Amillex Daily Market Commentary | Global Trade Turmoil Triggers a Wave of Safe-Haven Demand, Gold and Silver Both Reach Record Highs

January 19, 2026 — Global financial markets abruptly shifted their focus from routine economic data to a geopolitical vortex in the North Atlantic. The U.S. President announced plans to impose a 10% tariff on eight countries—including Denmark, France, and Germany—starting February 1, over the Greenland issue, and warned that tariffs could be raised to 25% if an acquisition agreement is not reached by June. The move prompted a strong response from the European Union, which is preparing retaliatory measures targeting €93 billion worth of U.S. goods. Driven by these developments, risk-aversion surged across markets.

Spot gold continued to set new all-time highs during the Asian session, reaching USD 4,668.96 per ounce, with momentum pointing toward a potential test of the USD 4,700 level. U.S. crude oil traded near USD 59.06 per barrel, caught between demand concerns and heightened geopolitical risk. Meanwhile, spot silver delivered particularly aggressive gains, breaking above the USD 93 mark and showing strong upside momentum.

عملکرد دارایی و تحلیل بنیادی

۱. بازارهای سهام ایالات متحده

عملکرد شاخص

میانگین صنعتی داو جونز: Around 49,360 points (-0.17%). After a series of strong advances, the index is undergoing a mild technical pullback as investors await the upcoming core earnings season.
شاخص S&P 500: Around 6,900 points (-0.06%). The index remains cautious ahead of the key 7,000 psychological level, as markets reassess the long-term impact of macro policy on corporate profitability.
کامپوزیت نزدک: Around 23,430 points (-0.06%). While the technology sector continues to benefit from the AI growth narrative, capital inflows have slowed amid escalating global trade tensions.

Stock Focus – Tesla (TSLA): Tesla closed around USD 437.50. With the company set to release its latest earnings on January 28, market interest is focused on developments in its FSD (Full Self-Driving) subscription model. Although short-term price action has softened due to global supply-chain volatility, institutions remain optimistic about Tesla’s strategic position in the global energy landscape and are closely watching whether the stock can reclaim the USD 450 level after earnings.

۲. بازار ارز خارجی

شاخص دلار آمریکا (DXY): Around 99.20. While the dollar retains its safe-haven appeal amid trade uncertainty, concerns over future liquidity conditions are capping upside momentum, keeping the index range-bound above the 99 level.
یورو/دلار آمریکا: 1.1604. The resilience of Europe’s economic recovery is being tested, and the euro remains under short-term pressure amid rising trade frictions.
دلار آمریکا/ین ژاپن: 158.50. With the U.S.–Japan interest rate differential still elevated, the yen continues to test key psychological thresholds.

۳. فلزات گرانبها و کالاها

طلای اسپات (XAUUSD): Gold surged strongly, breaking out of its prior consolidation range and setting a new all-time high at USD 4,668.96 per ounce.
نقره اسپات (XAGUSD): Silver once again demonstrated its high-volatility nature, posting intraday gains of over 4% and reaching a high of USD 93.69 per ounce.
نفت خام WTI: Range-bound, below the USD 60 psychological level
Oil prices remain under pressure, currently trading around USD 59.06 per barrel.

۴. دارایی‌های رمزنگاری‌شده

بیت کوین (BTC): Consolidating at high levels, watching the 100,000 mark
Bitcoin is trading in a consolidation pattern, currently around USD 92,580. After peaking at USD 97,690, the market has seen a degree of technical retracement.
Ripple (XRPUSD): XRP is trading actively around USD 1.93. Supported by growing cross-border payment demand and expectations of potential policy tailwinds, the USD 1.90 level continues to provide solid support.

5. Today’s Focus