Revue quotidienne des marchés d'Amillex : Décision de la Fed en octobre : baisse des taux de 25 points de base et fin du resserrement quantitatif en décembre ; Nvidia devient la première entreprise à atteindre une capitalisation boursière de 1 400 milliards de dollars ; l'or rebondit à 1 400 dollars.
October 30, 2025 — U.S. stocks rose across the board yesterday, with Nvidia’s market capitalization surpassing $5 trillion, making it the first company in the world to reach this milestone. Safe-haven assets rebounded, with spot gold climbing more than 1% to reclaim the $4,000 level, while LME copper hit a record high and the U.S. dollar index edged higher. Early this morning, the Federal Reserve delivered a 25-basis-point rate cut as expected and announced that quantitative tightening will end in December.
U.S. Stocks: Nvidia Hits $5 Trillion, Semiconductor Sector Leads Gains
Nasdaq up 0.6%, S&P 500 up 0.2%, Dow Jones up 0.2%, all three posting record highs for a fourth consecutive day.
Nvidia surged over 5%, adding $1 trillion in just four months to cross the $5 trillion mark.
Top-performing sectors:
Semiconductors: AMD +3%, Micron +4%
Industrials: Caterpillar +9%
Financials: UBS +4%
Lagging stocks: Fiserv plunged 44% (weak forward guidance), Boeing fell over 3% (777X program delay).
Principaux facteurs moteurs :
AI boom: Bellwether Wealth noted that an intensifying “AI arms race” continues to boost tech stock valuations.
Policy expectations: Markets had fully priced in a 25bp Fed cut, reinforcing the liquidity easing narrative.
Precious Metals & Commodities: Gold Rebounds, Copper Hits Record High
Spot gold rose over 1% to $4,000/oz, snapping a three-day losing streak.
Spot silver jumped 2% to $48.05/oz.
Fundamental analysis:
Technical rebound: Gold found strong support near $3,900, with short-covering driving prices higher.
Pre-decision hedging: Some investors sought safety ahead of the Fed decision.
Base metals:
LME copper gained nearly 1%, setting a new record high as supply concerns mounted due to operational issues at major mines.
Crude oil:
WTI crude traded narrowly as OPEC+ production cuts and weak demand remained in balance.
FX & Bonds: Dollar Slightly Stronger, Yields Steady
FX: U.S. Dollar Index rose 0.13% to 98.86; USD/JPY climbed to 152.16.
Bonds: 10-year Treasury yield held steady at 3.98%, with investors cautious ahead of the Fed announcement.
Market outlook:
If the Fed signals a pause in rate cuts, the dollar may test the 99.50 resistance level.
Global Equities: Broad Gains Across Asia-Pacific
Asia-Pacific:
Nikkei 225 up 2.2% to 51,307,
KOSPI up 1.76% to 4,081.
Europe:
STOXX 50 flat,
DAX down 0.1%,
FTSE 100 up 0.3%.
Today’s focus:
Earnings: Microsoft, Meta, Amazon — AI capex and ad revenue in focus.
Apple: iPhone 17 demand and India supply chain progress under scrutiny.
U.S. Initial Jobless Claims (20:30): A reading above 220K could reinforce the easing bias.
Eurozone October CPI (18:00): A drop below 2% may heighten ECB rate-cut expectations.