\u00e9\u00e9valuation par le march\u00e9 des investissements du cycle des semi-conducteurs et de la rentabilit\u00e9 \u00e0 court terme de la fabrication de proc\u00e9d\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-11 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u2022 Amazon (AMZN) : <\/strong>\u00c0 $246,15, en baisse de 1,41%. Les fortes pressions comparatives sur la p\u00e9riode de base dans le cloud computing et le commerce de d\u00e9tail ont incit\u00e9 les capitaux \u00e0 s\u00e9curiser leurs profits aux r\u00e9cents sommets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-12 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u2022 Apple (AAPL) : <\/strong>\u00c0 $338,40, l\u00e9g\u00e8rement en baisse de 0,78%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-13 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"> <strong>\u2022Alphabet\/Google (GOOGL)\u00a0:<\/strong> \u00c0 $342,75, en l\u00e9g\u00e8re baisse de 0,34%. Affichant une r\u00e9silience relative, de solides fondamentaux de flux de tr\u00e9sorerie et la commercialisation continue de l&#039;IA continuent de soutenir sa prime.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-14 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>2. March\u00e9 des changes<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-15 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u2022 Indice du dollar am\u00e9ricain (DXY) : <\/strong>\u00c0 101,245, en l\u00e9g\u00e8re hausse de 0,071 TP3T en s\u00e9ance. La trajectoire de r\u00e9\u00e9quilibrage de la politique mon\u00e9taire de la Fed reste contrainte par des donn\u00e9es inflationnistes robustes, ce qui a permis au dollar de se stabiliser au-dessus de 101, son statut de valeur refuge lui apportant un soutien marginal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-16 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u2022 USD\/JPY : <\/strong>\u00c0 157,456, en l\u00e9g\u00e8re hausse de 0,051 TP3T. L&#039;\u00e9cart de rendement entre le dollar am\u00e9ricain et le yen japonais reste important, et les flux de portage continuent de peser sur le yen. Bien que les anticipations d&#039;\u00e9ventuels ajustements de la politique mon\u00e9taire de la Banque du Japon aient limit\u00e9 la marge de baisse, la paire s&#039;est consolid\u00e9e pr\u00e8s de ses plus hauts niveaux, autour de 157,50.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-17 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u2022 EUR\/USD :<\/strong> \u00c0 1,13651, en l\u00e9g\u00e8re baisse de 0,05%. La faiblesse des donn\u00e9es macro\u00e9conomiques europ\u00e9ennes et des enqu\u00eates PMI prospectives d\u00e9cevantes ont pes\u00e9 sur la dynamique de rebond de l&#039;euro, maintenant les cours \u00e0 un niveau mod\u00e9r\u00e9 autour de 1,1360.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-18 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>3. M\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux et mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-19 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>M\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-20 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u2022 Or au comptant (XAUUSD) : <\/strong>L&#039;or s&#039;est maintenu aux alentours de $4\u00a0120,55\u00a0$\/oz, en hausse de $5,565\u00a0$ ou 0,14% en s\u00e9ance. Il s&#039;est ensuite stabilis\u00e9 au-dessus de $4\u00a0100\u00a0$\/oz. L&#039;incertitude g\u00e9opolitique mondiale, les achats structurels des banques centrales et la couverture contre les risques macro\u00e9conomiques \u00e0 long terme li\u00e9s \u00e0 la dette ont contribu\u00e9 \u00e0 renforcer la prime de protection contre l&#039;inflation de l&#039;or, consid\u00e9r\u00e9 comme une valeur refuge sans risque.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-21 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u2022 Argent au comptant (XAGUSD) : <\/strong>\u00c0 $60,6710\/oz, en l\u00e9g\u00e8re hausse de 0,05%. Soutenu par une demande robuste dans les secteurs de l&#039;\u00e9nergie solaire et industrielle, l&#039;argent s&#039;est consolid\u00e9 \u00e0 des niveaux \u00e9lev\u00e9s apr\u00e8s avoir franchi le seuil des $60.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-22 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-23 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u2022 P\u00e9trole brut (XTIUSD) : <\/strong>\u00c0 $95,76 $\/baril, en baisse de $0,44 $ (soit 0,46%) en s\u00e9ance. Le p\u00e9trole a l\u00e9g\u00e8rement recul\u00e9 dans sa fourchette haute de $95. L&#039;offre est rest\u00e9e tendue en raison des restrictions de production de l&#039;OPEP+ et des tensions g\u00e9opolitiques au Moyen-Orient, mais les taux d&#039;int\u00e9r\u00eat mondiaux \u00e9lev\u00e9s, pesant sur la demande \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique \u00e0 long terme, ont engendr\u00e9 une forte volatilit\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-24 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>4. Actifs crypto et dynamique macro\u00e9conomique<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-25 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u2022 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) :<\/strong> \u00c0 $84\u00a0336, en baisse de 0,03% en s\u00e9ance. Apr\u00e8s un rebond rapide, le BTC est entr\u00e9 dans une phase de consolidation technique entre $83\u00a0000 et $84\u00a0000, le march\u00e9 attendant des \u00e9claircissements sur les indicateurs de liquidit\u00e9 macro\u00e9conomique et l\u2019orientation r\u00e9glementaire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-26 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u2022<\/strong> <strong>Ethereum (ETHUSD) :<\/strong> \u00c0 $2\u00a0686,01, en baisse de 0,05%. \u00c9voluant en phase avec le march\u00e9 dans son ensemble, l\u2019activit\u00e9 on-chain et les rendements du staking sont rest\u00e9s stables dans un contexte d\u2019app\u00e9tit pour le risque macro\u00e9conomique neutre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-27 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>5. \u00c9v\u00e9nements cl\u00e9s du jour<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-28 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 Taux directeur officiel de la Banque de r\u00e9serve d&#039;Australie (RBA)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-29 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 D\u00e9claration de politique mon\u00e9taire de la RBA<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-30 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 Conf\u00e9rence de presse de la RBA<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-31 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Discours de Christine Lagarde, pr\u00e9sidente de la BCE<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-32 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">PIB mensuel du Canada<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-33 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 Confiance des consommateurs aux \u00c9tats-Unis<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-34 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">\u2022 Offres d&#039;emploi chez US JOLTs<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On September 29, 2026, global financial markets once again fell into massive turbulence. On Monday (September 28), spot gold suffered a sharp decline of nearly 4% in a single day, touching a more than seven-week low near $4,110\/oz during intraday trading, and rebounded to trade around $4,128.20\/oz during early Asian trading today. The main driver [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":11202,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_front_end_style_editor":"no","ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","_glsr_average":0,"_glsr_ranking":0,"_glsr_reviews":0,"ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":"","_members_access_role":[],"_members_access_error":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11205","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-company-news","entry","has-media"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11205","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11205"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11205\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11206,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11205\/revisions\/11206"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11202"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11205"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11205"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11205"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}