{"id":2940,"date":"2025-10-17T17:46:22","date_gmt":"2025-10-17T06:46:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/?p=2940"},"modified":"2025-12-23T19:29:10","modified_gmt":"2025-12-23T08:29:10","slug":"news20251016en","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/2025\/10\/17\/news20251016en\/","title":{"rendered":"Amillex Daily Market Review: TSMC Earnings Ignite AI Stock Rally, Gold Surges Past $4,250 to Record High, Crude Oil Drops to $58 Amid Supply-Demand Imbalance"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

October 17, 2025 \u2014 Yesterday, TSMC\u2019s stronger-than-expected Q3 results fueled optimism across the AI supply chain, driving all three major U.S. stock indexes higher. Spot gold soared past $4,250 per ounce to a record high, extending its year-to-date gains to over 60%. Meanwhile, international crude oil prices fell below $58 per barrel as concerns over a growing supply-demand imbalance deepened, and cryptocurrencies consolidated with Bitcoin holding firm above $112,000.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

U.S. Equities: TSMC Leads Tech Rally as Cyclical and Defensive Sectors Rise Together<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

S&P 500 +0.32%, Dow Jones +0.19%, Nasdaq +0.41%, Philadelphia Semiconductor Index +1.5%+.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Top performers: AI chipmakers (TSMC +3%), rare earth stocks (Critical Metals +14%), and banking sector stocks helped stabilize the market.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Key Drivers:<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

TSMC Earnings Beat: Q3 revenue rose 18% year-over-year; mass production of its 2nm process is ahead of schedule, signaling sustained AI infrastructure investment.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Resilient Economic Data: U.S. September core CPI rose 2.2% year-over-year (vs. 2.0% prior), easing hard-landing fears but reinforcing the Fed\u2019s cautious stance on rate cuts.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Precious Metals: Gold Breaks $4,250 as Exchanges Issue Risk Warnings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Spot gold hit an intraday high of $4,255 and closed at $4,232, marking a fourth consecutive record close. In China, retail gold jewelry prices surpassed 1,248 yuan per gram.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Spot silver climbed above $52, with year-to-date gains of 83%, though ETF holdings remain far below historical peaks.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Fundamental Analysis:<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Policy Support: Fed rate-cut probability for October nears 100%; real yields expected to fall, underpinning gold prices.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Safe-Haven Demand: Rising geopolitical tensions (U.S. aircraft carrier deployment to the Arabian Sea) and the 16th day of the U.S. government shutdown spurred safe-haven inflows.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Caution: Shanghai Gold Exchange warned of \u201csharp price volatility\u201d and urged risk control; several banks raised minimum purchase thresholds for gold accumulation plans.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Commodities: Crude Oil Falls to $58 as Supply Surplus Deepens<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

WTI crude fell 1.2% to $58.30\/barrel, while Brent crude slipped below $62, its lowest level since June.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Bearish Factors:<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Supply Glut: EIA data showed a 4.6 million-barrel inventory build, exceeding forecasts; OPEC+ to proceed with its November production increase.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Demand Concerns: Weak global manufacturing PMI and trade tensions continue to weigh on energy consumption.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin Holds Steady as AI Tokens Outperform<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Major tokens: Bitcoin -1.29% to $112,000, Ethereum -2.6% to $4,100.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Bright Spot: AI-linked tokens gained 4.51%, with ChainOpera AI (COAI) surging 56% in a single day.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Market Sentiment: Leveraged long liquidation pressure eased, but macro uncertainty continues to cap risk appetite.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

FX & Bonds: Dollar Softens Slightly, Treasury Yields Steady<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

U.S. Dollar Index edged down to 98.10; USD\/JPY retreated to 151.50.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Treasuries: 10-year yield steady at 4.12%; the Fed\u2019s Beige Book described the economy as showing \u201cmodest expansion.\u201d<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Today\u2019s focus<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

U.S. September Housing Starts: Expected 1.31 million (vs. 1.307 million prior). A miss could fuel growth slowdown concerns.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Eurozone September CPI Final: A confirmed 2.2% YoY may limit ECB\u2019s easing scope.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Fed Beige Book: Watch for commentary on \u201clabor market cooling\u201d and \u201cpersistent inflation.\u201d<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

EU Fiscal Meeting: Progress on Greece\u2019s debt restructuring could lift the euro.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

TSMC Earnings Call: Focus on 2026 CapEx guidance\u2014an upward revision may boost global semiconductor sentiment.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Morgan Stanley & American Express: Bank earnings will be key to gauging the resilience of consumer spending.<\/h2>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

October 17, 2025 \u2014 Yesterday, TSMC\u2019s stronger-than-expected Q3 results fueled optimism across the AI supply chain, driving all three major U.S. stock indexes higher. Spot gold soared past $4,250 per ounce to a record high, extending its year-to-date gains to over 60%. Meanwhile, international crude oil prices fell below $58 per barrel as concerns over […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":2941,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","_glsr_average":0,"_glsr_ranking":0,"_glsr_reviews":0,"ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2940","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-english-news","entry","has-media"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2940","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2940"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2940\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2943,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2940\/revisions\/2943"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2941"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2940"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2940"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amillex.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2940"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}