{"id":4220,"date":"2026-03-12T18:14:21","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T07:14:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=4220"},"modified":"2026-03-12T18:14:22","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T07:14:22","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-gold-oil-locked-in-an-intense-tug-of-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/2026\/03\/12\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-gold-oil-locked-in-an-intense-tug-of-war\/","title":{"rendered":"Comentario diario de mercado de Amillex | El oro y el petr\u00f3leo se encuentran en una intensa lucha de poder.\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-1 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>12 de marzo de 2026, g<\/strong>Los mercados financieros globales experimentaron una fuerte volatilidad hoy debido al choque de m\u00faltiples narrativas macroecon\u00f3micas. En las primeras horas de la sesi\u00f3n asi\u00e1tica del jueves, el oro al contado se mantuvo en torno a los 5.152 d\u00f3lares por onza, con alcistas y bajistas en un tenso enfrentamiento.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-2 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Por un lado, los \u00faltimos datos del IPC de EE. UU. publicados ayer se mantuvieron estables en 2,4%, lo que sugiere que la inflaci\u00f3n se mantiene relativamente estable. Sin embargo, la persistente preocupaci\u00f3n por posibles repuntes inflacionarios ha elevado ligeramente las expectativas sobre las tasas de inter\u00e9s, lo que ha contribuido a que el \u00edndice del d\u00f3lar estadounidense suba alrededor de 0,4%, ejerciendo as\u00ed presi\u00f3n directa sobre los precios del oro.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-3 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Mientras tanto, la escalada de tensiones con Ir\u00e1n ha desencadenado una creciente crisis de seguridad mar\u00edtima en el estrecho de Ormuz. Seg\u00fan los informes, 14 buques han sido atacados, lo que ha afectado a casi una quinta parte de las exportaciones mundiales de petr\u00f3leo.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-4 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">El mercado petrolero, sin embargo, ha respondido con un impulso mucho m\u00e1s agresivo. El crudo estadounidense se mantiene actualmente por encima de $93 por barril, tras dispararse casi 5% el mi\u00e9rcoles. Los temores sobre el suministro se intensificaron a\u00fan m\u00e1s despu\u00e9s de que funcionarios iran\u00edes advirtieran que el mundo deber\u00eda prepararse para que los precios del petr\u00f3leo alcancen los $200 por barril, lo que gener\u00f3 una nueva inquietud sobre el suministro energ\u00e9tico mundial. A corto plazo, el descontrolado aumento de los precios de la energ\u00eda podr\u00eda convertirse en un factor clave para las expectativas de inflaci\u00f3n global.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-5 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:20px\"><strong>Desempe\u00f1o del mercado y descripci\u00f3n general fundamental<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-6 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>1. Mercado de valores de EE. UU.<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-7 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Rendimiento del \u00edndice<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-8\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Promedio Industrial Dow Jones (DJI)<\/strong>\u00a0<br>47.417,27 |\u00a0<strong>-0.61%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>Las acciones de valor retrocedieron en medio de un creciente sentimiento defensivo, lo que hizo que el \u00edndice volviera a estar por debajo de\u00a0<strong>47,500<\/strong>\u00a0nivel psicol\u00f3gico.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>S&amp;P 500 (SP500)<\/strong>\u00a0<br>6.727,26 |\u00a0<strong>-0.59%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>El \u00edndice se enfrenta a una resistencia superior\u00a0<strong>6,700<\/strong>, a medida que disminuye el apetito por el riesgo de los inversores y fluct\u00faan las expectativas de inflaci\u00f3n.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-10\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Nasdaq 100 (NQ)<\/strong>\u00a0<br>24.759,00 |\u00a0<strong>-0.90%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>Como \u00edndice sensible a los tipos de inter\u00e9s, el Nasdaq registr\u00f3 la mayor ca\u00edda, lo que refleja la preocupaci\u00f3n del mercado por una menor liquidez y la evoluci\u00f3n de los tipos de inter\u00e9s a largo plazo.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-11 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Acciones destacadas<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-12\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Tesla (TSLA)\u00a0<\/strong><br>$407.82 | +2.15%\u00a0<br>A pesar de la debilidad generalizada del mercado, Tesla repunt\u00f3 contra la tendencia, respaldada por fuertes expectativas de crecimiento y optimismo en el sector, mostrando un rendimiento superior notable.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-13 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>2. Mercado de divisas<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-14\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>\u00cdndice del d\u00f3lar estadounidense (DXY)<\/strong>\u00a0<br>99.439 |\u00a0<strong>+0.19%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>El d\u00f3lar recuper\u00f3 impulso alcista, acerc\u00e1ndose al\u00a0<strong>100<\/strong>\u00a0nivel, respaldado por recientes\u00a0<strong>Se\u00f1ales de postura restrictiva por parte de la Reserva Federal<\/strong>\u00a0y la demanda de activos refugio en medio de la incertidumbre global.