Amillex Daily Market Commentary | Ceasefire Hopes Ease Supply Fears, Gold and Oil Move in Opposite Directions

روشن March 11, 2026, global commodity markets showed clear divergence during the Asian session. Concerns about a prolonged disruption to global oil supply cooled sharply, pushing U.S. crude oil down to around $76 per barrel after a period of extreme volatility. Prices are currently fluctuating around the $80 per barrel level.

This diplomatic de-escalation signal has not only pulled global inflation expectations back from extreme levels but has also reduced the pressure that high energy prices place on the global economy. Meanwhile, spot gold remains relatively stable amid mixed safe-haven demand and macroeconomic expectations, currently trading around $5,188 per ounce. Moving into the second half of the week, market attention will focus on Wednesday’s U.S. February CPI data and Friday’s PCE inflation index.

Market Performance & Fundamental Overview

۱. بازار سهام ایالات متحده

عملکرد شاخص

میانگین صنعتی داو جونز (DJI): در حال حاضر در 47,706.51، پایین ۰.۰۷۱TP3T on the day. The index is showing signs of losing momentum around the 47,700 level, as blue-chip value stocks face limited upside in the current high-interest-rate environment.
شاخص S&P 500 (SP500): در حال حاضر در 6,810.20، بالا 0.22%. The index is seeing a mild rebound driven by technology stocks as risk sentiment improves following easing geopolitical tensions.
نزدک ۱۰۰ (NQ1): در حال حاضر در 25,063.25، بالا 0.32%. The Nasdaq is outperforming the broader market, reflecting renewed capital flows into high-growth technology stocks after oil’s sharp drop helped suppress inflation expectations.

تمرکز سهام

تسلا (TSLA): معاملات در $399.24، بالا ۰.۱۴۱TP3T. The stock is consolidating just below the $400 psychological level, supported by easing energy cost pressures and improving macro sentiment.

۲. بازار ارز خارجی

شاخص دلار آمریکا (DXY): در حال حاضر در 98.833، پایین 0.08%. Safe-haven demand for the dollar has slightly faded, and short-term upside momentum appears limited.
EUR/USD (EURUSD): معاملات در 1.16245، بالا 0.12%. The euro is finding support near 1.16, as falling energy prices help ease imported inflation pressures in the eurozone.
USD/JPY (USDJPY): در حال حاضر در 158.057، بالا 0.01%. The pair remains largely unchanged as markets wait for clearer direction between Bank of Japan policy expectations and the Federal Reserve’s steady rate stance.

۳. فلزات گرانبها و کالاها

فلزات گرانبها

طلای اسپات (XAUUSD): معاملات در اطراف $5,213.13 per ounce، بالا 0.40% today. With oil prices falling and inflation expectations adjusting lower, gold continues to hold strong structural support above ۱TP4T5,200.
نقره اسپات (XAGUSD): در حال حاضر در $88.90 per ounce، بالا 0.64%. Silver continues to outperform gold, reflecting stronger demand due to its dual industrial and financial asset characteristics during improving macro conditions.

کالاها

نفت خام (XTIUSD): در حال حاضر در $82.70 per barrel، پایین 4.45%. Oil is the key market mover today, driven by expectations that tensions between the U.S. and Iran could ease quickly, sharply reducing supply disruption risks.

۴. دارایی‌های رمزنگاری‌شده و تحولات کلان

بیت کوین (BTCUSD): در حال حاضر در $69,954، پایین 0.01%. As Bitcoin approaches the $70,000 psychological level, price action shows clear technical consolidation as investors wait for clearer macro liquidity signals.
اتریوم (ETHUSD): معاملات در $2,032.2، پایین 0.25%. ETH is currently underperforming gold, suggesting that digital assets have not fully regained momentum.

۵. تمرکز امروز