{"id":3540,"date":"2026-01-05T15:06:42","date_gmt":"2026-01-05T04:06:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=3540"},"modified":"2026-01-05T15:06:43","modified_gmt":"2026-01-05T04:06:43","slug":"amillex-daily-market-commentary-sudden-shift-in-u-s-venezuela-situation-triggers-safe-haven-buying-gold-and-oil-surge-on-geopolitical-drivers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/2026\/01\/05\/amillex-daily-market-commentary-sudden-shift-in-u-s-venezuela-situation-triggers-safe-haven-buying-gold-and-oil-surge-on-geopolitical-drivers\/","title":{"rendered":"Amillex Daily Market Commentary | Sudden Shift in U.S.\u2013Venezuela Situation Triggers Safe-Haven Buying, Gold and Oil Surge on Geopolitical Drivers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-1 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Global markets opened the week of January 5,&nbsp;2026&nbsp;in risk-off mode after reports of sudden U.S. military action in Venezuela. News that U.S. Delta Force troops captured Venezuelan President Nicol\u00e1s Maduro over the weekend triggered a sharp safe-haven bid. Gold gapped higher and held firmly above $4,300\/oz, while WTI crude rebounded from recent lows, testing the $58.0\/bbl&nbsp;level as geopolitical risk added a fresh premium despite rising global inventories.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color has-medium-font-size wp-elements-2 wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key Event in Focus: U.S. Military Captures Venezuelan President Nicol\u00e1s Maduro<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-3 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">On January 3, 2026, U.S. President Trump confirmed that Delta Force units carried out a late-night operation in Caracas, capturing President Nicol\u00e1s Maduro and his wife. They were transferred to the USS\u00a0<em>Iwo Jima<\/em>\u00a0and flown to New York, where U.S. Attorney General Pam Bondi\u00a0stated\u00a0Maduro faces charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy and large-scale cocaine trafficking in the Southern District of New York.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-4 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:20px\"><strong>Multi-Asset Market Performance and Fundamental Analysis<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-5 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>1. U.S. Equity Markets\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-6 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Index Performance:&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-7\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Dow Jones Industrial Average: Broke above the 48,300.00 level,\u00a0last\u00a0at 48,297.53, up 0.49% on the day.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-8\" style=\"font-size:18px\">S&amp;P 500 Index: Down 0.42% to 6,832, currently testing technical support near the 6,800 psychological level.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-9\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Nasdaq Composite:\u00a0Closed down\u00a00.03% at 25,244, after rising more than $1 in early trading before pulling back amid volatility.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-10 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Equity Focus: Tesla (TSLA): Down 2.59%. 2025 deliveries totaled 1.636 million vehicles, down approximately $8.6% year-on-year. This marks the first time in its history that Tesla was overtaken in annual sales by China\u2019s BYD, with more than USD 38 billion erased from its market capitalization in a single session.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-11 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>2. FX Markets: U.S. Dollar Consolidates, Euro Faces Mild Pressure<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-12\" style=\"font-size:18px\">U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): Holding near the 98.4 level. Volatility remained limited on the first trading day after the holiday, with the dollar staying firm and continuing to act as a core suppressing force on commodities.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-13\" style=\"font-size:18px\">EUR\/USD: Broke below the 1.1720 level and is currently oscillating within the 1.1680\u20131.1720 range, as weak European growth momentum limits upside potential for the euro.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-14\" style=\"font-size:18px\">USD\/JPY: Holding at elevated levels around 156.50. The pace of monetary policy normalization by the Bank of Japan continues to lag market expectations.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-15 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Driving Logic: \u201cStronger dollar + yield differential\u201d&nbsp;remains&nbsp;the dominant theme at the start of the year. As expectations for a soft landing in the U.S. economy strengthen, the dollar\u2019s appeal as a reserve asset continues to weigh on European and commodity-linked currencies.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>3. Precious Metals and Commodities<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-16\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Spot Gold (XAUUSD): Pulled back after a brief surge, currently quoted around $4,375\/oz. Although institutions such as Goldman Sachs forecast gold challenging $5,000 by the end of 2026, prices\u00a0remain\u00a0capped in the short term by strong resistance near $4,400.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-size:18px\">Spot Silver (XAGUSD): Volatility has intensified, trading around $72.50\/oz. Weighed down by lagging industrial demand recovery, silver has entered a high-level consolidation and correction phase after surging 147% in 2025.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-17 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Commodities<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-18\" style=\"font-size:18px\">WTI Crude Oil: Trading at $57.80 per barrel. Prices\u00a0remain\u00a0range-bound between $56 and $60, primarily pressured by OPEC+ production\u00a0increase\u00a0expectations and rising global inventories. Without strong demand-side data, a near-term breakout appears unlikely.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-19 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>Crypto Assets<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-20\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Bitcoin (BTC): Broke above the key $90,000 level, displaying characteristics of high-level sideways consolidation.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-21\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Ethereum (ETH): Significantly underperforming the broader market, trading around $3,110. Prices have fallen below the lower bound of the\u00a0previous\u00a0consolidation range and are now retracing to test the critical psychological support zone between $3,000 and $3,100.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-22 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:18px\"><strong>4. Today\u2019s Focus<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-23\" style=\"font-size:18px\">U.S.\u00a0ISM Manufacturing PMI\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-24\" style=\"font-size:18px\">U.S.\u00a0ISM Manufacturing Prices Index\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Global markets opened the week of January 5,&nbsp;2026&nbsp;in risk-off mode after reports of sudden U.S. military action in Venezuela. News that U.S. Delta Force troops captured Venezuelan President Nicol\u00e1s Maduro over the weekend triggered a sharp safe-haven bid. Gold gapped higher and held firmly above $4,300\/oz, while WTI crude rebounded from recent lows, testing the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":3545,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","_glsr_average":0,"_glsr_ranking":0,"_glsr_reviews":0,"ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3540","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-english-news","entry","has-media"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3540","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3540"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3540\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3543,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3540\/revisions\/3543"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3545"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3540"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3540"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3540"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}