{"id":4220,"date":"2026-03-12T18:14:21","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T07:14:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=4220"},"modified":"2026-03-12T18:14:22","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T07:14:22","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-gold-oil-locked-in-an-intense-tug-of-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/2026\/03\/12\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-gold-oil-locked-in-an-intense-tug-of-war\/","title":{"rendered":"Amillex\u00a0Daily Market Commentary | Gold &#038; Oil Locked in an Intense Tug-of-War\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-1 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>March&nbsp;12, 2026, g<\/strong>lobal financial markets saw sharp volatility today as multiple macro narratives&nbsp;collided. In early Asian trading on Thursday, spot gold hovered around&nbsp;$5,152 per ounce, with bulls and bears locked in a tight standoff.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-2 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">On one hand, the latest U.S.&nbsp;CPI&nbsp;data released yesterday held steady at&nbsp;2.4%, suggesting inflation&nbsp;remains&nbsp;relatively stable. However, lingering concerns about potential inflation rebounds have pushed&nbsp;rate expectations slightly higher, helping the&nbsp;U.S. Dollar Index&nbsp;rise about&nbsp;0.4%, which is putting direct pressure on gold prices.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-3 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Meanwhile, escalating tensions involving&nbsp;Iran&nbsp;have triggered a growing shipping security crisis in the&nbsp;Strait of Hormuz.&nbsp;Reports indicate&nbsp;14 vessels have been attacked, disrupting nearly&nbsp;one-fifth of global oil exports.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-4 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">The oil market, however, has responded with far more aggressive momentum.&nbsp;U.S. crude oil is currently holding above $93 per barrel, after surging&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;5%&nbsp;on Wednesday. Supply fears intensified further after Iranian officials warned that&nbsp;the world should be prepared for oil prices reaching $200 per barrel, igniting fresh anxiety over global energy supply. In the short term, runaway energy prices could become a key driver of global inflation expectations.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-5 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:20px\"><strong>Market Performance &amp; Fundamental Overview<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-6 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>1. U.S. Stock Market<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-7 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Index Performance<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-8\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI)<\/strong>\u00a0<br>47,417.27 |\u00a0<strong>-0.61%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>Value stocks pulled back amid rising defensive sentiment, bringing the index back below the\u00a0<strong>47,500<\/strong>\u00a0psychological level.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>S&amp;P 500 (SP500)<\/strong>\u00a0<br>6,727.26 |\u00a0<strong>-0.59%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>The index faces resistance above\u00a0<strong>6,700<\/strong>, with investor risk appetite weakening as inflation expectations fluctuate.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-10\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Nasdaq 100 (NQ)<\/strong>\u00a0<br>24,759.00 |\u00a0<strong>-0.90%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>As a rate-sensitive index, the Nasdaq posted the largest decline, reflecting market concerns about tighter liquidity and the path of long-term interest rates.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-11 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Stock in Focus<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-12\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Tesla (TSLA)\u00a0<\/strong><br>$407.82 |\u00a0+2.15%\u00a0<br>Despite broader market weakness, Tesla surged against the trend, supported by\u00a0strong growth\u00a0expectations and sector optimism, showing notable\u00a0alpha performance.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-13 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>2. Foreign Exchange Market<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-14\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)<\/strong>\u00a0<br>99.439 |\u00a0<strong>+0.19%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>The dollar regained upward momentum, approaching the\u00a0<strong>100<\/strong>\u00a0level, supported by recent\u00a0<strong>hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve<\/strong>\u00a0and safe-haven demand amid global uncertainty.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-15\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>USD\/JPY<\/strong>\u00a0<br>159.15 |\u00a0<strong>+0.13%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>Driven by widening\u00a0<strong>U.S.\u2013Japan\u00a0yield\u00a0differentials<\/strong>, the yen\u00a0remains\u00a0weak and continues to fluctuate near the\u00a0<strong>160<\/strong>\u00a0level.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-16\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong>\u00a0<br>1.1543 |\u00a0<strong>-0.20%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>The euro\u00a0remains\u00a0under pressure from dollar strength and sluggish European growth, repeatedly testing support near\u00a0<strong>1.15<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-17 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>3. Precious Metals &amp; Commodities<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-18 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Metales preciosos<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-19\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Spot Gold (XAUUSD)<\/strong>\u00a0<br>$5,155.98\/oz |\u00a0<strong>-0.40%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>Although geopolitical risks\u00a0remain\u00a0elevated, stronger USD and persistently high real yields have pushed gold into a\u00a0<strong>sideways consolidation above $5,150<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-20\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Spot Silver (XAGUSD)<\/strong>\u00a0<br>$85.535\/oz |\u00a0<strong>-0.26%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>Volatility in silver has narrowed\u00a0relative\u00a0to gold as the market enters a\u00a0<strong>temporary narrative vacuum<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-21 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Commodities<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-22\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Crude Oil (XTIUSD)<\/strong>\u00a0<br>$93.22\/barrel |\u00a0<strong>+5.45%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>Oil prices staged a strong rebound driven by\u00a0<strong>Middle East supply risks<\/strong>\u00a0and rising geopolitical premiums, making energy the\u00a0<strong>primary inflation driver in today\u2019s macro landscape<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-23 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>4. Crypto Market &amp; Macro Developments<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-24\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Bitcoin (BTCUSD)<\/strong>\u00a0<br>$70,199 |\u00a0<strong>0.00%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>Bitcoin is trading in an extremely tight range near the\u00a0<strong>$70,000 psychological level<\/strong>, reflecting a cautious standoff between bulls and bears amid the current interest-rate environment.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-25\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Ethereum (ETHUSD)<\/strong>\u00a0<br>$2,053.1 |\u00a0<strong>+0.01%<\/strong>\u00a0<br>ETH continues to underperform traditional hard assets and the broader market, with investor confidence awaiting further catalysts from ecosystem developments or liquidity shifts.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-26 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>5.&nbsp;Today\u2019s&nbsp;Focus<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-27\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Speech by\u00a0<strong>Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey<\/strong>\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-28\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>U.S.\u00a0Initial\u00a0Jobless Claims<\/strong>\u00a0(week ending March 7)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>March&nbsp;12, 2026, global financial markets saw sharp volatility today as multiple macro narratives&nbsp;collided. In early Asian trading on Thursday, spot gold hovered around&nbsp;$5,152 per ounce, with bulls and bears locked in a tight standoff.&nbsp; On one hand, the latest U.S.&nbsp;CPI&nbsp;data released yesterday held steady at&nbsp;2.4%, suggesting inflation&nbsp;remains&nbsp;relatively stable. However, lingering concerns about potential inflation rebounds [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":4217,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","_glsr_average":0,"_glsr_ranking":0,"_glsr_reviews":0,"ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4220","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-english-news","entry","has-media"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4220","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4220"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4220\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4221,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4220\/revisions\/4221"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4217"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4220"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4220"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4220"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}