Vous consultez actuellement Amillex Daily Market Commentary: Nvidia Earnings Ignite Tech Stock Rally, Nasdaq Surges 2.18%, Conflicting Nonfarm Data Disrupt Rate-Cut Expectations, Gold Falls Below $4,060

Commentaire quotidien d'Amillex sur les marchés : Les résultats de Nvidia stimulent la hausse des valeurs technologiques, le Nasdaq bondit de 2,181 TP3T, des données non agricoles contradictoires perturbent les anticipations de baisse des taux, l'or chute sous la barre des 4 060 TP4T.

November 21, 2025 — U.S. equities closed broadly higher, with the Nasdaq soaring 2.18%. The U.S. dollar index held firmly above 100, the yen weakened to 157—its lowest level of the year—spot gold slipped below $4,060, while Bitcoin rebounded to $91,500.

Key Market Moves & Macro Analysis

U.S. Equities: Nvidia Earnings Sweep Away Gloom, Tech Sector in Full-Blown Rally

The Nasdaq rose 2.18% to 23,057, the S&P 500 gained 1.44% to 6,737.93, and the Dow climbed 0.93% to 46,567.51.

Faits saillants du secteur :

Semiconductor ETF +2.49%

Nvidia +5% after hours

AMD +3.99%, TSMC +3.3%

Principaux facteurs moteurs :

Earnings Beat Expectations:

Nvidia’s Q3 revenue hit $57B (+62% YoY) with Q4 guidance at $65B, reaffirming resilient AI chip demand and dispelling bubble concerns.

Sentiment Reversal:

Wilson Asset Management noted earnings acted as a “market sell-off circuit breaker,” while Vantage warned sustainability still hinges on 2026 demand trends.

FX: Dollar Holds 100, Yen Slides to 157—New Low for the Year

U.S. Dollar Index edged up 0.05% to 100.15, touching a six-month high at 100.35.

USD/JPY broke above 157 as Japan’s 10-year JGB yield spiked to 1.825%, the highest since 2008.

Policy Landscape:

Fed Hawkishness: October meeting minutes showed most officials favor holding rates steady this year; December rate-cut odds fell to 25%.

Japan Fiscal Concerns: Expectations of a large stimulus package under the Sanae Takaichi administration fueled bond selling; MoF verbal intervention had limited impact.

Commodities: Gold’s Safe-Haven Appeal Weakens, Oil Rebalances

Spot gold fell 0.4% to $4,060; silver also declined.

Pressure factors: Stronger USD + rising real-rate expectations; conflicting NFP data reduced haven demand.

Brent crude rose 0.7% to $63.95; WTI followed higher.

Supply-demand logic: Expected EIA inventory draw and geopolitical risks (Russia oil sanctions waiver deadline approaching) supported crude prices.

Crypto & Bonds: Bitcoin Reclaims $91k, Treasury Yields Ease

Bitcoin +1.1% to $91,538, Ethereum +0.9% to $3,017.

Sentiment improved as Nvidia earnings boosted tech-related risk appetite, easing leveraged long liquidation pressure.

Bond Market:

U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fell 3 bps to 4.11%.

Rise in unemployment to 4.4% triggered safe-haven buying.

Global Equities: Asia Follows Higher, Nikkei Jumps 2.6%

Nikkei 225 +2.6% to 49,823, KOSPI +1.92% above 4000.

Europe: STOXX 50 +0.3%, DAX +0.16%, FTSE 100 −0.47%.

Transmission Mechanism:

AI-related optimism spread across markets, lifting Nvidia’s supply chain (Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix).

Nvidia Earnings Mark a Market Inflection Point

Data-center revenue +80% YoY; Blackwell chip orders booked through Q4 2026.

AMD, TSMC and other supply-chain names surged, offsetting recent weakness in Meta and Tesla.

Vantage Markets warned: if AI capex growth slows in 2026, valuation correction risks may re-emerge.

Nonfarm Payrolls Split Fed’s Policy Trajectory

September NFP +119k (vs. +51k expected) → labor resilience

Unemployment rose to 4.4%, a 4-year high

July–August revisions: −33k total

L'objectif du jour

Fed Governor Lisa Cook speaks on financial stability

Eurozone November manufacturing PMI flash reading