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-15\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>USD\/JPY<\/strong>\u00a0<br>159.15 |\u00a0<strong>+0.13%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>Impulsado por la ampliaci\u00f3n\u00a0<strong>Diferenciales de rendimiento entre EE. UU. y Jap\u00f3n<\/strong>, el yen permanece d\u00e9bil y contin\u00faa fluctuando cerca de\u00a0<strong>160<\/strong>\u00a0nivel.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-16\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong>\u00a0<br>1.1543 |\u00a0<strong>-0.20%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>El euro sigue bajo presi\u00f3n debido a la fortaleza del d\u00f3lar y al lento crecimiento europeo, poniendo a prueba repetidamente el soporte cercano a\u00a0<strong>1.15<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-17 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>3. Metales preciosos y materias primas<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-18 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Metales preciosos<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-19\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Oro al contado (XAUUSD)<\/strong>\u00a0<br>$5,155,98\/oz |\u00a0<strong>-0.40%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>Aunque los riesgos geopol\u00edticos siguen siendo elevados, un d\u00f3lar estadounidense m\u00e1s fuerte y rendimientos reales persistentemente altos han empujado al oro a una\u00a0<strong>Consolidaci\u00f3n lateral por encima de $5,150<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-20\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Plata al contado (XAGUSD)<\/strong>\u00a0<br>$85.535\/oz |\u00a0<strong>-0.26%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>La volatilidad de la plata se ha reducido en relaci\u00f3n con el oro a medida que el mercado entra en una\u00a0<strong>vac\u00edo narrativo temporal<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-21 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Productos b\u00e1sicos<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-22\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Petr\u00f3leo crudo (XTIUSD)<\/strong>\u00a0<br>$93.22\/barril |\u00a0<strong>+5.45%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>Los precios del petr\u00f3leo experimentaron un fuerte repunte impulsado por\u00a0<strong>Riesgos de suministro en Oriente Medio<\/strong>\u00a0y primas geopol\u00edticas en aumento, lo que convierte a la energ\u00eda en la\u00a0<strong>principal motor de la inflaci\u00f3n en el panorama macroecon\u00f3mico actual<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-23 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>4. Mercado de criptomonedas y desarrollos macroecon\u00f3micos<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-24\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Bitcoin (BTCUSD)<\/strong>\u00a0<br>$70,199 |\u00a0<strong>0,00%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>Bitcoin se est\u00e1 negociando en un rango extremadamente estrecho cerca de\u00a0<strong>$70,000 nivel psicol\u00f3gico<\/strong>, lo que refleja un cauteloso equilibrio entre alcistas y bajistas en el actual entorno de tipos de inter\u00e9s.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-25\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Ethereum (ETHUSD)<\/strong>\u00a0<br>$2,053.1 |\u00a0<strong>+0.01%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>Ethereum sigue teniendo un rendimiento inferior al de los activos f\u00edsicos tradicionales y al del mercado en general, y la confianza de los inversores se mantiene a la espera de nuevos catalizadores derivados del desarrollo del ecosistema o de cambios en la liquidez.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-26 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>5. El tema de hoy<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-27\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Discurso de\u00a0<strong>Andrew Bailey, gobernador del Banco de Inglaterra<\/strong>\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-28\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Solicitudes iniciales de subsidio por desempleo en EE. UU.<\/strong>\u00a0(Semana que finaliza el 7 de marzo)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>March&nbsp;12, 2026, global financial markets saw sharp volatility today as multiple macro narratives&nbsp;collided. In early Asian trading on Thursday, spot gold hovered around&nbsp;$5,152 per ounce, with bulls and bears locked in a tight standoff.&nbsp; On one hand, the latest U.S.&nbsp;CPI&nbsp;data released yesterday held steady at&nbsp;2.4%, suggesting inflation&nbsp;remains&nbsp;relatively stable. However, lingering concerns about potential inflation rebounds [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":4217,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_front_end_style_editor":"no","ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","_glsr_average":0,"_glsr_ranking":0,"_glsr_reviews":0,"ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":"","_members_access_role":[],"_members_access_error":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4220","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-english-news","entry","has-media"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4220","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4220"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4220\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4221,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4220\/revisions\/4221"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4217"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4220"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4220"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4220"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}